bondom34 wrote:Manute Lol wrote:bondom34 wrote:People forget quickly.
Last time they were healthy they basically were GSW. 10 seasons all time when a team had an SRS of 9 or greater:
http://bkref.com/tiny/6btHZOKC literally 2 years ago. The difference is health, Westbrook went out and they lost. That's the biggest difference.
You underestimate the difference.
Golden State last season got to a level (10+ SRS) where every team that has hit that mark has won the championship, the lone exception being the 1971-72 Bucks, who lost to another team on that list (the 1971-72 Lakers). This is basic statistics: marginal differences become increasingly significant the further along you get on a bell-curve distribution. The difference between an SRS of 9.15 and an SRS of 10.01 is not minor, and the numbers probably underrate the real gap. OKC won the west by two games over the Spurs in 2012-13. The Warriors coasted to an 11 game margin in the western conference last season, noticeably taking their foot off the gas at the end. Golden State's SRS peaked at 11.6 shortly before the all-star break (Feb 4th).
There were some serious red flags for that Thunder team even before Westbrook went down, most notably their AST/TO ratio, which was fifth worst in the league. It's hard to imagine any team winning the chip with that sort of sloppy ball management. Some of that is on Brooks, to be sure, but some of it is the personnel, especially Westbrook. OKC reaching their potential has always been about Russ learning to play smarter, more under control. Donovan could bring in the best system in the world, but if Westbrook doesn't execute, it will be all for naught. I guess we'll find out this season if Russ is coachable.
Russ needs to put up or shut up. He's this generation's Iverson at the moment, with everything that implies.
Wow that's a strong and really unbased statement. So I suppose Houston had no shot either as they were worse, and as far as I know, A/TO hasn't ever really been related to who wins, though I could be wrong. He's still at about a 2 A/TO with the team at 1.46, so the rest of the team is actually pretty bad. Realize that they moved on from the TO machine of Perkins and have bigs with hands now.
And as for the SRS thing, I guess people are again forgetting that OKC was being talked about like GSW this year literally 2 years ago. It was all about them winning the title until Westbrook got hurt and the team fell apart. So clearly he doesn't help his team. The Iverson comp is ridiculous. He's been a much more willing passer who's been coachable his whole career, the dude wasn't even a PG when he was drafted, he's learned this on the fly for his career and outside Harden there isn't a single current star getting as much unbased bashing as he is.
Edit: And sorry, I needed to rant, but the Iverson thing is just a lazy and poor comparison.
No worries, man. The Iverson thing is a comparison AI made, himself. In terms of general on-court demeanor, I think it's pretty apt, though obviously the results are yet to be fully determined.
Not sure what you mean about the Houston thing. Nobody is saying that the Thunder "don't have a chance" or that the Rockets didn't. Every team has a chance. I'm merely pointing out that the best statistical indicators we've got strongly suggest that the Thunder have not, in fact, reached the level the Warriors played at last season. How close they came is debatable.
Westbrook is an absolutely lethal player in transition, maybe the best in the league overall. The problem Russ has is in the halfcourt against set defenses. Simply put, he forces things, and trusts his questionable jumper entirely too much. I've seen him do this with and without Durant on the court. I think some of the reason Westbrook comes in for so much criticism is also a question of personality. His off-court behavior is just weird, and he often gives off a petulant or angry vibe. Some of this seems to be a factor of the organization's generally hostile approach to the press, but a lot of it is obviously Russ. I don't know what Westbrook's really like as a person, but his public persona makes me question his ability to play nicely with others.