Hullajelolt wrote:12footrim wrote:I see Blake as a declining player. He'll be 28 years old in a week, he's hurt often, he still relent on his athleticism in a big way that's going away every day and he's undersized and can't streach the floor. Honestly I don't think he ages that well and do you really want to sign him to a 200 million or whatever contract the next 5 years?
I think that's a legit issue. Even though they seem to play as well without him already the bad thing is Paul might not resign if they don't invest in bringing him back. I could see the right move in a vacuum being to move on while the value is there and try to get a nets pick and Crowder. Generally I'm not a draft chaser because it's a gamble but I wouldn't want to invest in this particular 28 year old less than most.
You haven't seen much Clippers nowadays, right? Griffin is no longer relying on athleticism, he's a solid midrange shooter, and also hits the three nowadays. Also one of the best passing big men in the league. You're right, he has healthy issues, and yes he's declining athletically, but your statement, that his complete package is in decline is simply not true.
He's made 11 three's all year and shoots 30% and is a 27% career shooter on low volume. Basically he only shoots wide open ones mostly and still isn't hitting them. Players that rely on mid range shots will never be efficient. Even the best are under 50% on high volume. Taking a bunch of long 2's even if you are good at it as you offense foundation is not a good thing.
Look at just his 2 point percentage alone. It has declined every season since his 2nd in the league. His rebounding has fallen off massively as well over the years. Basically look at what he was 5 years ago and project out the next five years. All his athleticism markers have significantly declined and will only decline more the next 5.
He's becoming kind of like a poorer defensive version of Al Horford who can't shoot three's and you will have to pay more. He's a good player but not one I would want to be on the hook for 40 million for in 3-5 years. When you can't shoot three's, rebound, and aren't big enough to play full time center and are a PF that's a huge issue as you age. You can't make that all up a passing as a PF.