1997-2014, my observations

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Jaivl
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1997-2014, my observations 

Post#1 » by Jaivl » Wed Feb 18, 2015 10:23 pm

Hey guys.

So recently I did a statistical study about said time period, using mainly a blend of avaliable "pure" RAPM data (PI when possible, NPI for 1997 and 2001, used the infamous 14 year dataset with a small weight for validity purposes, thanks to JE, acrossthecourt, shutupandjam for said data) combined with my own statistical-plus minus (which has an adjusted R^2 of about 0.600, I know for example BPM is better but I like to do my own stuff when possible) and maybe the most important thing of all, the thing I call "usage factor", which is a boxscore metric really dependant on usage, so it rewards players with a bigger role.

The resultant number represents the total contribution from a player from 1997 to 2014. It is... just a number, I didn't try to convert it into wins or other stuff. Some important players:

Spoiler:

#1 Tim Duncan: 283.0
#2 Kevin Garnett: 279.7
#3 LeBron James: 258.3 (unstoppable)
#4 Dirk Nowitzki: 242.8
#5 Kobe Bryant: 222.2 (shame of 04, 05 seasons)
#6 Shaquille O'Neal: 190.1
#7 Paul Pierce: 179.4
#8 Jason Kidd: 164.7
#9 Dwyane Wade: 161.6
#10 Ray Allen: 153.7
#11 Vince Carter: 148.7 (late years as a great role player help him)
#12 Chris Paul: 147.2
#13 Steve Nash: 128.6 (underrated by the metric IMO)
#14 Dwight Howard: 122.5
#15 Allen Iverson: 121.4
---
Rasheed Wallace: 121.2
Manu Ginóbili: 117.9
Shawn Marion: 116.3
Karl Malone: 112.2
Pau Gasol: 112.0
Tracy McGrady: 108.6
Chris Bosh: 108.4
Kevin Durant: 101.0
Elton Brand: 100.8
Chauncey Billups: 97.7
Tony Parker: 95.6
Andre Miller: 94.3 (underrated by the general fanbase IMO)
Eddie Jones: 91.5 (another underrated player)
David Robinson: 82.2
John Stockton: 81.4
Carmelo Anthony: 81.3
Ben Wallace: 80.4
Andrei Kirilenko: 79.8
Chris Webber: 79.5
LaMarcus Aldridge: 78.2
Joe Johnson: 76.1
Yao Ming: 66.9
Vlade Divac: 66.4
Sam Cassell: 62.9
Blake Griffin/Russell Westbrook: 60.7
Shane Battier: 60.4
Steve Francis: 60.0
Amar'e Stoudamire: 55.5
James Harden: 53.2
Michael Jordan: 50.5
Marc Gasol: 49.5
Kevin Love: 45.2
Stephen Curry: 44.4
Rajon Rondo: 32.9


*No playoffs.
*Pure PG's (Nash being the most obvious example) may very well be underrated, my SPM kinda hates them.

Any thoughts? Any strange results? Feel free to post whatever you can, including players you would like to know about.
This place is a cesspool of mindless ineptitude, mental decrepitude, and intellectual lassitude. I refuse to be sucked any deeper into this whirlpool of groupthink sewage. My opinions have been expressed. I'm going to go take a shower.

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