Sandalf42 wrote:Honest question for people: Does anyone expect Embiid to ever average more than 25 mpg in a season at any point in his career?
Because of the repeated stress fractures, I think we should be planning for a future where even if Embiid meets his expectations, he's playin 25 mpg tops. I don't ever see him logging heavy consistent minutes.
And if that's the case, then there might be room long term for okafor to stay, if he can continue to develop his ability to guard 4s (for stretches).
I think that it is an unknowable thing at this point. I believe that this year he will average under 20 minutes a night, but in year two, if everything physically is in good shape, that he should be able to bump up to 28-32 from a physical standpoint at least. I think his minutes will be limited somewhat by foul trouble early on anyway.
He will be tightly monitored for any stress reactions no matter what, so the results of that will dictate the right number of minutes for him long term.
I'm personally very optimistic at this point, and believe that, if he gets through this year, that he has a great chance of having a normal career. The ideal number of minutes for him will probably never get higher than 33-35 anyway.