TheSecretWeapon wrote:I don't agree with the poker analogy. Ernie has made big and controversial moves in the past -- bringing Sprewell to the Knicks after he'd choked Carlesimo; swapping a popular Oakley for Camby. The Oakley move was unpopular at the time, likely ended up costing Ernie his job, and ended up being instrumental in getting the Knicks to the Finals.
Ernie will make a big move when it's there, but he won't do stupid stuff to just be doing something. Looking at the situation realistically, what are his options for making a big move? Arenas has been injured, and he's up for a BIG new contract which means Ernie won't get full value for him. Jamison is on the wrong side of 30, and is also up for a new deal -- again, Ernie won't get full value.
What's left? Caron -- who brings much needed heart, toughness, leadership, and quality play (at a relatively low pricetag for what he brings). What asset will Ernie get that will transform the team into an instant title contender with the 18th pick, and the likes of the non-big 3 on the roster?
The big move he could do would be to sign and trade Arenas for defense on the perimeter and quality depth at SF plus future draft picks. He won't though.
He'll give an oft-injured player a max deal. Despite the lack of leadership and the lack of defense the guy plays. Not even considering that PERHAPS Gil won't be quite as explosive, or PERHAPS he could get injured again.
He'll be content to keep Jamison at PF so we can once again see him get worn down and outrebounded in the playoffs by tall PFs.
EG can make a big move trading Arenas, Butler, or Jamison once they're all signed but I predict he won't, and that in time their value will be similar to that of Stephon Marbury, Vince Carter, and Jermaine O'Neal; all stars themselves who failed to win in similar fashion.
I hope I'm wrong about this team.