Trader_Joe wrote:BizGilwalker wrote:I_Socrates wrote:
Let's not forget that Brooklyn plays in the East.
Are there 7 teams CLEARLY better than the Bulls?
With the George injury and loss of Stephenson (and possible rebuild on the loom), you can pretty much count the Pacers out.
I see..
CHI
CLE
CHA
WASH
TOR
ATL
After that, is there any team that is clearly better and more equipped to be in the playoffs?
Of course, I'm assuming KG and Lopez can be healthy for majority of the season and Johnson continues to tear it up.
I actually see both NY and BKN in the playoffs as 7th-8th seeds, or at least fighting for them.
Chicago, Cleveland, Washington, Charlotte, Toronto, Atlanta, and Miami are all clearly better. No contest. Even with only 55 games a year of Wade- Deng, Bosh, and a solid supporting cast should at least get the job done. I don't think the Raptors repeat their success this year, but they figure to be a playoff team again if nothing else. If Lopez and Williams continue to be their unreliable selves health-wise, KG continues playing like a 55-year-old, they lose Pierce, Blatche, and Livingston for nothing in return (already done), then I easily slide Detroit, New York, maybe Indiana if they don't have a complete crisis, or (if their young guys progress enough( even Boston or Orlando, ahead of Brooklyn. It would surprise me to see them lower than 10th, but it's entirely possible that they fall as low as 12th. I think Hollins is a better coach than Kidd was in those first disastrous months of the season, but he's no miracle worker. Nets aren't making the playoffs, and it probably won't be a nail-biter either.
So sig bet?
Any team that misses in the East is down a couple slots to West teams.
Mid lotto 6-9 range...you win
Not that range...I win.
I don't know if I'm sure enough on that, because of how turbulent the Nets have been. That seems to be the best case scenario for the Hawks, but there's always a good chance Williams and Lopez are better than they were last season (when both were more or less non-existent- Lopez was great when he played but rarely played, Williams was "meh" when he played). If Lopez misses half or more of the season, and Williams has a repeat season, only then do I put them in the 6-8 range. Otherwise, they may contend for a playoff spot but will be on the outside looking in for sure.