RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14

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RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#1 » by penbeast0 » Sat Jul 15, 2017 9:21 pm

2017 List
1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. Lebron James
4. Bill Russell
5. Tim Duncan
6. Wilt Chamberlain
7. Magic Johnson
8. Shaquille O'Neal
9. Hakeem Olajuwon
10. Larry Bird
11. Kobe Bryant
12. Kevin Garnett
13. Oscar Robertson
14. ????


OK, go!

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#2 » by penbeast0 » Sat Jul 15, 2017 9:22 pm

VOTE: George Mikan. Yes, he played in a smaller, appreciably weaker NBA without the great black stars of his day. However, he dominated his league in a way that no one left, not even Shaq, matches. I am willing to switch my vote if (a) someone does a good analysis of his impact v. that of Shaq/Hakeem or (b) someone convinces me that Bird/Kobe/other deserves to be in ahead of Shaq/Hakeem. It's a bit of a cheat since I know he has no support, but I want him to be in the conversation. He was considered the best offensive player of the day AND the best defensive player and had a run of title teams similar to MJ without the hiatus. Of course, then you have to discount for his era . . . figure the talent of about 1 division in Jordan's day, and even less today where the league has greatly expanded it's talent base. However, even in Mikan's day, if you were close to 7 foot tall, you at least considered a basketball career so the talent differential is less than at other positions.

ardee wrote:

Could you repost the stats comparing Mikan to Jordan?




1951 is the first year we have rebounding stats available and, according to Win Shares, the last year of his true prime (WS averaged 21.8 for the 3 years up to that, 13.9 for the 3 years after that, then he retired except for a short, aborted attempt at a comeback in 56). So let's take that and compare it to Jordan's best year of 1991(according to WS, it's either 88 for highest total or 91 for WS/48 and just behind 88 for total because he "only" played 3081 minutes).

In terms of raw averages:
Mikan averaged 14.1reb, 4.1ast, 28.4pts on a ts% of .509 v. a league ts% of .428 on a pace of 94.8
Jordan averaged 6.0reb, 5.5ast, 31.5pts on a ts% of .605 v. a league ts% of .534 and a pace of 95.6

The pace is not that different, nor are the raw numbers taking into account the positions they played; the key is the ts%. But, using a simple ratio, Mikan's equivalent ts% relative to 1991 league numbers is .634! So, rather than being inefficient, you can see that for his time he was extremely efficient. Nothing fancy, but it's always a shock how much efficiency changes from the 50s to the 60s.

Alternate: By the numbers, Karl Malone, by the eye test, Jerry West, by advanced statistics David Robinson . . . my secondary pick is Jerry West. There are 4 players in the 1960s who were a clear level above the league, the way LeBron and Curry (and maybe Durant if healthy) have been the last 3 years. They are (in my order) Russell, Wilt, West, and Ocar . . . then there's a big dropoff to Bob Pettit (5th best) and Elgin Baylor (6th best) . . . then another drop off to anyone else. Pettit (and to a lesser extent Baylor) was more dominant in the 50s so he gets a big boost there v. the Walt Bellamy, Sam Jones, Hal Green types. I consider the 60s to be a strong era in NBA history due to the talent being packed together on a relatively few teams, as high or higher than the 80s and 90s, so there isn't the era penalty that makes Mikan so difficult to judge.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#3 » by Pablo Novi » Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:26 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Alternate: By the numbers, Karl Malone, by the eye test, Jerry West, by advanced statistics David Robinson . . . my secondary pick is Jerry West. There are 4 players in the 1960s who were a clear level above the league, the way LeBron and Curry (and maybe Durant if healthy) have been the last 3 years. They are (in my order) Russell, Wilt, West, and Ocar . . . then there's a big dropoff to Bob Pettit (5th best) and Elgin Baylor (6th best) . . . then another drop off to anyone else. Pettit (and to a lesser extent Baylor) was more dominant in the 50s so he gets a big boost there v. the Walt Bellamy, Sam Jones, Hal Green types. I consider the 60s to be a strong era in NBA history due to the talent being packed together on a relatively few teams, as high or higher than the 80s and 90s, so there isn't the era penalty that makes Mikan so difficult to judge.

Well said about the 60s.
However, I disagree about Elgin. The Big "O" himself has called Baylor the GOAT. I wouldn't put him nearly that high; but I would put him in there with the likes of West and Oscar. (all three, in my book behind Wilt but ahead of Russell).

Elgin truly revolutionized the SF position - inventing a whole repetoire of new moves (including "hang time" very often followed by very-late strong-wristed flip-ins after the opponent had landed) that made him both a relatively unstoppable force during his time and someone the later great SFs (Dr J et al) copied of off and built upon.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#4 » by Pablo Novi » Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:33 pm

I vote:
Dr J (imo 2nd best SF ever, behind LBJ but slightly ahead of Bird). Dr J had tremendous handles, was an unstoppable offensive force, a much better than average defender and a top quality TEAM-mate. He also had a lot of top-quality years.

Alterante: Karl Malone (imo, 2nd best PF ever, slightly behind TD, ahead of such as Dirk and KG). IF the NBA treated its two conferences the way the NFL and NBA do, Karl Malone would have won some 10 or so scoring championships; he had a run of 11 ALL-NBA 1st-Team selections,, including an entire decade, the 1990s, which included Charles Barkley amongst other greats.He may not have had one of the all time PEAKS; his PRIME was terrific and terrifically consistent.

In my GOAT list, I have Dr J as GOAT #7 and K. Malone as GOAT #10.

Following them, of those still not selected, I have Jerry West GOAT #12, then I have Bob Cousy GOAT #14 and Bob Pettit GOAT #15.
I have Elgin Baylor in my next group of GOAT players: #s 16-20. I have it this way, even though I have Elgin about equal to "O" and Jerry West; because I organize my GOAT list by descending sets of 5 players (GOAT #s 1-5, then #s6-10, etc) with each set of 5 including one player from each position. I have Dr J and K. Malone as my GOAT #2s at their positions. I have West, Cousy & Pettit as GOAT #3s at their positions. I have Elgin as GOAT #4 SF.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#5 » by therealbig3 » Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:36 pm

Outside wrote:
Fundamentals21 wrote:It almost feels like we've been watching different players. You think it's no slight, but you're placing him 2 tiers lower than he really is.

- His defensive impact measures to be above average. A guard like Oscar Robertson would have to be roughly a Jason Kidd level defender to equal Dirk's impact on that end. He can certainly be an important piece to a good defense, even if he's not an anchor.
- Dirk is #8 all time in RS Defensive Rebounds.
- #15 all time in Defensive Rebounding % in Playoffs - Right between Tim Duncan and David Robinson. I think your assessment on his rebounding is off by a good amount.

I can't reconcile those rebounding stats with actual rebounding numbers that aren't that great. Here's a comparison with the players you mentioned:

Dirk -- career 7.8 TRB average, averaged double-figures in TRBs 0 times
Duncan -- career 10.8 TRB average, averaged double-figures in TRBs 13 times
Robinson -- career 10.6 TRB average, averaged double figures in TRBs 9 times

Dirk was a better rebounder in the playoffs, with a career 10.0 TRB playoff average, compared to Duncan at 11.4 and Robinson at 10.6. But we shouldn't disregard the regular season numbers or focus solely on the defensive end where Dirk did well and ignore the offensive end where Dirk didn't do well.

As for defense, he benefits by being part of a good defensive unit and having very good defenders around him. Like you said, it almost feels like we've been watching different players, because when I've watched Dirk (not just recently but over his career), I've seen a guy who is good at team position defense but not a good individual defender and not good at blocks (0.9 per game RS and PS compared to 2.2/2.3 for Duncan and 3.0/2.5 for Robinson). The year the Mavs won the title, Dirk was 11th on the team in defensive box +/-. On his most successful teams, he was always surrounded by great defenders. I'm not saying he's James Harden bad, just that he's a below average defender.

Fundamentals21 wrote:- I think your post implies that it's somewhat of a soft game that limits the offense. He seems to have the agility to take bigmen off the dribble and take it straight to the basket. What here limits my offense from being great?- Pick and Roll/High Post - One of the best in any era.

He is excellent in the high post PnR, but that's not because he takes it straight to the basket. He either uses the screen for an outside shot or, if he rolls, most often drives partway and does his patented step-back. A 7-footer who takes only 14.4% of his shots inside 3 feet isn't a finisher. Compare that to Duncan, who took 30.9% of his shots inside 3 feet, and Duncan is a guy well known for his outside shot.

I never characterized it as soft. Dirk has competitive fire, and I'd never characterize him as soft. I'm just discussing what he does well and what he doesn't.

Fundamentals21 wrote:- Playmaking - How much is this hurting my offense? I give him the ball, what is going wrong for the rest of my team due to his lack of assist totals? What limited the teams he worked with? At most you need an Old Jason Kidd to provide additional playmaking? I don't feel my team's lacking anything because of this critique - it's certainly not a hole you will have a difficult time overcoming. Dirk plays the type of game that DOES allow teammates to have good years in Dallas - namely centers and even average to mediocre guards like Monta Ellis. He benefits his teammates immensely.

Of course Dirk is helping when he scores, and no, I'm not expecting him to be Jason Kidd. But there are numerous all-time greats who were very good in multiple areas, and there are numerous all-time bigs who were far better playmakers than Dirk. Karl Malone, despite playing with John Stockton the vast majority of his career, still averaged 3.6 assists. Tim Duncan averaged 3.0. David Robinson averaged 2.5, the same as Dirk. Kevin McHale, known as "the black hole" because once the ball went into him, it never came out, averaged 1.7 assists. Dirk's not a black hole, but he's not great in that area, either.

I'm just trying to fairly assess the guy, and that requires looking at all areas, not disregarding the ones he doesn't shine in because he's so good at what he does well.

Fundamentals21 wrote:- I actually think overall you're massively underrating his Midrange ability as a scorer. I don't know if allergic to the paint really makes sense here. It appears like you're criticizing him for his play style more than anything else. Dirk can take it to the paint, but the Midrange has to be where most of his shots come from, as the spacing opens up the entire offense. The center benefits, the open man in the corner benefits, a guard with a good drive game benefits, etc. What is my offense missing?

No, mid-range is what Dirk does best, so I'm not underrating that at all. By "allergic to the paint," I meant the extremely low percentage of shots he took within 10 feet -- 14.4% from 0-3 feet, 8.4% from 3-10 feet, which means a whopping 77.2% of his shots came outside of 10 feet. That is what it is. You can spin that to say that he creates spacing that opens up opportunities for others, which it does and I agree with, but spacing is not a benefit that trumps everything else, and you can't claim that he finishes well at the rim or draws free throws at an elite level or stuff like that when he doesn't.

It seems to me that those promoting Dirk as a candidate at this level are disregarding his weaknesses or using one view of the stats prism to overstate his impact in certain areas. To me, a fair assessment requires looking at everything.


It's not that people are ignoring Dirk's weaknesses (his defense isn't at the level you'd expect from an ATG big man, that's no secret, and he isn't as good as the high-level guards in terms of creating off the dribble for others...again, no secret)...it's that you're using some really outdated and somewhat cherry-picked stats to draw these conclusions that have been proven to be pretty false about him.

-Not a good rebounder: again, this comes down to offensive strategy and how much Dirk commits to getting the offensive rebound vs getting back on defense...I have serious questions about how valuable offensive rebounds even are...to me, the most important rebounding numbers are defensive rebounds. And again, it's also important to note how Dirk improves on this and is actually better than quite a few players in the PS that you wouldn't normally think he was better than...but of course, you also have to look at prime Dirk, instead of post-prime Dirk, who did see a significant drop-off in his rebounding

01-11 Dirk DRB%, RS: 22.8%
90-00 K. Malone DRB%, RS: 24.5%
79-87 M. Malone DRB%, RS: 23.8%

01-11 Dirk DRB%, PS: 24.8%
90-00 K. Malone DRB%, PS: 24.4%
79-87 M. Malone DRB%, PS: 23.8%


Dirk is actually the best defensive rebounder of the group when it mattered most, prime vs prime.



-Allergic to the paint, doesn't draw a lot of FTs:

01-11 Dirk FTr, RS: .393
90-00 K. Malone FTr, RS: .519
79-87 M. Malone FTr, RS: .570

01-11 Dirk FTr, PS: .478
90-00 K. Malone FTr, PS: .476
79-87 M. Malone FTr, PS: .446


Dirk is again, actually the best at drawing FTs when it mattered most, prime vs prime, although it's a negligible difference between him and Karl.

It seems to be a consistent pattern here where Dirk steps up in the playoffs, the other two go down in the playoffs, and Dirk actually ends up being better come playoff time...which is really what matters at the end of the day.



-Assists: Dirk does average less assists than a lot of players, but this is kind of misleading, because he's featured much more off-ball than a lot of other stars, and while Dirk doesn't actually do the playmaking in the sense that he's creating for others, his shooting ability allows others to create for him. He makes life so much easier for guys like Terry and Barea, and they experienced a ton of success with the Dirk PnP. So at the end of the day, Dirk is still enabling great passing and easy baskets, he's just doing it in a different way than most people do.


I honestly don't see any of these things as weaknesses for Dirk. There are players that were better at them, but he was solidly above average at all of them.

And just to touch on the defense again, we have years of numbers for Dirk, and nothing really suggests that he was a bad defender. He was certainly at least average.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#6 » by isaacz321 » Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:48 pm

Jerry West would be my top pick. Great scoring numbers, great advanced stats, and a great playoff performer. Did come 19th in the peak project but has multiple years close to his peak. Usually have him in roughly the same spot as Oscar.

Alternate pick Dr. J. Came in 14th in the peak project. Very good longevity with 13-14 prime level years.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#7 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:57 pm

Dirk & Jerry are the two guys I'm really looking at here.

I'm more impressed with Jerry as a player, but longevity concerns could drop Jerry lower than others besides Dirk, whereas Dirk at this point has the edge over all others in my mind.
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A "Color" Commentary About Life, NBA & Its Coverage In Early-Mid '60's 

Post#8 » by Pablo Novi » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:11 am

Just a kind of "color" commentary (hint: but without the color).

TV:
Up until late '63, I lived in New Jersey - so we had the best TV coverage in the world (coming out of NYC). That "best" coverage meant all of THREE TV stations; all three in black and white; and ALL going off at 10pm (at the latest); followed all night by "test-patterns" (I remember two of them: concentric circles of alternating white and gray; and alternative horizontal bars of white and gray). I often fell asleep to them.

Radio:
I got my first personal radio in 1955 (I remember this because my parents were not into the beginnings of rock-n-roll / rockabilly - and I'd get complaints to turn that NOISE down!).By the late '50's, that radio semi-dominated my life - between rock-n-roll (all hours I wasn't out playing or at home doing homework) and whatever coverage there was of the NBA (to supplement what there was on TV).

Newspapers / Magazines:
We, of course, got the New York Times - and I always devoured the sports section - for the NBA stuff - which got considerable coverage because of the Knickerbockers, naturally. My dad, "George Mikan's #1 fan"; had us subscribed to 3-4 sports magazines (basically all the ones that existed back then).

Unfortunately, that was so darned long ago, I forget far, far more than I remember. (If only we'd of taped what my dad knew (and taught me) about Mikan and his era!)

What with NBA TV coverage so paltry; a high percent of our info came from the radio and the sports-section write-ups.

Most of the time I spent with my dad; we spent discussing the NBA. The combination of:
a) his enthusiasm (and history of paying close attention back to the NBL days);
b) my having experienced this absolutely amazing "Point Guard" named, Wilt Chamberlain & the Harlem Globetrotters a number of times LIVE (they were decidedly bigger attractions than was the NBA back then); and
c) my being a born math-whiz (and thus having an absolute fascination with the NUMBERS / stats NBA players were recording ..
this combination led to my quite-early "rabid" NBA (NBL-ABA) fan hood.

I "followed" Wilt into the NBA. Not long after that, Jerry West came into the League.

In an incredibly racist era; due to my dad being almost uniquely TOLERANT in such an intolerant age; as a young man, full of ideals of equality; the nastiest just ate away at me. There seemed no hope things would ever improve. We'd travel to the American Deep South 2-4 times a year; and what I/we experienced in the New York - New Jersey area absolutely paled in comparison to the rampant brutality there.

Which is why Jerry West's entry into the League meant so much to me. How well he got along with Elgin Baylor - that drew my attention hard. I was just as aware of the other main bi-racial duo back then of the Big "O" and Jerry Lucas - but because those two were not nearly the equals in ability that were Jerry & Elgin - it was the Lakers pair (from 3,000 miles away) that riveted me.

The bi-racial HARMONY, chemistry, skill and artistry of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside - so deeply moved me that it changed my entire life. They were the reason that I decided in 1965 to dedicate ALL the free-time of the rest of my life to being a heavy-duty peace-justice activist. (The first activity I got heavily involved in was the Anti-Vietnam War Movement - where I spent 40+ hours a week, 50+ weeks a year from 1965-1975 (20,000+ hours of volunteer effort in total). When I wasn't directly doing Anti-War work; I was mostly doing anti-racist work (support of the struggle in South Africa, minority-community fund-raising and clothes/food distribution; support for the Farmworkers, etc). Of course, seeing as the US has basically been at war non-stop since then; I've remained an anti-war activist.

From the 1959-60 season, I had been attracted to Baylor because of his hang-time full-array of moves. With the addition of West ot the Lakers, I became a life-time fan of that team (though I didn't arrive on the West Coast (San Diego) until 1967.)

In the period 1963-1967, I went to a (Catholic, Carmelite-Order seminary) high school about 30 miles North-East of Boston. I was never good enough to be on our JV or Varsity teams; but I played at least 2-3 hours EVERY day; and went with the team to all its away games (we always had teams good enough to qualify for the Post-Season Tournaments; held AT the Boston Gaaaden - which often times included a double-header - with the 2nd game being a Celtics game).
-----
For a much more in-depth look / "remembrance" of what life was like for people in general and NBA players in particular; permit me to quote a post I made in an earlier thread (GOAT #12, post # 117, viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1594466&start=100#start_here in this GOAT series. It's gotten 8 likes so far:

"
Thanx for the compliments.
Before Dr J, the "original" creator of hangtime was Elgin Baylor - although seemingly (as I remember things) a lot of his hanging didn't end in dunks as much as in late-shot flip-ins - he was noted for unusually strong wrists - so he could get those shots off and in really late. He "invented" all kinds of moves and shots approaching the rim.

btw, my All-Time FAVORITE players were/are Jerry West & Elgin Baylor - who are why I've been a life-time (58 years) Lakers fan.

Back then, it was a horribly nasty racist age - as a young man, raised in the home of an exceptionally TOLERANT dad; the nastiness just shocked the bleep out of me. (I went to high school outside of Boston and got to attend a number of C's games at the Gaaaden - that THEIR fans would boo the great Bill Russell (screaming out the "N" word at him and the other C's black players) turned me into a non-Celtics fan for life.

During highschool, I had almost "negative" "leaping" ability; so at 5'8" I was never gonna make the varsity team (although I played for several hours EVERY day. I'd go with the team to all our away games. At EVERY away game there'd be:
TWO sets of cheerleaders, leading two SEPARATE sets of fans, seated in two SEPARATE seating sections.

When a black player scored, the black cheerleaders would rise and lead the black fans. Meanwhile, the white cheerleaders and fans remained silent (if not scowling). Then, when a white player scored; it'd be the exact same thing but in reverse.

My dad would take our family some 2-4 times a year on trips into the Deep South. He'd take me off to the side before EVERY trip (as his eldest son); and he'd say to me, "Son, you know the routine; but here we go again. You will see stuff that will enrage the bleep out of you, scandalize you. But you will say NOTHING and do NOTHING - or you'll get us all killed. So, you either agree or you're not going with us.

And what we saw was just horrible. Gang bangs of 5 or more cowards on one or two black guys. Segregation EVERYWHERE.

And perhaps the worst, was what I called the "3 Bathroom 'System'": one for "men"; one for "women" and one labeled "Colored" - which was an absolute abomination: no running water, no electricity, never cleaned. These were as far removed into the far corner of the lot as was possible because of the stench and the huge black swarm of flies.

I had pretty much given up hope that the two races would ever get along.

I had had the great fortune to have seen the Harlem Globetrotters LIVE a number of times during the 1959-60 season; so I "experienced" their incredible Point Guard, Wilt Chamberlain. I "followed" him into the NBA (which was not nearly the draw the 'Trotters were back then.

And then, a couple of years later, I experienced West-Baylor. (There was also "O"-Jerry Lucas; but they were not equals on the court in terms of ability - so those two didn't move me nearly as much as did Jerry & Elgin). It was the virtual equality of skills of Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside, their TEAM-work, their artistry, their "bi-racial" harmony that pulled me out of my youthful "desperation" of thinking things would never change.

Those two caused me to decide to dedicate ALL my free time for the rest of my life to heavy-duty peace-justice activism.

So that's both why I've been a Lakers fan ever since West came into the League and joined Baylor; and why, they are really the only two players for whom I have a personal bias in favor of.

Which makes it not easy for me to argue ANYONE over either of them - even Dr J; but he really was a phenom."
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#9 » by Joao Saraiva » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:58 am

I'll vote for Karl Malone and Dirk Nowitzki.

Will put my reasons later, but I've already voted for Karl Malone twice so...
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#10 » by BasketballFan7 » Sun Jul 16, 2017 3:18 am

Vote: Julius Erving
I have been voting for him since number 9 or so. I can copy and paste my reasoning if needed.

Alternate: DIrk Nowitzki
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#11 » by penbeast0 » Sun Jul 16, 2017 4:18 am

BasketballFan7 wrote:Vote: Julius Erving
I have been voting for him since number 9 or so. I can copy and paste my reasoning if needed.

Alternate: DIrk Nowitzki


For your vote to count you need to have reasoning.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#12 » by oldschooled » Sun Jul 16, 2017 4:44 am

For those KG supporters here, why is David Robinson still not gaining traction? He has similar (or maybe better) eye-test, advance stats, accolades than KG. David Robinson can be argued as a better regular and post season performer than KG also.

Regular Season

Code: Select all

                                                                                                                                                 
Rk            Player   PER  TS%  WS/48 OBPM DBPM BPM
1      Kevin Garnett  22.7 .546   .182  2.1  3.3 5.4
2    David Robinson*  26.2 .583   .250  3.0  4.3 7.4


Playoffs

Code: Select all

                                                                                                                                           
Rk            Player   PER  TS%  WS/48 OBPM DBPM BPM
1      Kevin Garnett  21.1 .525   .149  0.5  4.1 4.6 
2    David Robinson*  23.0 .547   .199  1.8  4.5 6.3 


Even MVP shares, shows DRob played an elite level for a longer time even KG has the longevity advantage.

Code: Select all

Rank                   Player MVP Shares
1.            Michael Jordan*      8.115
2.               LeBron James      7.336
3.       Kareem Abdul-Jabbar*      6.105
4.                Larry Bird*      5.612
5.             Magic Johnson*      5.104
6.              Bill Russell*      4.748
7.           Shaquille ONeal*      4.380
8.               Karl Malone*      4.296
9.                 Tim Duncan      4.278
10.               Kobe Bryant      4.202
11.         Wilt Chamberlain*      4.173
12.            Julius Erving*      3.551
13.           David Robinson*      3.123
14.              Kevin Durant      3.119
15.             Moses Malone*      2.854
16.              Mel Daniels*      2.795
17.             Kevin Garnett      2.753
18.               Bob Pettit*      2.671
19.          Hakeem Olajuwon*      2.610
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LeChosen One wrote:Doc is right. The Warriors shouldn't get any respect unless they repeat to be honest.


According to your logic, Tim Duncan doesn't deserve any respect.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#13 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Jul 16, 2017 7:01 am

oldschooled wrote:KG has the longevity advantage.


Longevity hurts Robinson a lot in that comparison for me.

I will say that once West is in, Robinson actually could go next for me. Similar longevity, and I just give West a slight edge.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#14 » by andrewww » Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:07 am

I have the Logo as not only the most impactful individual player remaining with his offense, defense, shooting and as a post season performer.

The real debate is after him imo, and it comes down to Mailman, Dirk, Admiral and Chuck. Admiral is the center version of KG, Dirk has the go to scoring, Mailman the longest prime. DIrk was better when in crunch time than Mailman, significantly so imo because Mailman trumps him in almost everything else on the ball. Dirk has atg gravity and could be a difference maker against the Heatles in ways that Mailman could never do in the playoffs, even before the Bulls matchups.

I think Elgin Baylor, Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Dwyane Wade deserve real discussion coming up. Elgin while inefficient for today's era was the SF who changed the game was played at the SF position. He was right behind West and Oscar in their era. Durant has a large enough sample size, peak play, ability to score when it matters, and versatility on defense to warrant genuine discussion soon. I think it's very reasonable to see him eventually surpass the closest player stylistically to him drawing consideration in Dirk.

I'm not as high on Dr. J and Moses. I think Dr. J was the best of a relatively weaker era, and Moses didn't have the most diverse skillset I suppose. Funny how both were the two best players on the famed 83 Sixers squad. Am I overlooking something on their contributions?

Vote: Jerry West
Alternate: Dirk Nowitzki
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#15 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sun Jul 16, 2017 9:48 am

Don't mind Oscar winning that spot as he was my #2 and he is another guy who is often himself shuffled off into the shadows and forgotten about. Who knows, maybe Westbrook's fireworks even helped shine some light back on his old school dominance. Only disappointment is that I really didn't get to make an argument for him.

That said it is beyond time now to quit ignoring an all timer's all timer:

Most All Time First Team All NBA
Kobe -- 11 (Taken #11)
Mailman -- 11 ???
LeBron -- 11 (Taken #3)
Kareem -- 10 (Taken #2)
Duncan -- 10 (Taken #5)
Cousy -- 10
West -- 10
Jordan -- 10 (Taken #1)
Petit -- 10
Baylor -- 10
Oscar -- 9 (Taken #13)
Bird -- 9 (Taken #10)
Magic -- 9 (Taken #7)
Shaq -- 8 (Taken #8)
Wilt -- 7 (Taken #6)
Hakeem -- 6 (Taken #10)
Schayes -- 6
Barkley -- 5
Nowitzki -- 4
Admiral -- 4
Havlicek -- 4

Most All Time All NBA Teams
Kareem -- 15 (Taken #2)
Duncan -- 15 (Taken #5)
Kobe -- 15 (Taken #11)
Mailman -- 14 ???
Shaq -- 14 (Taken #8)
LeBron -- 13 (Taken #3)
Cousy -- 12
West -- 12
Hakeem -- 12 (Taken #10)
Schayes -- 12
Nowitzki --12
Jordan -- 11 (Taken #1)
Pettit -- 11
Oscar -- 11 (Taken #13)
Barkley -- 11
Havlicek -- 11
Russell -- 11 (Taken #4)
Stockton -- 11
Baylor -- 10
Bird -- 10 (Taken #10)
Magic -- 10 (Taken #7)
Wilt -- 10 (Taken #6)
Admiral -- 10
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#16 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sun Jul 16, 2017 9:53 am

andrewww wrote:I have the Logo as not only the most impactful individual player remaining with his offense, defense, shooting and as a post season performer.

The real debate is after him imo, and it comes down to Mailman, Dirk, Admiral and Chuck. Admiral is the center version of KG, Dirk has the go to scoring, Mailman the longest prime. DIrk was better when in crunch time than Mailman, significantly so imo because Mailman trumps him in almost everything else on the ball. Dirk has atg gravity and could be a difference maker against the Heatles in ways that Mailman could never do in the playoffs, even before the Bulls matchups.

I think Elgin Baylor, Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Dwyane Wade deserve real discussion coming up. Elgin while inefficient for today's era was the SF who changed the game was played at the SF position. He was right behind West and Oscar in their era. Durant has a large enough sample size, peak play, ability to score when it matters, and versatility on defense to warrant genuine discussion soon. I think it's very reasonable to see him eventually surpass the closest player stylistically to him drawing consideration in Dirk.

I'm not as high on Dr. J and Moses. I think Dr. J was the best of a relatively weaker era, and Moses didn't have the most diverse skillset I suppose. Funny how both were the two best players on the famed 83 Sixers squad. Am I overlooking something on their contributions?

Vote: Jerry West
Alternate: Dirk Nowitzki


Its nice that Dirk met the Heatles in their first year together.

Now have him meet the Jordan Bulls after they had dominated the league for half a decade. Do you still think Dirk's "gravity" wins him that title? Or in the end are guys just a little lucky or unlucky in the opponents they draw?

I've said before: Mailman was better than Dirk at EVERYTHING, except that 1 on 1 scoring. Dirk better absolutely blow away everybody in history to overcome such an all around talent gap.

That one really is frustrating. Flip the faces on the numbers and I don't think there's a chance in the hot place that people saying Dirk here would argue for Mailman. This is about recency, hype, and familiarity. For modern fans of Dirk of course, some homerism.

But none of that stuff should matter. Dirk Nowitzki was better at almost NOTHING than Karl alone. Malone whips him across the board. Outpoints him at Dirk's very own traits. He's as efficient an scorer, he scores more, rebounds more, assists more, defends more. He dominates him in advanced stats. Lasted longer at prime level. Won more MVPs. Won more All NBAs. Won more MVP shares. And you know what? He won more games too.

The cognitive dissonance is massive. I didn't even like Karl Malone. My guy was Barkley, and if not Chuck, then Hakeem. But hell if I'm going to fly in the face of history to annoint somebody who did not achieve as much.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#17 » by JordansBulls » Sun Jul 16, 2017 10:43 am

The guys I am considering here are Moses Malone, Julius Erving, Dirk Nowitzki and Karl Malone.

1st Vote: Moses Malone (we are talking about a guy dominated head to head vs Kareem,
Spoiler:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/h2h_finder.cgi?request=1&player_id1_hint=Moses+Malone&player_id1_select=Moses+Malone&player_id1=malonmo01&idx=players&player_id2_hint=Kareem+Abdul-Jabbar&player_id2_select=Kareem+Abdul-Jabbar&player_id2=abdulka01&idx=players

He won 3 league MVP's (including back to back in a league with Kareem, Magic, Bird, Dr J), 1 Finals MVP and was an all time dominant rebounder.

2nd Vote: Karl Malone
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#18 » by AdagioPace » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:08 pm

Winsome Gerbil wrote:Only disappointment is that I really didn't get to make an argument for him.


I suspect people have solidified him in the 15-20 range.
in the last 20 years a lot of things have happened. At least 5 new careers 100% top 15-worthy (and i'm not even counting cp3,wade,durant and curry)
it shouldn't be surprising if the Mailman is slipping down imperceptibly

PS: unfortunately it's going to get worse decade by decade,especially for those careers not appreciated unanimously like Mailman and Drob and whose careers are not solidified by a personal winning effort in the playoffs.
(I will always put those two above people like Durant..I'm just the witness of a natural process)

how many players have had better playoff runs and "peaks" than Karl Malone's best in the last 20 years? A LOT of people...(including westbrook,kawhi,harden etc..). Those players are all virtually coming for a borderline top 20 spot. How can K.Malone defend himself?
his calling card is RS longevity and It's a unique solid asset,but in a decade it might not even be enough anymore
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#19 » by Joao Saraiva » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:50 pm

1st vote: Karl Malone

According to my formula, Karl Malone is a legit all time top 10 player. I didn't vote for him until now but I feel like it's time for him to get in.

Karl Malone's career totals speak for themselves. And they're just not empty totals: this guy was a #1 option for arguably 17 seasons. I mean, we've seen great longevity from Duncan or KAJ, but none of them lead their squads for such an extended period of time.

Now the reasons that usually go against Karl Malone...

Ringless: yes he never won. We all know that. It happened, I think, for some reasons:
- The Utah Jazz had Malone and Stockton early in their careers. And that's when they played together at their best, since Stockton was in his prime and Karl Malone too. But the rest of the roster was actually not that capable.

Utah had a great defensive presence in Eaton, but despite all his benefits in that regard, Eaton was a really negative player on the other side of the court. He lacked off ball movement, was not a good finisher, lacked PnR play as a roll player. So that put a lot of pressure on the Jazz duo to carry a big big load.

The rest of the team was usually filled up with scorers. But scorers that were not that great. They usually lacked spacing abilities, and their efficiency was questionable. A good example of that is Jeff Malone.


Later in his career, the Jazz made a great move and acquired Jeff Hornacek. It worked out really well with Malone and Stockton. Russell also became an interesting player in the 97 season. The bench wasn't great, but the Jazz had some impact there too. However, they failed to win the title because of:
- Bad matchup vs the Bulls. Bulls guards were really big, and the Jazz were just outmatched by them. Stockton and Horny were not big enough to handle MJ or Pippen, and the Jazz could only hide one of them in Ron Harper;
- Dennis Rodman proved to be a great guy to defend Malone. I think in 97 Rodman really got in his head.

In 98 Malone actually had a great finals performance. Games 5 and 6 were amazing, and even game 3 (yes the one we lost by 40 points) was not a bad game from Malone. If you rewatch it, he actually had a very good start, but no one else came to play.

From 96 to 98 the Jazz had a great squad. But even in 98 Stockton was already showing us he was old. Not that he still wasn't great, but definitely not the guy with the same impact that we saw in the ate 80s or early 90s.

So in the end all the factors did not come along for Karl Malone to win a ring as the man. And even with the Lakers he didn't have the best of luck, since he got caught in the middle of the Shaq vs Kobe feud that destroyed the team chemistry.


After saying all this, I want to talk about the other negative I see on him. Malone usually dropped his efficiency in playoff time.

Sure he has a fair share of series where he deserves the blame... but at least he brought the volume scoring. It's not that easy when the team just goes arround what he can produce. He couldn't hide on bad games because he and Stockton were the only legit shot creators for most of the time (at least before Hornacek joined).

Malone has some great deep playoff runs like in 92, 94 or 98. He has a ton of regular seasons at very high level, with 97 probably being his best.




After all this I'd just like to add that Malone was a guy who could do a ton of things. He was a great fastbreak player, and for a PF that's something really great.
He could score from the low post (really strong) and high post (mostly when he was older and became more consistent with his shot).
He was a fantastic off-ball player, and a fantastic roll player in PnR situations. Great catcher, great shooter.
Very good rebounder, good passer and solid defender. Doesn't have the same impact from all time big defenders, but he still was a very good man to man defender in the post. He also had fast hands and could come up with a lot of steals.

On top of that, this guy was extremely dedicated and durable. He was always in shape, played most of his games and his effort was there every night!

In the end, I think he could be useful as a #1 (I think he proved that) but he also could be fantastic in other roles.

I don't want to make the post too long, so for now that's all I write.

2nd vote - Dirk Nowitzki
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List 2017 -- #14 

Post#20 » by Winsome Gerbil » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:56 pm

Oh, and oops, Mailman is of course my #14 here, but I think narrowly I go with the iconic Dr. J for #15.

#14 -- Mailman
#15 -- Dr. J

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