Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Through 2/4
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11/27
I KNOW IT'S TOO EARLY!
Through 1/30
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11/27
I KNOW IT'S TOO EARLY!
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Interesting that 46 wins is projected to be the West cutoff, and Houston is there despite currently being 12-3.
Obviously the simulations aren't taking into account Westbrook and Durant returning, so they will be right there in the thick of things.
Obviously the simulations aren't taking into account Westbrook and Durant returning, so they will be right there in the thick of things.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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- RealGM
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
This thread jinxed us last year! Jk lol.
But seriously though I don't know which team from that top 8 will drop, it looks just like last year but the West got even better.
Even if SAC drops, OKC will probably replace them up there.
But seriously though I don't know which team from that top 8 will drop, it looks just like last year but the West got even better.
Even if SAC drops, OKC will probably replace them up there.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- thamadkant
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
JTrain wrote:Interesting that 46 wins is projected to be the West cutoff, and Houston is there despite currently being 12-3.
Obviously the simulations aren't taking into account Westbrook and Durant returning, so they will be right there in the thick of things.
I think they use that "schedule difficulty" coefficient and its predicting that Rockets will have a tougher schedule down the line.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- kennydorglas
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Lakers winning 30 games would be a bless for us.
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
It'll be interesting to see how long OKC takes to get on track once those two return. I don't really think Houston will be down there. It seems more likely that PHX, SAC and OKC end up battling for 8th.
Dallas is the wild card. They look good so far but they're old... probably the oldest team besides the Spurs. They may not hold up well later in the season.
Dallas is the wild card. They look good so far but they're old... probably the oldest team besides the Spurs. They may not hold up well later in the season.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Hollinger's Just Odd. More ESPN garbage.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- Wannabe MEP
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
JDLAW wrote:Hollinger's Just Odd. More ESPN garbage.
It's just a formula, yo. Takes into account point differential and SOS, rather than just pure standings. No big deal.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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- Head Coach
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Has anyone seen our December schedule? This is going to be a long month with a lot of losses
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Need about 10 games with Durant and Westbrook in and then we'll have a good idea of if they have a good chance.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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- Bench Warmer
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Something is wrong witk OKC. They arent 100% healthy, but should play better. Maybe miss Thabos defensive preesens like Suns miss when Tucker out.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
All I know is they won and you guys lost, you need to help a brotha out and make sure them Thunder don't catch you in April like the Grizz and Mavs.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
When I started the thread last season on 1/11, Hollinger projected us to finish 48-34.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- bwgood77
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Since these formulas don't account for injuries, OKC's odds are obviously far too low, and they should probably be 50-60%, which would shave odds for everyone else, and probably most significantly, us.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- JTrain
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
bwgood77 wrote:His formula though doesn't account for injuries, so a team like Memphis will probably be right there too when it's all said and done.
bwgood77 wrote:Since these formulas don't account for injuries, OKC's odds are obviously far too low, and they should probably be 50-60%, which would shave odds for everyone else, and probably most significantly, us.
YES, WE KNOW!
No, I'm with you. OKC will be right there in the mix. It depends how long it takes those two to really get back to a high level.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- bwgood77
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
JTrain wrote:bwgood77 wrote:His formula though doesn't account for injuries, so a team like Memphis will probably be right there too when it's all said and done.bwgood77 wrote:Since these formulas don't account for injuries, OKC's odds are obviously far too low, and they should probably be 50-60%, which would shave odds for everyone else, and probably most significantly, us.
YES, WE KNOW!
No, I'm with you. OKC will be right there in the mix. It depends how long it takes those two to really get back to a high level.
Funny I said the exact same thing last year with Memphis. Personally I'd love it if us AND OKC made it and someone else fell out for whatever reason.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Sunlight wrote:Something is wrong witk OKC. They arent 100% healthy, but should play better. Maybe miss Thabos defensive preesens like Suns miss when Tucker out.
Durant's injury took him out of the preseason as well as the first month, he needs a week or two to acclimatize and get into match shape.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- bwgood77
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
It's pretty crazy that if OKC beats us tonight they will be only a half game behind.
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
- lilfishi22
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
bwgood77 wrote:It's pretty crazy that if OKC beats us tonight they will be only a half game behind.
There's also a pretty wide gap between us currently in 8th place and 7th place Mavs. We're 4.5 games behind them at the moment.
lilfishi22 wrote:More than ever....we are in the championship or bust endgame
Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
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Re: Playoff Race (with updated Hollinger odds)
Barring some catastrophic injury, same 8 as last year (different order though) may as well be 100%