pepe1991 wrote:yoyojw17 wrote:pepe1991 wrote:
It took me some time to analyse Magic season before and after allstar because common sense on this forum is that Magic were sooo much better after allstar game than they were before.
So let's get to the good old numbers, shell we.
First claim ( that nobody argues about ) : Magic were pile of garbage before allstar game:
98,62 - PACE- ranked 19 in NBA. One of slowest teams.
100,5 -offensive rating, second worst in NBA (29#)
107,2- defensive rating (22# best or 8# worst in that )
48,6% - effective field goal percentage (27# in the league )
55,2 TS- last (30#)
Conclusion : pile of ***t
After allstar break
107,77 - PACE (9# in the league )
102,9 -offensive rating (26)
109,9 - (25# best or 5th worst in the league )
48,7% - effective field goal percenage ( 27#)
52,9% (27# TS)
Conclusion: faster. That's it. Faster pile of ***t. As much as their offense improved, and that's not saying much because they were still bottom 4 in offensive rating, TS and eFG% ,their defense declined. So it balenced out by having pretty much same win percentage as they had before allstar game. If we are going even deeeper into stats, despite having more possessions where they should have more open looks, more layups and more easy points that should generate higher eFG% and TS ,team saw almost no improvment in that category as well. So their eFG% improved by whooping 0,1% and TS by 0,7%. Opposite of other high pace teams like Nuggets, Wizards even Kings, who after allstar break were all in top 10 in both eFG and TS. That's just shows how negligible Magic "post allstar improvment" really was.
That feeds into my theory that i never bothered to defend prior today- that only difference for Magic was: it was not Ibaka who was getting his, it was Payton and Gordon. And again, that's not bad thing at all, going to youth direction , but i'm so damn tired of listening how Magic got so much better once when they changed direction. Because they didn't . It's better when youth keeps you in bottom 5 in each and every category than vet who is about to get paid. Problem with Magic is simple- youth is about to get paid as well.
That also feeds into my "individuad outburst " point better than even I thought when i said it. Guy was getting his, team saw no difference. That impact on team should be named " Rudy Gaying".
all data from nba tracking-
How bout we look at his affect on the game and and not factor in the crap that goes on the court when he's not there.
http://stats.nba.com/players/advanced/#!?sort=PIE&dir=-1&CF=MIN*GE*25&Season=2016-17&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&SeasonSegment=Post%20All-Star&PlayerPosition=G
post allstar game .... looks like he takes a pretty decent piece of the PIE... and has a positive net rating on the team.
Note he is 15th on the list of guards in the whole nba that plays more than 25 min per game.... and is the second youngest... only to Giannis.
Not tryin to call the guy our darn savior .... but just that he does not deserve as much flack as people give him. The guy is doing well.... not in the flashy new car way that everyone might wanted... but he's doing well!
PIE is interesting data but , just like PER ( it's NBA version of PER as far as i know ) it's in favor of PGs and Cs because they have monopoly over rebounds and assists on most teams. (For example, Derrick Rose has higher PER than Klay Thompson, Booker, Middleton, Redick...). Also, just like PER , PIE ignores defense and puts whole defensive side of a game in two boxes: steals and blocks.
So, if you look at PIE leaders, 34# most valuable player in the league is - Nikola Vučević, over Paul George, Irving and McCollum.
I'm hopeful that Payton can improve, to be honest i'm just tired of moral victories and i hope team can turn things around in near future.
THIS IS ALL I'VE EVER WANTED TO HEAR FROM YOU! lol
i just think that those that are already putting nails in his coffin and ready put him out to pasture is prematurely doing so. If people wanna cry about moe harkless.... i feel even more tears will fall when he blossoms somewhere else.... with a fresh new haircut