Neon1 wrote:mojosodope wrote:
IMO this is an example of drilling down the data too far. You have dissected his midrange game (outside the paint and inside the 3pt line) by removing the part ("left elbow") which he is most efficient. By doing so you have declared him "inefficient" when in actuality he shoots (an efficient) 40% from this area as a whole.
Not only that, he takes a bulk of his shots from there. Its his 3rd highest volume area. Hell Lebron gets the vast bulk of his points inside at the rim. A whopping 47.8% of his baskets in its entirety come AT THE RIM.
This is what is so tantalizing about Tobias' game. His shot chart and eyeball game shows an average to above average scorer anywhere under the 3 pt line, then he teases it further with solid 3 % s at the corners and in splits that avoid his 13 game rhythm finding and his most recent split, his post AS break 3pt %. He also raised his fg % three percent every single month last season.
What accentuates it all is
1) a great head on his shoulders who has been consistent despite jerking his position and minutes back and forth (this is a good sign tho, to still be consistent and positive). Often cited as the team vocal leader but has shown plenty of chemistry with Oladipo and the team system driving the offense. Statistically, Oladipo gets Tobias a lot of good buckets too.
2) an elite fg % closer to the rim, like 67 iirc, which means all of his drives and go to moves down low work very well.
3) He is no elite all nba defender but I think he is above average and still improving plenty, punctuated by his superb hustle that's always on. He plays defense focused. Remember a finely tuned defense system will come down the line for us and will improve Vuc's and everyone's/team's numbers. This hustle from Tobes always gives the team boards, paint points, transition plays and defensive plays. So on top of a go to scorer resume marked by above average 2 pt fg %s across most zones, he plays like a hustle big seeking garbage buckets with transition, offensive boards, cuts, and putbacks/tip-ins. Amazing.
4) This hasn't been mentioned too much yet. Tobias does all this scoring and play at VERY LOW TO rates. So if his pretty fg and ft % s werent enough, he also manages pretty much elite TO rates while doing it. Add that low TO rate with the mentioned high ft rate (with great %) he has, even better.
The inconsistent minutes and roles come back around here, because I think we will obviously need his scoring this year, especially if his shot is confident and good, and it will fit better in the starting lineup. But it's not a huge issue because he has shown consistent play when playing 6th man too. Whatever gets the best 5 man lineups out there, Tobes will be part of them for big minutes.
that makes him 10th man going forward I presume? 
