Post#28 » by TylersLakers » Tue Jan 13, 2015 1:16 am
Slava's post earlier in this thread was spot on with the way that Mitch Kupchak builds a team. I think, in between Jim Buss' "shoot for the stars" mentality is Mitch Kupchak's patience and finger prints all over this. Jim Buss sees that we need a major player to be successful in this market and Mitch understands the process of getting there, the process of accumulating pieces and making acquisitions that can surround those "shoot for the stars" player(s), provided we get one.
Anyone remember before we got Pau Gasol? We saw acquisitions like trading a 2nd round pick for Maurice Evans, signing Kwame Brown (instead of re-signing Caron Butler), investing mid-late first round picks into Sasha Vujacic, Jordan Farmar and Javaris Crittenton. More importantly, Lamar Odom. Despite numerous amounts of calls to trade him because he couldn't play second fiddle (my god, the amount of Odom for Jamison or Boozer trades I saw back then) to Kobe Bryant, he sat on his hands and waited for the right situation where Odom's talents could flourish. Dr. Jerry Buss saw the big picture and the "shoot for the stars" mentality that Jim Buss has now, but Mitch understands there needs to pieces that fit. He's testing those pieces right now and accumulating the right assets so we can have more success in the long run. It's frustrating to see players like Rondo, Green, Isaiah Thomas, Eric Bledsoe, and Greg Monroe go other places when we could have had them. But, we thought the same thing with failed Jamison (as mentioned above) trades and failed Jason Kidd trades.
The way Mitch is constructing this rebuild is very similar to how he did things after we traded away Shaquille O'Neal. The only difference is having a prime Kobe Bryant who could will an absolutely horrendous team to playoff contention. Obviously, we don't have that luxury anymore. Those little and confusing moves turned into players like Trevor Ariza (Evans, as mentioned above and Cook), and Gasol (Kwame, Crittenton). Those that proved they could fit and were going to be pieces to something greater ended up staying (Lamar, Vujacic, Farmar). We also had a top 10 first round pick that developed (Andrew Bynum).
There's a lot of similarities between those pieces and today's pieces. That top 10 pick (Julius Randle) is going to be counted on to have at least the impact that Bynum did. Players like Ed Davis, Jordan Hill, Wesley Johnson, Ryan Kelly, Ronnie Price, Wayne Ellington and Jordan Clarkson are going to have the opportunities to become those pieces that can fit around the major pieces. So, in my opinion and having a thinking based on what Mitch has done in the past, this is our best case scenario going forward.
1) Getting that "Major Player":
We're just going to keep on waiting and saving space if we don't get one. But obviously, this is a major step 1. Carmelo Anthony and LeBron were the candidates last off-season. Swing and miss, unfortunately. This off-season? Kevin Love, LaMarcus Aldridge, Marc Gasol -- Hopefully we can land one of those guys. Maybe with Kevin Love's situation, he decided to pull a Dwight Howard from a few years ago and leave after one season. Los Angeles is a lot different then Cleveland. The Lakers (although in a down stage) are a lot different than the Cavaliers, especially to a California kid. As of right now, convince me he has any desire to stay in Cleveland. Maybe things change when LeBron gets healthy. Maybe the Cavaliers don't think he's the right piece to fit next to LeBron. Who knows, but we have a shot. So, I know the whole title of this thread was "realistic" but we're going to have to have some luck for this to go as we hope. Say, for example, we land a Kevin Love.
2) The Draft Pick:
A couple days ago I said on this thread that I didn't think it mattered if we gave the pick away to Phoenix this year. I was wrong, dead wrong. With the hope and plan that this off-season has, getting that extra asset is significant. Imagine if we do give the pick to Phoenix. That sucks. Imagine we then get Kevin Love. Wow, how much better would that be if we got that Top 5 pick? It matters big time. If we can swing for the hills and be successful with a free agent, adding in another huge asset around that major player would make the pot even more sweet. Also, if we land a major free agent, the pick that we get next year (2016 draft) isn't going to be nearly as good as this season. I'd rather give THAT 2016 pick away. Maybe things bounce our way (or get rigged that way) and we get Okafor or Mudiay. I won't go that far, but imagine if we pick #5, and pick a player like Stanley Johnson.
3) The Surrounding Pieces:
It's going to be a lot of trial and error with this. We saw that last season with Jodie Meeks, Chris Kaman, Kendall Marshall, Kent Bazemore. I imagine we'll have the same sort of situation this off-season. Personally, I think re-signing a player like Ed Davis, who could back up and start if necessary at both front court positions would be a good start. I like what I've seen from guys like Ronnie Price, Wayne Ellington, Wesley Johnson who would get small raises and be those pieces that could fit in. Developing Julius Randle is a significant priority and no doubt the biggest disappointment of this season. He'll be fully healthy going into next season with no long term health concerns. The stage is set for him to develop into a star. Ryan Kelly and Nick Young will be here, because those two are one of the only ones with guaranteed contracts. Tarik Black has an audition the rest of the season to show he can take over Jordan Hill's role. Also, given Robert Sacre's lack of improvement, you have to think we'll decline that team option for almost a million dollars and find someone else. We also have Houston's pick as well as a 2nd round pick (Top 40 protected). As Slava mentioned in his earlier post, Mitch tends to lean towards young(ish) players that have been passed over by previous situations. Now, the candidates in this year's free agent crop who fit that bill? Thomas Robinson, Austin Rivers, Josh Smith, and Brandon Rush. Imagine we land one or two of those guys.
So, our potential depth chart for next year with plenty of salary cap room to add on in 2016 with an advanced salary cap and Kobe's contract off the books. Hopefully, we can sign another major player in 2016 or a couple free agents who Kobe would feel comfortable sticking around for a run.
PG: Ronnie Price/ Jordan Clarkson/ Tyrone Wallace (Hou pick)
SG: Kobe Bryant/ Nick Young/ Wayne Ellington
SF: Wesley Johnson/ Stanley Johnson/
PF: Kevin Love/ Thomas Robinson/ Ryan Kelly/
C: Julius Randle/ Ed Davis/ Tarik Black
Not bad for a starting point. Now, I know Julius Randle is a bit undersized to be the C, but the reality is, the PF/C position these days have truly become interchangeable. We currently start Jordan Hill and Ed Davis, both guys barely scratch 6'10".. but the bottom line is, we're not going to pass up on getting Kevin Love or LaMarcus Aldridge because.. ehhhh... we have Julius Randle. Kevin Love will become our floor spacer in the front court, Julius Randle is our down low guy. Both guys are great rebounders who know how to track the ball. Julius Randle is a big body inside.
That's my hope for the rest of this season and going forward. Going to take some luck, but we're the Lakers, and that's how it's always worked.