Winner: Caliban! Vegas Team Win Lines (Prediction time!) 2016 Version and Contest! (Entries Locked)

[HartfordWhalers]

West:

Code: Select all

Golden State Warriors  66.5
San Antonio Spurs      56.5
Los Angeles Clippers   53.5
Utah Jazz              47.5
Portland Trail Blazers 46.5
Oklahoma City Thunder  45.5
Memphis Grizzlies      43.5
(tied 8th/9th) Houston Rockets        41.5
(tied 8th/9th) Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5
---------------------------
Dallas Mavericks       39.5
New Orleans Pelicans   36.5
Denver Nuggets         34.5
Sacramento Kings       32.5
Phoenix Suns           26.5
Los Angeles Lakers     24.5


East:

Code: Select all

Cleveland Cavaliers  56.5
Boston Celtics       51.5
Toronto Raptors      49.5
Detroit Pistons      45.5
Atlanta Hawks        43.5
Indiana Pacers       43.5
Washington Wizards   42.5
(tied 8th/9th) Charlotte Hornets    39.5
(tied 8th/9th) Milwaukee Bucks      39.5
-------------------------
Chicago Bulls        38.5
New York Knicks      38.5
Miami Heat           36.5
Orlando Magic        36.5
Philadelphia 76ers   27.5
Brooklyn Nets        20.5


http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/17597014/las-vegas-sets-golden-state-warriors-regular-season-wins-665



Here's the test.

Simple version:
Pick 3 teams that look too low, and 3 that look to high.

Advanced version:
Follow above, but also make a stab at every single line (Over, Under, Too close to call)

I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version:
Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team using the following code:

Code: Select all

Golden State
San Antonio
Cleveland
LA Clippers
Boston
Toronto
Utah
Portland
OKC
Detroit
Atlanta
Memphis
Indiana
Washington
Houston
Minnesota
Charlotte
Dallas
Milwaukee
Chicago
NYK
Miami
Orlando
New Orleans
Denver
Sacramento
Philly
Phoenix
Lakers
Brooklyn

(You might want to check that your win totals sum to 1230)
Entries so far

So, who's feeling brave?


Last years thread
2 years agos thread
(Any resemblance to either is purely coincidental)


For those interested in putting in predictions for all teams, I will be making a spreadsheet of all contestants and at the end of the season we can see who was the most accurate and hand out appropriate credit and bragging rights! Those of us doing the team reviews already have a set of predictions for instance.

[basketballwacko2]

Maybe it's my "Homerish" side coming out but I think the Pacers will be more like 49 wins.

[jayjaysee]

Not even 500 for Dallas begging me to take the over. And looks like Vegas wants people to bet the under for Philly and over for Brooklyn? I think the money would have been split a lot more evenly if both were at 23-25 wins. 20 and 27 just screams trap, but that is a bad idea for the book in a full season wager imo.

But..

Over; GS, SA, Toronto
Under; Portland, Minnesota, Philly

Spoiler:

Code: Select all

Golden State   68
San Antonio   59
Cleveland   58
LA Clippers   55
Boston   50
Toronto   51
Utah   47
Portland   43
OKC   44
Detroit   46
Atlanta   42
Memphis   45
Indiana   46
Washington   42
Houston   40
Minnesota   36
Charlotte   40
Dallas   41
Milwaukee   41
Chicago   43
NYK   38
Miami   30
Orlando   32
New Orleans   35
Denver   34
Sacramento   35
Philly   22
Phoenix   24
Lakers   22
Brooklyn   21


Shrug.

[KqWIN]

I'll take at the simple version first, then I'll make even more of a fool of myself with the full version later.

Over: Houston, Miami, Charlotte

Under: Memphis, Indiana, Philadelphia

[HartfordWhalers]

Simple version:
Pick 3 teams that look too low, and 3 that look to high.

Dallas, Charlotte and Clippers/Chicago are my 3 that I think Vegas is too low on. (Take out Chicago to get me to 3)
Cleveland, New York/Milwaukee/Minnesota are the 3 I think too high. (I like em all, but take out Minnesota)

Advanced version:
Follow above, but also make a stab at every single line (Over, Under, Too close to call)

Can figure out off below

I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version:
Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team.

Code: Select all

Golden State   67
San Antonio   53
Cleveland   51
LA Clippers   58
Boston   50
Toronto   47
Utah   49
Portland   44
OKC   45
Detroit   44
Atlanta   40
Memphis   46
Indiana   41
Washington   41
Houston   43
Minnesota   37
Charlotte   46
Dallas   47
Milwaukee   35
Chicago   43
NYK   34
Miami   35
Orlando   38
New Orleans   36
Denver   35
Sacramento   30
Philly   24
Phoenix   26
Lakers   26
Brooklyn   19


[moocow007]

Wait so the Knicks improved by 4.5 games (see other thread).

[Texas Chuck]

For my plate of crow:

Overs: Utah, Charlotte, Milwaukee
Unders: Dallas, San Antonio, Detroit

I'm surprised some have the Warriors as an under. 61+ doesn't feel that unlikely

Guess I got Charlotte right and should have trusted my gut on GSW. But the rest of those I whiffed pretty good on.

[bondom34]

Edited to just give picks....also I didn't end up with the over for Houston at all.


Modified from the reviews a bit.


A few more unders for me are probably Orlando and Chicago.

Code: Select all

Golden State   66
San Antonio   55
Cleveland   57
LA Clippers   54
Boston   50
Toronto   52
Utah   47
Portland   44
OKC   46
Detroit   45
Atlanta   45
Memphis   48
Indiana   45
Washington   39
Houston   41
Minnesota   36
Charlotte   46
Dallas   39
Milwaukee   40
Chicago   35
NYK   35
Miami   34
Orlando   33
New Orleans   37
Denver   35
Sacramento   33
Philly   25
Phoenix   32
Lakers   20
Brooklyn   18


[/quote]

[YourBuddy]

Over: Orlando, Indiana, Milwaukee.
Under: OKC, Portland, Miami.

[dalton749]

1 Golden State Warriors 66.5 under 64
2 San Antonio Spurs 56.5 under 54
3 Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 under 52
4 Utah Jazz 47.5 over 49
8 Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 under 42
6 Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 under 45
7 Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 over 45
5 Houston Rockets 41.5 over 46
Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 under 41
Dallas Mavericks 39.5 under 35
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 under 34
Denver Nuggets 34.5 over 36
Sacramento Kings 32.5 over 34
Phoenix Suns 26.5 over 28
Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 under 22

1 Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 under 55
3 Boston Celtics 51.5 under 50
2 Toronto Raptors 49.5 over 53
7 Detroit Pistons 45.5 under 44
6 Atlanta Hawks 43.5 over 44
4 Indiana Pacers 43.5 over 46
8 Washington Wizards 42.5 over 43
Charlotte Hornets 39.5 over 42
Milwaukee Bucks 39.5 under 37
Chicago Bulls 38.5 over 42
5 New York Knicks 38.5 over 45
Miami Heat 36.5 under 34
Orlando Magic 36.5 under 32
Philadelphia 76ers 27.5 under 19
Brooklyn Nets 20.5 under 17

Playoffs

[Smitty731]

Let's just say I was wrong the Heat. Very, very wrong.

Other than that, I think I did ok. I'll have to think on this year.

[HartfordWhalers]

Wait so the Knicks improved by 4.5 games (see other thread).

I have the Knicks at 34 wins in my prediction. Vegas has them at 38.5. Two different predictions.

[HartfordWhalers]

Golden State Warriors 66.5 under 64
San Antonio Spurs 56.5 under 54
Los Angeles Clippers 53.5 under 52
Utah Jazz 47.5 over 49
Portland Trail Blazers 46.5 under 42
Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5 under 44
Memphis Grizzlies 43.5 over 45
(tied 8th/9th) Houston Rockets 41.5 over 43
(tied 8th/9th) Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5 under 41
---------------------------
Dallas Mavericks 39.5 under 38
New Orleans Pelicans 36.5 over 38
Denver Nuggets 34.5 over 37
Sacramento Kings 32.5 over 35
Phoenix Suns 26.5 over 28
Los Angeles Lakers 24.5 under 22

Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5 under 55
Boston Celtics 51.5 under 50
Toronto Raptors 49.5 over 53
Detroit Pistons 45.5 over 47
Atlanta Hawks 43.5 over 44
Indiana Pacers 43.5 under 41
Washington Wizards 42.5 over 44
(tied 8th/9th) Charlotte Hornets 39.5 over 42
(tied 8th/9th) Milwaukee Bucks 39.5 over 43
-------------------------
Chicago Bulls 38.5 over 42
New York Knicks 38.5 over 44
Miami Heat 36.5 under 34
Orlando Magic 36.5 under 30
Philadelphia 76ers 27.5 under 22
Brooklyn Nets 20.5 under 17

Playoffs

1. Warriors
2. Spurs
3. Clippers
4. Jazz
5. Grizzlies
6. Thunder
7. Rockets
8. Blazers

1. Cavaliers
2. Raptors
3. Celtics
4. Pistons
5. Wizards
6. Knicks
7. Hawks
8. Bucks

Highlight me back if you change it, but I have your win totals adding up to 1240 (10 more than in a season).

[HartfordWhalers]

I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version:
Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team using the following code:

Code: Select all

Golden State
San Antonio
Cleveland
LA Clippers
Boston
Toronto
Utah
Portland
OKC
Detroit
Atlanta
Memphis
Indiana
Washington
Houston
Minnesota
Charlotte
Dallas
Milwaukee
Chicago
NYK
Miami
Orlando
New Orleans
Denver
Sacramento
Philly
Phoenix
Lakers
Brooklyn

(You might want to check that your win totals sum to 1230)
Entries so far

Just noting the link above so everyone can see who predicts what, and the code so it is really easy for me to input your entries.

[codydaze]

My Win Total Predictions:

Code: Select all

Golden State  66
San Antonio  55
Cleveland  57
LA Clippers  54
Boston  52
Toronto  50
Utah  45
Portland  44
OKC  46
Detroit  43
Atlanta  44
Memphis  41
Indiana  47
Washington  38
Houston  40
Minnesota  40
Charlotte  41
Dallas  44
Milwaukee  40
Chicago  35
NYK  36
Miami  33
Orlando  35
New Orleans  37
Denver  35
Sacramento  38
Philly  26
Phoenix  27
Lakers  22
Brooklyn  19

Entries so far

[dalton749]

Highlight me back if you change it, but I have your win totals adding up to 1240 (10 more than in a season).

Fixed it. Thanks boss

[blind prophet]

Happy to see the West 8-10 so close. Really hard to order those spots if you ask me, and They've got it barely at/above 500 at 41.5.

I still think 40 gets you in though.

Over Picks
Chicago
Bucks
Kings? Need to see Collison suspension length first but as negative as I am don't peg any others over really.

Under
Pelicans
Heat
Charlotte


Big Booooo pick

Anyone going under on Philly should have NBA man card revoked.

[brackdan70]

Too High: Knicks (33), Warriors(61), Pistons (41)
Too Low: Pacers(46), Celtics(55), Pelicans(39)

[caliban]

Well this will be fun! and also a great end destination to the trades and transactions that took place this summer. Will definitely submit a full entry later on.

[NBAMythbuster]

There's always at least one line that's easy money. The last few years it was the Lakers. This year it's the 76ers. No way they reach 28 wins. Vegas has wildly missed the boat here. I also think the Nets are too low, and are a good bet for more just because of the incentives.