Knightro wrote:eyriq wrote:I'm curious what the average record is for teams with the best defense. Like, if all you know is that at the end of the season the team has the #1 defense, what's the most likely final record? I'm going to check this later but my guess would be high 40s, low 50s.Ralof wrote:Best D in nba after 12 games,that's definitely something
Going back to 2010...
No. 1 Defense Record
2010: Bucks 46-36
2011: Bulls 62-20
2012: Bulls 50-16
2013: Pacers 49-32
2014: Pacers 56-26
2015: Warriors 67-15
2016: Spurs 67-15
2017: Spurs 61-21
2018: Jazz 48-34
2019: Bucks 60-22
2020: Bucks 56-17
2021: Lakers 42-30
2022: Celtics 51-31
2023: Cavs 51-31
Standardizing for an 82 game season that's an average of 56.5 wins. It looks like you've got roughly two types of teams, clear contenders and playoff teams. I'd say we'd fall into the playoff teams group if this scenario played out. One of the more common win totals is 51, and using a 7 game buffer in either direction would give us a range of 44 to 58 wins.
If we can maintain this defense we are going to crush expectations.