DOT wrote:cgf wrote:The Detroit pick might even end up just as juicy as the 11th overall we gave up for it. We gave up a mountain of SRPs and missed out on J-dub, but there's a good chance of a steal being available with that Pistons pick whenever it converts.
I fail to see how "this pick we're getting in the future might end up as good as the pick we had" is a win. At best, it's neutral
Plus, the pick is top 13 protected next year, top 11 protected in 2026, and top 9 protected in 2027, meaning it can only convey as the 11th pick in 2027
Bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush, Jalen Williams in 2024 would have been more valuable to us than the 11th pick in 2027, and that's if it conveys.
A) those maneuvers also opened up the money for Brunson & Hartenstein, yes they only had to open that money up because they signed Kemba in the first place, but that's a 2021 mistake and a sunken cost by the 2022 offseason. So they recognized & cleaned up a mistake, which is a plus.
B) different drafts have different quality, it's possible that the 12th pick in 2026 or 2027 will net a better prospect than the 11th pick in 2022 did...I mean the 12th pick 2022 was better than the 11th, although that's purely hindsight, even OKC didn't think J-Dub was better than Dieng at the time of the draft or they would've taken Williams first.
C) we're not just getting that Detroit pick. We're also getting a Bucks pick that will probably be in the same range where this FO selected Quickley, Grimes, and McBride...and we might still get that Wizards pick. Probably not since it's only protected for two more years, but it could still convey.
D) a bird in the hand isn't always worth more than a bird in the bush, thus retirement accounts. Sometimes having the cheap asset coming in later down the line is more useful than having another player we'd need to pay soon...especially with Brundle, OG, and Hartenstein due for raises over these next two summers.
Plus those picks can still be used as trade bait...and we got Hart with a pick that wasn't much juicier than any of the picks we got for #11. Obviously would've been better if they hadn't made mistakes in 2021, but given that they did, 2022 was fine work.