RealGM Top 100 List #13

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RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#1 » by TMACFORMVP » Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:10 am

Baller asked if I could make the thread, so here it is.

RULES:
There will be a zero tolerance, one strike policy. If ANY poster is interrupting any of the threads in a negative way, OR causing any problems they're ability to vote will be taken away.

Criteria: Take into account both peak and career play, era dominance, impact on the game of basketball, and how well their style of play and skills would transcend onto different eras. To be more exact, how great they were at playing the game of basketball.

Voting Will End In 2 Days

Please vote and nominate

Newest addition:

Dwyane Wade
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NBA Champion (2006)
7x NBA All-Star
2x All-NBA First Team
3 All-NBA Second Team
1x All-NBA Third Team
3x All-NBA Defensive Second Team
2010 All-Star Game MVP
2006 NBA Finals MVP

Bob Pettit
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NBA Champion (1958)
2× NBA MVP (1956, 1959)
4× NBA All-Star Game MVP (1956, 1958–1959, 1962)
11× NBA All-Star (1955–1965)
NBA Rookie of the Year (1955)
10× All-NBA First Team (1955–1964)
All-NBA Second Team (1965)
2× NBA Scoring Champion (1957, 1959)
NBA 25th Anniversary Team
NBA 35th Anniversary Team
NBA 50th Anniversary All-Time Team

David Robinson
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2× NBA Champion (1999,2003)
NBA MVP (1995)
4x All-NBA 1st Team
2x All-NBA 2nd Team
4x All-NBA 3rd Team
4x All-NBA 1st Team
NBA DPOY (1992)
4x NBA All-Defense 1st Team
4x NBA All-Defense 2nd Team
NBA ROY (1990)
10x All-Star

Dirk Nowitzki
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# NBA MVP (2007)
# NBA Champion (2011)
# NBA Finals MVP (2011)
# 4x All-NBA 1st Team
# 5x All-NBA 2nd Team
# 2x All-NBA 3rd Team
# 10x NBA All-Star

Charles Barkley
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# NBA MVP (1991)
# 5x 1st Team All-NBA
# 5x 2nd Team All-NBA
# 1x 3rd Team All-NBA
# 11 times All-Star
# All-Star MVP 1991
# Hall of Fame 2006

LeBron James
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# 2x NBA MVP (2009-2010)
# 5x All-NBA First Team Selection (2006-2011)
# 2x All-NBA Second Team Selection (2005-2006)
# 3x NBA All-Defensive First Team Selection (2009-2011)
# Rookie of the Year (2004)
# 7x All-Star
# 2xNBA All-Star Game MVP (2006, 2008)

Kevin Garnett
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# NBA Champion (2009)
# NBA MVP (2004)
# 4x All-NBA First Team Selection (2000,2003-2004, 2008)
# 3x All-NBA Second Team Selection (2001-2002, 2005)
# 2x All-NBA Third Team Selection (1999, 2007)
# NBA Defensive Player of the Year (2008)
# 9x NBA All-Defensive First Team Selection (2000-2005, 2008-2009, 2011)
# 2x NBA All-Defensive Second Team Selection (2006-2007)
# 14x All-Star
# NBA All-Star Game MVP (2004)

Oscar Robertson
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* NBA Champion (1971)
* NBA MVP (1964)
* NBA Rookie of the Year (1961)
* 3x NBA All-Star Game MVP (1961, 1964, 1969)
* 9× All-NBA First Team Selection (1961-1969)
* 2× All-NBA Second Team Selection (1970-1971)
* 12× All-Star (1961-1972)
* Voted to the HOF in 1980
* NBA's 50th Anniversary All-Time Team

Jerry West
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* NBA Champion (1972)
* NBA Finals MVP (1969)
* 14× All-Star (1961-1974)
* NBA All-Star Game MVP (1972)
* 10× All-NBA First Team Selection (1962-1967, 1970-1973)
* 2× All-NBA Second Team Selection (1968-1969)
* 4X NBA All-Defense Team Selection (1970-1973)
* 1X NBA All-Defense Team Selection (1969)
* Voted to the Hall of Fame in 1980
* NBA's 50th Anniversary All-Time Team

Moses Malone
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* 1x NBA Champion 1983 Philadelphia 76ers (NBA)
* 3x MVP (1979, 1982, 1983)
* 12x NBA All-Star (1978-1989), 1x ABA All-Star (1975)
* 4x All-NBA First Team Selection (1979, 1982, 1983, 1985)
* 4x All-NBA Second Team Selection (1980, 1981, 1984, 1987)
* 1x NBA All-Defensive First Team Selection (1983)
* 1x NBA All-Defensive 2nd Team Selection (1979)
* 1x NBA Finals MVP (1983)
* All Rookie Team (ABA 1975)
* Basketball HOF Player (2001)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#2 » by Dr Positivity » Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:15 am

Repeating what I said last thread. Garnett vs West is very, very close for me. Garnett has the defense and West has the offense. I prefer them both to Malone and Erving.

Overall I give Garnett the benefit of the doubt for greater health and doing it a modern era

Nominate: Patrick Ewing. IMO he should be in already. Consistent 20 and 10 with elite defense, got much better offensively as his career went on, took his team to G7 of the Finals where he could've won if not for Starks, plus pushed Jordan's Bulls as hard as anyone. Played a long time and always hard. Dominant Cs are the most important spot, I don't know how anyone could say they'd actually prefer having Havlicek or Nash/Frazier with their short superstar primes over Ewing, if given the choice
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#3 » by therealbig3 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:46 am

Voting is pretty easy for me.

Vote: Kevin Garnett
Nominate: Rick Barry

The thing with Ewing though, is that you can pretty much ignore 98-02 for him. So that's 86-97, which is 12 years. Not the greatest longevity. There's also a lot of questions regarding his performance in the playoffs. DavidStern pointed out that Ewing had some monster playoff games, but he also had plenty of stinkers. Overall, his scoring efficiency suffers in the playoffs, and his teams lost plenty of games that you can directly trace back to him not playing well.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#4 » by ronnymac2 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:47 am

It probably comes down to West vs. KG for me. Not going to vote yet.

I'll try to put up a post arguing for Rick Barry in this thread. The dude was one of the best offensive anchors ever and a useful piece defensively.

The nomination for me comes down to Ewing, Barry, Baylor, and possibly Frazier.

Nash, Kidd, Drexler, Thomas, Havlicek and Pippen are in the near future as well.

Bob McAdoo, Marques Johnson, and Sidney Moncrief might at least be argued before 30 as well. Their peaks were fantastic.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#5 » by ronnymac2 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 5:00 am

I think Dwight should be appearing in the somewhat near future as well actually...
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#6 » by colts18 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 5:05 am

I don't get voting Garnett over Nowitzki if you value postseason. I see no argument whatsoever that KG is even close to Dirk in the postseason. You can argue that KG was better in the regular season, but Dirk showed impact in places where KG did (APM, RAPM) and his teams have played .695 ball the last 11 years which equates to about 57 wins per year. He did it since 2003 (8 seasons) with just 1 all-star beside him (Josh Howard) and 0 All-NBA players. During that span, he averaged 56.3 win per season and won 9 postseason series. Why are the KG fans bashing guys like David Robinson for performing worse in the postseason (forgetting that his lower standard is still higher than KG) while at the same time ignore that Dirk has had pretty similar regular season impact while having exponentially more postseason impact because he improves in the postseason while KG declines.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#7 » by Bucksfans1and2 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 5:24 am

I'm undecided between Moses, West, KG, and Barkley.

Nominate: Dwight Howard (Yes I did)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#8 » by Gongxi » Sat Jul 23, 2011 6:02 am

Gonna have to look at the arguments regarding KG, Moses, and West before voting. As far as nominations, it's looking like it might be Ewing time from me. Not even close to an official nomination, though.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#9 » by ElGee » Sat Jul 23, 2011 7:29 am

Vote: Kevin Garnett
Nominate: Steve Nash

Not sure if people need a Nash argument...I will make one if need be.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#10 » by therealbig3 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 8:37 am

colts18 wrote:I don't get voting Garnett over Nowitzki if you value postseason. I see no argument whatsoever that KG is even close to Dirk in the postseason. You can argue that KG was better in the regular season, but Dirk showed impact in places where KG did (APM, RAPM) and his teams have played .695 ball the last 11 years which equates to about 57 wins per year. He did it since 2003 (8 seasons) with just 1 all-star beside him (Josh Howard) and 0 All-NBA players. During that span, he averaged 56.3 win per season and won 9 postseason series. Why are the KG fans bashing guys like David Robinson for performing worse in the postseason (forgetting that his lower standard is still higher than KG) while at the same time ignore that Dirk has had pretty similar regular season impact while having exponentially more postseason impact because he improves in the postseason while KG declines.


KG peaked higher in terms of APM, I believe, while Nowitzki has been more consistent (at least this is what I picked up when mysticbb and drza debated lol). It's a very close debate, but I lean towards KG. I think he satisfies more team needs. Although not the greatest volume scorer in the world, he gives you a solid 20-23 ppg, while giving you an elite rebounder, defender, and passer at his position.

I think you're getting too caught up in looking at only scoring, while ignoring everything else that KG brings to the table.

And I don't think it's possible to compare KG's help to Nowitzki's...Nowitzki has clearly had more talent...the talent he's played with gets overrated sometimes, but it's definitely better than KG's. It's more than just counting All-Stars or All-NBA selections, which is what people do too many times.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#11 » by therealbig3 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 8:40 am

ElGee wrote:Vote: Kevin Garnett
Nominate: Steve Nash

Not sure if people need a Nash argument...I will make one if need be.


I'm interested in a Nash argument...mainly because of the people that have not been nominated yet, I have Barry, Baylor, Pippen, and Frazier ahead of Nash, as of right now. Why do you pick Nash over them?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#12 » by lorak » Sat Jul 23, 2011 10:31 am

vote: KG
nomination: Ewing

However I could change my nomination to Barry, but I would like to see a good explanation of Barry's low scoring efficiency.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#13 » by lorak » Sat Jul 23, 2011 12:35 pm

I see that West is getng some votes already, but Robertson gets no love. So I’m going to try to explain why Oscar should be before Jerry.

1.Defense

Defense is one of the main arguments in “West vs Robertson” debate. Stories about West defense are great, just like Kobe’s reputation or stories about Wilt. But the facts are different.

We have to remember that even today, with three point line, so when perimeter defense is much more important than during 60s and 70s, point guards, or overall small players have very little value on defense. Sure, West might be exception from that rule, like for example Kidd but I think it’s very unlikly because of two reasons. First was already mentioned – no three point line, game focused on inside, so perimeter defense was less important (and – what’s seen when we watching games from the 60s - really bad).

Second, the data we have: games with/without and drtg estimations for Lakers.

Code: Select all

Lakers defense with and without West
Year   with   w/o   difference
1968   116,3   114,1   +2,2
68+69   111,9   111,6   +0,3
1971   112,0   109,6   +2,4   
1973   104,9   94,9   +10,0

Sure, these results could be affected by pace, but we don’t know, because teams sometimes plays faster without star and sometimes slower. But these results is what should be expected because of low value of perimeter player on defense and it’s consistent with other data (below). It’s also resonable that West was the worst at the end of his career. West is also known as player who steals ball a lot, but that kind of players, especially small, often gamble and that hurts the defense. So all these result seems plausible in bigger context.

Thx to Elgee we also have ortg/drtg estimations pre 1974 so we could see how Lakers defense changed in season when West was injured. In theory if he was so valuable on D, Lakers defense should be worse in this season when he missed games.

1961 was West’s rookie season, he played 35MPG in 79 games. Lakers defense improved by -0.9 drtg relatively to league average (-0.5 in 1960, -1.4 in 1961).

But the next year West played more minutes, 41 MPG, and Lakers defense was worse: -0.3

The next year (1963) he was injured and played in only 55 games, but Lakers defense wasn't worse, it was opposite: it improved to -1.2

Next season, West played 72 games, 40 MPG and Lakers defense is much worse than year before: +2.6 (so worse than league average).

For the next three season Lakers defense stays at the same level (worse than LA!) and West played 74, 79 and 66 games. Then he played 51 games in 1968 and Lakers defense again wasn't worse (in fact it stayed almost the same: +1.2 in 1967 and +1.1 in 1968).

In 1969 West played only 61 games, but Lakers defense improved (I guess Wilt effect), not by much but my point stands - West wasn't important to Lakers defense.

In 1970 and 1971 the same story, Lakers defense still worse than LA and then in 1972 was the best defensive team West ever played: -3.0 drtg. But how much he, player rather past his defensive prime, was responsible for that? Wilt was doing the best Russell impresion ever, and we know that Russell anchored great defenses with Cousy in the team (no, I’m not compating Cousy to West, I’m just saying that if team have so great defender in the middle like Russell or ’72 Wilt it really doesn’t matter who plays on the perimeter).

I would also like to point that Robertson was better rebounder than West and that’s important when we are talking about their defense. Because West might be better man to man defender (or to be exact – better in some aspect like fighting through the screens or passing lanes; but Big O was for example better as post defender), but Robertson defensive rebounds might have bigger value (just like with Magic or Kidd).


Conlcusion
So overall we have different data (with/without, team drtg) which tells the same story – West wasn’t too importatnt to Lakers defense, in fact it seems that they often were better defensively when West played less. So data confirms that West’s impact on defense was little or none and some generall rules (small players have low or none value on D; players who steals a lot are often gamblers and hurt team D; perimetr defense in 60s was even less important because of lack of 3pt line) are coherent with that. So overall it seems that West wasn’t as good on D as his reputation suggest.

Sure, he still might be better defender than Robertson (and I think in fact he was, but not by as much as West’s reputation suggest), but the point is – in this compariosn defense isn’t too important, because none of the players had significant value on D.

2. Ofense
That’s what rally matters here, because both of them were GREAT offensive players.
And while West was really great offensive player, Roberston was better, he was almost on the same tier as Magic.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=6205
The best offensive teams of all time, two of them (# 3 and # 25) were anchored by Robertson. There is no team anchored by West.

Here we see players who have played for the best offenses. Players with team offense 4 or more and who were offensive creators on these teams (so no Amare or Worthy) are:
1. Nash
2. Magic
3. Robertson
4. Bird


So Robertson is in very good company, West is also on that list, but below, in second tier of players (Payton, KJ).

I was also looking at West's and Robertson's teams ortg relatively to LA in a seasons when they played at least 70 games.
Big O had 11 such seasons, West only 7 (!).
And on average Robertson's teams had +4.7 ortg and West's +2.5

3. Missed games
People usually don’t talk about that but it’s very important thing in career evaluations like this project.

I already said above that West had only 7 seasons, when he played at least 70G, Robettson 11.

They spent the same amount of years in the NBA and Robertson overall played +100 more games than West.
West even twice (1967 and 1974) missed playoffs because of his injury.
Robertson never played less than 64 games in a season, West 4 times played less than 64 and he never played more than 79.

Something like that is important, because when you miss games you reduce your team chances to win.

4. Value
Thx to Elgee’s and ThaRegul8r’s work in RPOY threads we know somethng abou West’s and Robertson’s overall value to their teams.
West:
1968 +6.4
68+69 +5.7
1971 +11.0
1973 +0.8

In Robetson’s case there was data only about his one season, so if anyone have more, plsease share with us.

Robertson 1968
+13.3 net, he improved offense by +10.9 (!) and defense by -2.2
Overall with Robertson 1968 Royals had 36 wins and 29 loses, without him 3-14 (!) That’s how bad team he had in Cinny.
(and that without counting that game: 11/25 “The Royals played the last 36 minutes without Oscar Robertson” in a 133-123 L to Detroit (NY Times, Nov. 26, 1987)).


Ach, I don’t have more time and I want to talk about several other things, like for example that Robertson was the only player who won MVP in a era of Russell and Wilt and what it means in this comparison or about playoffs performances (however I have been talking about it in one of the previous threads, and West wasn’t better playoff performer than Robertson), but maybe I’ll do it other day.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#14 » by JordansBulls » Sat Jul 23, 2011 12:46 pm

Vote: Moses Malone
Nominate: Clyde Drexler


I don't see how in the hell Karl Malone went ahead of Moses Malone.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#15 » by dan_atko97 » Sat Jul 23, 2011 1:40 pm

vote: KG
nominate: tbd later when i read more
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#16 » by Fencer reregistered » Sat Jul 23, 2011 2:16 pm

Vote: KG. I've been voting for him since #10.

Nominee: Havlicek. (Edited from Barry) I'm biasing my nominees a bit for positional balance rather that strictly by an estimate of who I'll vote for 10 places down. Swingman makes sense to add to the list, which right now has (mainly) a bunch of bigs and several combo guards.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#17 » by Fencer reregistered » Sat Jul 23, 2011 2:20 pm

By the way, how smart it is to gamble for a steal is affected by at least two factors:

1. Your scoring efficiency off the turnover, contrasted to your scoring efficiency after getting the ball in other ways.

2. Whether you have an outstanding shotblocker behind you.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#18 » by Laimbeer » Sat Jul 23, 2011 3:41 pm

JordansBulls wrote:Vote: Moses Malone
Nominate: Clyde Drexler


I don't see how in the hell Karl Malone went ahead of Moses Malone.


Moses got next to no love. It's pretty clear to me a peak Moses is more valuable than a peak Karl or KG, so I'd be interested in the reasoning of the folks who emphasize peak and voted Karl or are favoring KG now. Moses wasn't discussed a lot, IIRC.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#19 » by Laimbeer » Sat Jul 23, 2011 3:45 pm

I'm coming in feeling West for my vote, but I'm open. Moses is a solid possibility, along with Oscar.

The Barry love for the nomination is interesting, looking forward to hearing those discussions. Still feeling like it's Hondo right now.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #13 

Post#20 » by Fencer reregistered » Sat Jul 23, 2011 3:48 pm

Laimbeer wrote:I'm coming in feeling West for my vote, but I'm open. Moses is a solid possibility, along with Oscar.

The Barry love for the nomination is interesting, looking forward to hearing those discussions. Still feeling like it's Hondo right now.


Oh, I'll happily switch my nomination to Hondo. It would be good to see him discussed a bit while West and Oscar are.
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