The Corey's wrote:I just knew the Heat fan base would act like like they figured it out.
They have to play a perfect game just to barely win.
Good luck holding KP down all series. Good luck keeping the Celtics from hitting their 3s all series.
Ain't happening
You can't fault a fan base from getting a big high off a win everyone said we weren't going to get.
Here's my take, I don't expect Miami to shot 50% again in this series although the stats show Miami has done it now 4 times against Boston in the Playoffs in the last couple series weve had against each other. Still the odds say those margins are hard to replicate, I do expect Miami to shot over 40% at least a couple times, they tend to shoot very well in the playoffs its a thing with this team.
On the coaching side of things, I don't think Spo is looking at this game saying that it took a perfect game, The game plan will to continue to shoot at the pace they did tonight, that's always going to give them a better chance just based on math as an equation, I think what Spo takes from the game if anything is they held Boston to 101 points, which vs Miami that's kind of where they want to hold opponents is there 95-105 is the sweet spot for them. Spo will always look to win the defensive matchup first and worry about offense as something that they can focus on as the game progresses.
Miami is heavily under maned in this series, their only play book is to just play solid efficient basketball and make things uncomfortable. Boston should win this series from all metrics regardless. The only way I see Boston losing this is don't adjust or adjust incorrectly to Miami's funky playstyle.
What Miami will count on is this, play hard enough to keep the games close, whether their up by a couple of points or under by a couple points. Then as the game gets into the clutch moments, try and be more aggressive, kind of the last sprint to the finish line, and hope that its just a bit harder than what Boston does. This means also being poised, not committing turn overs, forcing turnovers, and being comfortable in being uncomfortable. A lot of this is mostly on the coaching to be honest, but they still have very valuable pieces, in Herro, Bam, Caleb and young hungry players trying to shown their worth in Jaime Jaquez and Nikola Jovic who are getting their first ever Playoff experience. A solid bench in Highsmith, Love, Wright, Duncan so Spo has at a minimun solid pieces to put enough pressure on his gameplan from an execution point of view. At the end of the day players hit shots or miss them, thats the biggest part of the pie.
I don't believe KP will go 1-9 again, I think he was caught of guard a bit with Miami changing how they defended him, in the game, they forced him to pass out a lot I thought almost like they ran some decoy defense making him think that passing was better and got him to commit some turnovers, he hesitated a lot waiting for the double to show, but it never came I think that through his shot off a bit. Bam going at him early getting him into foul trouble also made him a bit timid. I think hell adjust to that seeing what Miami did hell be far more assertive in game 3.
You can tell Boston has a very large arsenal in shooting capabilities, when they decide to get it going to close scoring droughts in a flash and can overwhelm Miami really quickly, I think if they time when those spurts to happen like they did in game one it would be to difficult for Miami to get back into the game even if they have an amazing 4th quarter.
Again the advantage here is and will continue to be Boston no matter what happens, Miami is not playing from any advantage point their playing with house money so in essence their playing a bit free-er. Miami is the team in the end that will be making most of the adjustments at every turn using everything they can to will their way to anything positive that can help them win. Boston just has to remember what made them the juggernaut during the regular season and it should close this out accordingly.
