Who are the top ten NBA players of all time?

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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#41 » by JordansBulls » Sun Sep 11, 2016 1:26 pm

KobesScarf wrote:
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KobesScarf wrote:
In 94 the Bulls won 55 games with Pippen and Grant missing TWENTY-TWO games, nuff said.

Relative to the competition Jordan had the best supporting cast ever.

Nope, unless you can prove those guys won league or finals mvp like Magic or Worthy did with Kareem or even without him.


Very very good chance if Pippen and Grant don't get hurt. the Bulls have #1 seed and win the Finals

Not really!! Very good chance that if Daugherty and Nance don't get hurt we lose to Cleveland in opening round.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#42 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Sep 11, 2016 3:35 pm

Quotatious wrote:
Ballerhogger wrote:What makes KG more greater than Bird? I just don't see a case at all.

Bird's only real advantage are the rings,).


Huh? Larry Bird has some other advantages over KG besides just ring count. Better offensive player for starters. I think its reasonable to conclude KG should be ranked above Bird overall--tho I personally disagree, but I don't think its reasonable to say Bird's only advantage is ringgggzzzzzz
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#43 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Sep 11, 2016 3:36 pm

eminence wrote:
Ballerhogger wrote:
eminence wrote:
Swap Bird with KG and I have the same top 10 guys.

What makes KG more greater than Bird? I just don't see a case at all.


Longevity, better peak/prime, pretty much everything really... I believe in the impact stats far more than I'll ever trust box-score stats, and they paint KG pretty clearly as 1a/1b with Lebron since 2001.

A.



But we don't have that data for Bird so that seems like a comparison he's doomed to lose through no fault of his own....
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#44 » by 70sFan » Sun Sep 11, 2016 3:40 pm

1. Kareem
2. Jordan
3. Duncan
4. Russell
5. Shaq/Wilt/LeBron
8. Magic
9. Hakeem
10. Bird

HM: Oscar, West, Kobe, Karl, Moses, KG, Robinson

But this is improvisation, not sure if this list is perfect.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#45 » by Quotatious » Sun Sep 11, 2016 4:06 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:Huh? Larry Bird has some other advantages over KG besides just ring count. Better offensive player for starters. I think its reasonable to conclude KG should be ranked above Bird overall--tho I personally disagree, but I don't think its reasonable to say Bird's only advantage is ringgggzzzzzz

Sure, if you start dissecting what they both brought to the table, it's obvious that Bird was better at some things and Garnett was better at other things, but I made that comment while having the big picture in mind - i.e. a quick mental calculation of the overall package they had, and honestly, KG comes out on top to me.

As you know, the box-score metrics generally measure offense much more (and much better) than defense, and here's how Bird and Garnett compare between age 23 and 35 (which was Bird's entire career) based on those:

PER:

Garnett: 24.5
Bird: 23.5

Points per 100 possessions + TS% (can't use raw PPG because pace was higher in Bird's era):

Bird: 30.3 (56.4% TS)
Garnett: 29.3 (55.6% TS)

WS/48:

Garnett: 21.0
Bird: 20.3

BPM:

Bird: 7.2
Garnett: 6.6

Bird looks better in the playoffs, but Garnett was either playing with poor supporting casts in Minnesota, or a bit past his prime in Boston. Bird played a lot more games with good supporting casts in his absolute prime, this is the biggest reason why his game seems to translate to playoffs better than Garnett's.

The way I see it is - if those metrics are skewed in favor of offense, and Bird is considered so much better as an offensive player by almost everybody, but Garnett is still so close to him based on those offense-oriented metrics, it means that Bird's advantage on offense isn't nearly as big as people believe (I mentioned scoring earlier, but position-relative, Garnett was also a special playmaker, so was Bird). Garnett is widely (and rightfully) considered a superior defender than Bird, therefore box-score stats fail to capture more of his overall positive impact, than in Bird's case. And guess what - we have +/- stats that make Garnett look like a monster defensively, and a monster overall, perhaps the most impactful player of his generation. You know, like in Chamberlain vs Russell debate, box-score does a much better job capturing Wilt's impact (well, actually it overstates his impact to some extent), than Bill's impact (which is vastly understated because of the lack of defensive stats in a box-score, particularly during Wilt's and Bill's careers, before the NBA started tracking steals and blocks).

Not to mention that KG had other good seasons which bring some value to his career - in 1998, 1999 and 2013, he was the best player on playoff teams. These are not really prime seasons, but still good enough (all-star quality) that I wouldn't ignore them.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#46 » by mischievous » Sun Sep 11, 2016 4:10 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
Quotatious wrote:
Ballerhogger wrote:What makes KG more greater than Bird? I just don't see a case at all.

Bird's only real advantage are the rings,).


Huh? Larry Bird has some other advantages over KG besides just ring count. Better offensive player for starters. I think its reasonable to conclude KG should be ranked above Bird overall--tho I personally disagree, but I don't think its reasonable to say Bird's only advantage is ringgggzzzzzz

That's ironic too, since Q had Bird ahead in peaks back when he was running those peak polls.

I'd probably actually rank Kg ahead as far a a one year peak, but the difference is really small. I'd rank Bird's prime and career higher though, i'd argue he was a little better when we look at for example a 5-7 year stretch and honestly that's what i consider the heaviest when ranking players. Extra longevity years help, but mean only so much compared to their clump of best seasons.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#47 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Sep 11, 2016 4:21 pm

Quotatious wrote:
Spoiler:
Texas Chuck wrote:Huh? Larry Bird has some other advantages over KG besides just ring count. Better offensive player for starters. I think its reasonable to conclude KG should be ranked above Bird overall--tho I personally disagree, but I don't think its reasonable to say Bird's only advantage is ringgggzzzzzz

Sure, if you start dissecting what they both brought to the table, it's obvious that Bird was better at some things and Garnett was better at other things, but I made that comment while having the big picture in mind - i.e. a quick mental calculation of the overall package they had, and honestly, KG comes out on top to me.

As you know, the box-score metrics generally measure offense much more (and much better) than defense, and here's how Bird and Garnett compare between age 23 and 35 (which was Bird's entire career) based on those:

PER:

Garnett: 24.5
Bird: 23.5

Points per 100 possessions + TS% (can't use raw PPG because pace was higher in Bird's era):

Bird: 30.3 (56.4% TS)
Garnett: 29.3 (55.6% TS)

WS/48:

Garnett: 21.0
Bird: 20.3

BPM:

Bird: 7.2
Garnett: 6.6

Bird looks better in the playoffs, but Garnett was either playing with poor supporting casts in Minnesota, or a bit past his prime in Boston. Bird played a lot more games with good supporting casts in his absolute prime, this is the biggest reason why his game seems to translate to playoffs better than Garnett's.

The way I see it is - if those metrics are skewed in favor of offense, and Bird is considered so much better as an offensive player by almost everybody, but Garnett is still so close to him based on those offense-oriented metrics, it means that Bird's advantage on offense isn't nearly as big as people believe (I mentioned scoring earlier, but position-relative, Garnett was also a special playmaker, so was Bird). Garnett is widely (and rightfully) considered a superior defender than Bird, therefore box-score stats fail to capture more of his overall positive impact, than in Bird's case. And guess what - we have +/- stats that make Garnett look like a monster defensively, and a monster overall, perhaps the most impactful player of his generation. You know, like in Chamberlain vs Russell debate, box-score does a much better job capturing Wilt's impact (well, actually it overstates his impact to some extent), than Bill's impact (which is vastly understated because of the lack of defensive stats in a box-score, particularly during Wilt's and Bill's careers, before the NBA started tracking steals and blocks).

Not to mention that KG had other good seasons which bring some value to his career - in 1998, 1999 and 2013, he was the best player on playoff teams. These are not really prime seasons, but still good enough (all-star quality) that I wouldn't ignore them.



Q,

Not trying to deny KG having a case over Bird. I agree he can make a very compelling one. I was just surprised by your initial post which seemed to be somewhat dismissive of Bird's chances against KG other than team success.

Nobody should be picking Bird ahead of KG based on team results regardless. KG had plenty of team success in Boston and while the Wolves never had any PS success outside that magical year with Cassell, KG certainly deserves a lot of credit keeping the Wolves consistently in the playoff mix in a very competitive conference.

But nor should we ignore what Bird brought to the table either. Hard to find any players more competitive and driven to win than KG, but Bird doesn't take a backseat to anyone either in that regard. KG was a tremendous playmaker for a big man. But Bird was a tremendous playmaker, period. As in in the conversation for greatest ever. I don't think we brush that difference aside.

And KG was a much better offensive player than he gets credit for. I've always believed KG's defense gets overrated while his offense gets underrated. I think much of the impact stats that people use to elevate his defense up with the all-time greats are actually more reflective of him having high impact on both ends rather than him being a Russell/Robinson/Duncan type defender. But he didn't cause the issues for defenses that Bird did in terms of them having to fear Bird as a scorer first making it even easier for Bird to destroy them with his passing.

In conclusion, both guys amazing players, I have no issue with anyone picking either over the other, but did want to make sure Bird received his due in the comparison.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#48 » by eminence » Sun Sep 11, 2016 4:56 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
eminence wrote:
Ballerhogger wrote:What makes KG more greater than Bird? I just don't see a case at all.


Longevity, better peak/prime, pretty much everything really... I believe in the impact stats far more than I'll ever trust box-score stats, and they paint KG pretty clearly as 1a/1b with Lebron since 2001.

A.



But we don't have that data for Bird so that seems like a comparison he's doomed to lose through no fault of his own....


Ehh, it's not so difficult to make an educated guess. JE's 01-15 15year RAPM.

15 year Orapm
1. Nash 6.94
2. Lebron 6.86
3. CP3 6.54
4. Kobe 5.83
5. Harden 5.79

15 year Drapm
1. KG 7.2
2. Duncan 5.71
3. Ben Wallace 5.7
4. Mutombo 5.53
5. Bogut 5.45

15 year Rapm
1. Lebron 9.25 (6.86/2.39)
2. KG 9.11 (1.91/7.2)
3. CP3 7.55 (6.54/1.01)
4. Duncan 7.27 (1.56/5.71)
5. Dirk 6.85 (4.97/1.88)

My estimates would be about a 6 on offense, and probably right around a 1 on defense.

Overall that would put him in the CP3/Duncan/Dirk impact class and not the Lebron/KG group. Even being generous I think the most that could be estimated would be a bit over an 8, which would put him in a clear 3rd.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#49 » by Texas Chuck » Sun Sep 11, 2016 6:03 pm

I think we have to be careful with estimates. I argued Admiral's prime ahead of KG's for a long time here and most disagreed citing RAPM data. Then we got more RAPM data and it looked much better than people's estimations. I'm not saying for sure Bird matches KG who obviously scores very highly in that metric, but I wouldn't want to make my decisions primarily on a data point we have for one guy and don't on another.

Plus there is the very real danger of that data point being prejudicial towards the player we have it for and then we work backwards from the data to justify the RAPM numbers. Not saying anyone specifically is doing that, but anytime we rely heavily on any one metric its a concern.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#50 » by eminence » Sun Sep 11, 2016 6:58 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:I think we have to be careful with estimates. I argued Admiral's prime ahead of KG's for a long time here and most disagreed citing RAPM data. Then we got more RAPM data and it looked much better than people's estimations. I'm not saying for sure Bird matches KG who obviously scores very highly in that metric, but I wouldn't want to make my decisions primarily on a data point we have for one guy and don't on another.

Plus there is the very real danger of that data point being prejudicial towards the player we have it for and then we work backwards from the data to justify the RAPM numbers. Not saying anyone specifically is doing that, but anytime we rely heavily on any one metric its a concern.


Curious to what you're talking about here, as we don't have that data for the Admiral's prime (we're missing the lineup tracking, I believe)? The earliest RAPM I've seen is from A Screaming's blog, back to '96-'97.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#51 » by 2klegend » Sun Sep 11, 2016 9:12 pm

Refer to my Top 100 for a close answer. Anyway playoff is where KG/Malone shouldn't be in the Top 10.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#52 » by -Sammy- » Sun Sep 11, 2016 9:17 pm

1.) MJ
2.) KAJ
3.) Magic
4.) Wilt
5.) Russell
6.) Duncan
7.) LBJ
8.) Bird
9.) Shaq
10.) Oscar

Honorables: 11.) Hakeem, 12.) Kobe, 13.) West, 14.) KG, 15.) Dr.J or Moses
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#53 » by COSBY » Mon Sep 12, 2016 12:05 am

Jordan
Jabbar
Russell
Magic
Bird
Duncan
Chamberlain
Shaq
Kobe
LeBron
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#54 » by Ballerhogger » Mon Sep 12, 2016 12:11 am

2klegend wrote:Refer to my Top 100 for a close answer. Anyway playoff is where KG/Malone shouldn't be in the Top 10.

Playoffs is the big difference between them. Plus Bird offensively was at different level than KG. A SF who brought scoring, rebounding and assits.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#55 » by trex_8063 » Mon Sep 12, 2016 3:21 am

eminence wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:I think we have to be careful with estimates. I argued Admiral's prime ahead of KG's for a long time here and most disagreed citing RAPM data. Then we got more RAPM data and it looked much better than people's estimations. I'm not saying for sure Bird matches KG who obviously scores very highly in that metric, but I wouldn't want to make my decisions primarily on a data point we have for one guy and don't on another.

Plus there is the very real danger of that data point being prejudicial towards the player we have it for and then we work backwards from the data to justify the RAPM numbers. Not saying anyone specifically is doing that, but anytime we rely heavily on any one metric its a concern.


Curious to what you're talking about here, as we don't have that data for the Admiral's prime (we're missing the lineup tracking, I believe)? The earliest RAPM I've seen is from A Screaming's blog, back to '96-'97.


fwiw, colts18 did some RAPM regressions for '94-'96 (note: NPI, regular season data only, and players who split the season between multiple teams are omitted):

'94:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VSPxw_RVZ-WBOHM5J434efmLjMYGVYi8CrA59WS7GuA/edit#gid=2018314684

'95:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hnhhuQhlY-hp0Qt6xT-cUe2tqBF3TxPjYW8g0mblnmQ/edit#gid=1932503302

'96:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nqWP4Lu7lBjAydga0vrN1Gv4L686iA1AktvFj4vgKSo/edit#gid=1715147358
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#56 » by wallsfamily » Mon Sep 12, 2016 3:03 pm

To not understand the impact of a 20+ ppg veteran who makes 55+% of his shots and still could protect the rim on the Lakers @ advanced age is ridiculous Jordan Bulls. Kareem made Magic's job so easy and West did what every GM should do with players to keep a dynasty and stay relevant He kept Kareem a quality backup big who could also play with him it stretched his career and allowed them to dominate the most competitive decade (@ the top) ever. I do agree Jordan is better but it is not because of the 80's Kareem dominated a league that had Nate Thurmond, Lanier, McAdoo, Cowens, Wilt, Walton, Gilmore, Moses, and then played toe to toe with Hakeem, Sampson, Ewing.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#57 » by KingRobb02 » Mon Sep 12, 2016 4:12 pm

Can someone explain the Jordan #1 thing to me? I grew up during his prime, so I understand people my age thinking he's amazing. But what makes fans say he is no doubt #1 and will never be challenged? IMO the 90s were a pretty weak era for wings outside of Jordan and Pippen.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#58 » by KingRobb02 » Mon Sep 12, 2016 4:19 pm

Top 5 in some order: Kareem, Lebron, Jordan, Duncan, Wilt
6-7 interchangeable: Magic and Bird
8-11 pretty tight: Stockton, Shaq, Russell, kg
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Re: RE: Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#59 » by Colbinii » Mon Sep 12, 2016 4:19 pm

KingRobb02 wrote:Can someone explain the Jordan #1 thing to me? I grew up during his prime, so I understand people my age thinking he's amazing. But what makes fans say he is no doubt #1 and will never be challenged? IMO the 90s were a pretty weak era for wings outside of Jordan and Pippen.

I think a lot of people just put MJ #1 without a lot of thought and then start at #2, when there should be real discussion as who the GOAT should be. MJ, LeBron, Duncan, Russell, and Kareem should all be looked at, and even Wilt and KG should be thrown into that group and analyzed thoroughly.
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Re: Who are the top ten NBA players of all time? 

Post#60 » by trex_8063 » Mon Sep 12, 2016 4:35 pm

KingRobb02 wrote: IMO the 90s were a pretty weak era for wings outside of Jordan and Pippen.


I don't really want to debate the point that 90's were or were not a weak era for wings, nor the Jordan as #1 point. But let's say for sake of argument that the 90's didn't have a lot to show for big-time wings.....wouldn't the fact that he distinguished himself so far from from ALL of his positionally same peers be an argument FOR him, not against?
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