cellar-door wrote:I think something like this is interesting. Probably less than CHI wants, but... what you get for a star usually is:
Butler
Portis
Crowder
18 BKN
Zeller (just an expiring salary fill)
Jackson
any 2 of (rights to Yabu, 2018 BOS, 2019 MEM, 2019 LAC)
My thought process is this:
CHI supposedly wants 2017 BKN and Crowder, but BOS won't budge on that.
So CHI pushes back the Brooklyn pick, adds the rebounding bench big Boston needs, and in return they get 2 more mid-late 1sts (or Yabu who is the equivalent) and roll the dice on Jackson as a rotation PG.
Might need a little tweaking around the edges, but that to me seems like the kind of deal that is most likely to get done.
Now, maybe that means Butler goes nowhere this deadline, which I think is likely, but I just don't see Ainge based on how he's always operated giving up 2 of Brown/2017 BKN/2018 BKN.
If he was going to bite on that deal it was at the draft, now that BKN basically has locked in the best lottery odds, and Brown has progressed well (and Jimmy has less time under contract left) I don't see why he changes his mind. Especially given the dearth of other teams able to top his offer. If CHI is looking to get Crowder, I would guess it isn't just for re-trade value, it's that they see this as a quick turnaround.
So long as Butler stays healthy, there's a very good chance he is more expensive on draft day and not less.
Part of the value to the Bulls in trading him now is there own pick falls into the lottery. Once the deadline passes, that's no longer an option.
On draft day, the Bulls can see where everyone is picking - including teams like the Wolves and Suns. They can see who slips. Meanwhile the Celtics are looking at drafting yet another guard which is their deepest position with a top-3 pick. How excited is Ainge going to be to do that with IT, AB, & Smart all coming into the last year of their contracts? Finally, and this is really the big risk for the Celtics IMO, GarPax could get canned and you could have a different GM making that trade.