Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History

Moderators: PaulieWal, Doctor MJ, Clyde Frazier, penbeast0, trex_8063

Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#1 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:25 am

LeBron James is often overshadowed by heavy scorers such as Jordan, Kobe, Durant, Wilt, ect. Though, he is probably the GOAT scorer. I would explain what the abbrevitions of these terms mean, but since realgm doesn't save drafts (I think) I am too lazy to type it all again. This post will be going over their performances vs -3 rDRTG teams.
These stats are IA/75 (Adjusted to 2023)
2009-2018 LeBron James

2009 vs Orlando (-6.4 rDRTG): PPG-39.0/TS%- 59.1/rTS- +8.3

2011 vs Boston (-7.0 rDRTG): PPG-29.4/TS%- 55.7/rTS- +3.7

2011 vs Chicago (-7.0 rDRTG): PPG-27.5/TS%- 56.9/rTS- +5.0

2012 vs New York (-3.7rDRTG): PPG-33.6/TS%- 60.4/rTS- +7.8

2012 vs Boston (-6.4 rDRTG): PPG-35.2/TS%- 58.7/rTS- +8.9

2013 vs Indiana (-6.1 rDRTG): PPG-32.1/TS%- 60.9/rTS- +11.4

2013 vs San Antonio (-4.3 rDRTG): PPG-26.8/TS%- 52.9/rTS- +1.3

2014 vs Charlotte (-3.0 rDRTG): PPG-33.2/TS%- 67.1/rTS- +14.5

2014 vs Indiana (-7.4 rDRTG): PPG-31.1/TS%- 63.7/rTS- +13.6

2014 vs San Antonio (-4.3 rDRTG): PPG-34.1/TS%- 67.9/rTS- +16.0

2015 vs Golden State (-4.2 rDRTG): PPG-34.5/TS%- 47.7/rTS--3.7

2016 vs Atlanta (-5.0 rDRTG): PPG-29.0/TS%- 57.3/rTS- +5.3

2017 vs Golden State (-4.0 rDRTG): PPG-31.5/TS%- 63.0/rTS- +10.5

2018 vs Boston (-4.7 rDRTG): PPG-35.3/TS%- 61.0/rTS- +7.8

Average: PPG-30.1 rTS- +7.7 (-5.4 rDRTG)

1988-1998 Michael Jordan (included 86 to be fair)

1986 vs Boston (-4.6 rDRTG): PPG-38.5/TS%- 58.4/rTS- +7.5

1989 vs Cleveland (-4.9 rDRTG): PPG-41.0/TS%- 59.8/rTS- +8.7

1989 vs Detroit (-3.1 rDRTG): PPG-30.2/TS%- 56.1/rTS- +4.7

1990 vs Detroit (-4.6 rDRTG): PPG-32.4/TS%- 57.6/rTS- +5.2

1992 vs New York (-4.0 rDRTG): PPG-33.8/TS%- 53.9/rTS- +1.8

1992 vs Portland (-4.0 rDRTG): PPG-35.5/TS%- 61.7/rTS- +9.6

1993 vs New York (-8.3 rDRTG): PPG-36.2/TS%- 52.2/rTS- +1.8

1996 vs Miami (-3.8 rDRTG): PPG-36.7/TS%- 60.9/rTS- +8.3

1996 vs New York (-4.1rDRTG): PPG-37.0/TS%- 53.4/rTS- + +1.1

1996 vs Seattle (-5.5 rDRTG): PPG-30.1/TS%- 53.8/rTS- +1.4

1997 vs Atlanta (-4.4 rDRTG): PPG-29.0/TS%- 50.6/rTS--0.4

1997 vs Miami (-6.1 rDRTG): PPG-33.4/TS%- 47.5/rTS--3.7

1998 vs Indiana (-3.8 rDRTG): PPG-36.4/TS%- 55.7/rTS- +5.7

Average: PPG-34.3/rTS- +3.8 (-4.3 rDRTG)

2009-2018 LeBron James- Average: PPG-30.1 rTS- +7.7 (-5.4 rDRTG)
1988-1998 Michael Jordan- Average: PPG-34.3/rTS- +3.8 (-4.3 rDRTG)

LeBron James clearly faced better defensive competition and clearly outperformed Jordan. LeBron also has better peak playoff performances here than Jordan's peak.

P.S- Taking more shots and being far less inefficient =/= better scorer.
edgymnerch
Freshman
Posts: 67
And1: 46
Joined: Jan 11, 2023
   

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#2 » by edgymnerch » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:37 am

The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 10,758
And1: 17,717
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#3 » by homecourtloss » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:54 am

One of the things that gets lost when discussing how LeBron has been able to take offenses to highest heights is his personal scoring efficiency no matter how good the defenses got, and he played a LOT of games vs. -4 rDRtg teams or better (81); in these games his scoring efficacy didn’t really change. One of the most impressive things is that his relative effective FG% (reFG%) doesn’t get affected by defenses until you get to the -7 rDRtgs or better, which he played 23 games against. For some scorers, they can keep their rTS% numbers g eternally intact vs. good defenses, but their reFG% drops.

Image

Notice how now matter how good the defenses get, the rTS% and reFG% pretty much stay the same:

Image

His scoring efficacy is pretty much the same whether he is facing a -2 rDRtg or -7 rDRtg, which is crazy:

Image

If we compare this with Jordan, Jordan had higher volume, and his rTS% held up well, but his reFG% dropped against the very best defenses of which he didn’t play as many games:

Image

Image
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 10,758
And1: 17,717
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#4 » by homecourtloss » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:56 am

LeBron from 2012-2018 played 143 playoff games with a +7.1 rTS% (-2.9 rDRtg faced)
LeBron from 2012-2018 sans 2015 played 123 playoff games with a +9.1 rTS% (-3 rDRtg faced)
LeBron from 2014 to 2018 sans 2015 played 77 playoff games with a +10.3 rTS% (-2.6 rDRtg faced)
LeBron from 2012-2018 taking his best series (85 games worth vs. a combined -3.2 rDRtg): +11.3 rTS%
LeBron from 2012-2018 taking his best series (72 games worth vs. a combined -3.3 rDRtg): +12.1 rTS%

LeBron from 2012-2018 taking his best series (65 games worth vs. a combined -3.6 rDRtg): +12.4 rTS% and +12.7 reFG% :lol: (notice that the defenses are better but LeBron is better vs. the better defenses)
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#5 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:56 am

edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate, especially when the defensive competition is in LeBron’s favor by -1. Peak wise LeBron’s resilience clears too. 2014 and 2009 > Any Jordan. Regular season is closer. Though peak regular season goes to LeBron. While prime is comparable.
User avatar
Heej
General Manager
Posts: 8,227
And1: 8,764
Joined: Jan 14, 2011

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#6 » by Heej » Tue Apr 16, 2024 4:58 am

edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer

This handwave would've been a lot more effective if there's wasn't such a noticeable difference in the quality of defensive competition relative to era.

Also, might be outside the scope of the topic here but the volume argument is tempered by the open teammate shots generated by LeBron which ironically is relevant to his scoring resilience because his passing forces teams to play less aggressive swarming schemes against him.

Logically it follows that extra Jordan buckets at a decreased efficiency indicate he was taking shots that were better off being passed out and keeping defenses honest.
LeBron's NBA Cup MVP is more valuable than either of KD's Finals MVPs. This is the word of the Lord
User avatar
homecourtloss
RealGM
Posts: 10,758
And1: 17,717
Joined: Dec 29, 2012

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#7 » by homecourtloss » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:02 am

Heej wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer

This handwave would've been a lot more effective if there's wasn't such a noticeable difference in the quality of defensive competition relative to era.

Also, might be outside the scope of the topic here but the volume argument is tempered by the open teammate shots generated by LeBron which ironically is relevant to his scoring resilience because his passing forces teams to play less aggressive swarming schemes against him.


Image
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
User avatar
Heej
General Manager
Posts: 8,227
And1: 8,764
Joined: Jan 14, 2011

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#8 » by Heej » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:04 am

homecourtloss wrote:
Heej wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer

This handwave would've been a lot more effective if there's wasn't such a noticeable difference in the quality of defensive competition relative to era.

Also, might be outside the scope of the topic here but the volume argument is tempered by the open teammate shots generated by LeBron which ironically is relevant to his scoring resilience because his passing forces teams to play less aggressive swarming schemes against him.


Image

Really kinda validates the whole Expansion Emperor meme when you see how quickly he fell off vs better comp.
LeBron's NBA Cup MVP is more valuable than either of KD's Finals MVPs. This is the word of the Lord
Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#9 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:06 am

homecourtloss wrote:One of the things that gets lost when discussing how LeBron has been able to take offenses to highest heights is his personal scoring efficiency no matter how good the defenses got, and he played a LOT of games vs. -4 rDRtg teams or better (81); in these games his scoring efficacy didn’t really change. One of the most impressive things is that his relative effective FG% (reFG%) doesn’t get affected by defenses until you get to the -7 rDRtgs or better, which he played 23 games against. For some scorers, they can keep their rTS% numbers g eternally intact vs. good defenses, but their reFG% drops.

Image

Notice how now matter how good the defenses get, the rTS% and reFG% pretty much stay the same:

Image

His scoring efficacy is pretty much the same whether he is facing a -2 rDRtg or -7 rDRtg, which is crazy:

Image

If we compare this with Jordan, Jordan had higher volume, and his rTS% held up well, but his reFG% dropped against the very best defenses of which he didn’t play as many games:

Image

Image


Shows how LeBron simply didn’t exert his GOAT scoring against not as tough defenses due to it not being needed. Unlike MJ who’s averaging 45 on the 92 Miami Heat. Shouldn’t -3 rdrtg be more of a gap? Is this rts to the league or opp
OhayoKD
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,378
And1: 2,855
Joined: Jun 22, 2022
 

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#10 » by OhayoKD » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:14 am

Jordan's main advantage as a scorer is he can retain high-volume better next to other stars(in a sense he is more portable there). He also just does it more in the Regular season which I wouldn't wholly discount.
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
OhayoKD
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,378
And1: 2,855
Joined: Jun 22, 2022
 

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#11 » by OhayoKD » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:15 am

Lebronnygoat wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate, especially when the defensive competition is in LeBron’s favor by -1. Peak wise LeBron’s resilience clears too. 2014 and 2009 > Any Jordan. Regular season is closer. Though peak regular season goes to LeBron. While prime is comparable.


Does it? Show your work

Will say the more you lean towards efficiency, the stronger Kareem's GOAT scoring case becomes
its my last message in this thread, but I just admit, that all the people, casual and analytical minds, more or less have consencus who has the weight of a rubberized duck. And its not JaivLLLL
Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#12 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:29 am

OhayoKD wrote:
Lebronnygoat wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate, especially when the defensive competition is in LeBron’s favor by -1. Peak wise LeBron’s resilience clears too. 2014 and 2009 > Any Jordan. Regular season is closer. Though peak regular season goes to LeBron. While prime is comparable.


Does it? Show your work

Will say the more you lean towards efficiency, the stronger Kareem's GOAT scoring case becomes


Well, 1977 PS Kareem IA/75 was 32.3 +13.4. 2009, 2014 clear that with far more volume and more efficiency. This is peak PS Kareem btw.

Perhaps I was too crazy with clears, but 4 efficiency points are better without thinking for a while.
1993Playoffs
Analyst
Posts: 3,440
And1: 3,555
Joined: Apr 25, 2017

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#13 » by 1993Playoffs » Tue Apr 16, 2024 5:39 am

He kinda became unstoppable in his 2nd Cavs. Only thing holding him back was stamina
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 28,537
And1: 23,518
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#14 » by 70sFan » Tue Apr 16, 2024 8:55 am

I didn't know only 2 players exist in this discussion. Why don't you share other players numbers as well?

BTW, I'd have to check my spreadsheets but I think something is wrong with these numbers.
IdolW0rm
Sophomore
Posts: 131
And1: 93
Joined: Jan 18, 2016

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#15 » by IdolW0rm » Tue Apr 16, 2024 11:46 am

Lebronnygoat wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate

Yeah, no...
Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#16 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 12:08 pm

IdolW0rm wrote:
Lebronnygoat wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate

Yeah, no...

It’s surely better lol.
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 31,809
And1: 19,919
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#17 » by Colbinii » Tue Apr 16, 2024 1:33 pm

edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao.


This would be true if PP75 and Efficiency were linear, but they aren't.

A 4 PP75 gap =/= 4 Rel Efficiency Gap
tsherkin wrote:Locked due to absence of adult conversation.

penbeast0 wrote:Guys, if you don't have anything to say, don't post.


Circa 2018
E-Balla wrote:LeBron is Jeff George.


Circa 2022
G35 wrote:Lebron is not that far off from WB in trade value.
Colbinii
RealGM
Posts: 31,809
And1: 19,919
Joined: Feb 13, 2013

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#18 » by Colbinii » Tue Apr 16, 2024 1:40 pm

IdolW0rm wrote:
Lebronnygoat wrote:
edgymnerch wrote:The gap in the volume is literally more than the gap in the efficiency lmao. I'm not saying Jordan is better but in terms of scoring, it's quite 50-50 and you can make a case for both as the better scorer. Plus you left out the regular season where I assume the gap increases.

The stats you shared quite literally confirm that there's no clear cut better scorer


4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate

Yeah, no...


Alright, let's break it down for you.

LeBron: PPG-30.1 rTS- +7.7
Jordan: PPG-34.3 rTS- +3.8

The Big thing we are missing with this data is TSA, but when I try to look for TSA, I think OP has his numbers wrong.

OP, why do you not include every series for LeBron?

His PP100 from 2009-2018 is 37.9, which puts him at 28.4 PP75.
tsherkin wrote:Locked due to absence of adult conversation.

penbeast0 wrote:Guys, if you don't have anything to say, don't post.


Circa 2018
E-Balla wrote:LeBron is Jeff George.


Circa 2022
G35 wrote:Lebron is not that far off from WB in trade value.
ChipotleWest
Starter
Posts: 2,475
And1: 2,155
Joined: Jul 21, 2012
 

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#19 » by ChipotleWest » Tue Apr 16, 2024 3:26 pm

Jordan had the era with the better defenders, and how can you do not points per game? You don't want to because Lebron loses. All these advanced stats that try to paint Lebron as better are nonsense. Lebron is the all time scoring leader because of longevity, but Jordan was the better scorer. Especially considering Lebron has shot over 5000 more 3 pointers than Jordan and yet still is below him in ppg it's not even close.

Scoring titles
Jordan: 10
Lebron: 1

:lol:
Lebronnygoat
Freshman
Posts: 52
And1: 23
Joined: Feb 08, 2024

Re: Prime LeBron James is the most resilient scorer in NBA History 

Post#20 » by Lebronnygoat » Tue Apr 16, 2024 3:29 pm

Colbinii wrote:
IdolW0rm wrote:
Lebronnygoat wrote:
4 efficiency points clears 4 volume points. Thats not even a debate

Yeah, no...


Alright, let's break it down for you.

LeBron: PPG-30.1 rTS- +7.7
Jordan: PPG-34.3 rTS- +3.8

The Big thing we are missing with this data is TSA, but when I try to look for TSA, I think OP has his numbers wrong.

OP, why do you not include every series for LeBron?

His PP100 from 2009-2018 is 37.9, which puts him at 28.4 PP75.


I’m curious as to how your numbers aren’t different than mine. PBP stats shows me the per 100 stats and I multiply them by .75 to get per 75. Then I look at the league average ORTG vs those elite defenses, get the result and multiply it by the per 75 numbers. This is to truly see how well they compared vs their level of elite defenses, such as I do with TS%. Shooting 50%TS vs the Spurs in 1999 is considered below league average (51.1) when looking at the total league average of TS%. Though, when you adjust the TS% to league average TS% VS THE SPURS, it’s actually much more impressive. The league average TS% vs SAS is 46.4. So 50.0-46.4=3.6. That’s +3.6rTS. That’s good.

Return to Player Comparisons