JMAC3 wrote:The-Power wrote:JMAC3 wrote:Feels like he is basically going to give you Zubac type of career which is tough to stomach anywhere inside the top 10 IMO.
If you think he's bound to be Zubac 2.0 then he's a pretty easy top 10 pick. Zubac is at worst a top 12 player from his draft. If you're confident you'll get a player like him then that's surely worth a top 10 pick in a weak draft with a lottery crapshoot. (For the record, I don't see him having a Zubac-like career as a given and therefore don't have him as a top 10 pick).
I think his most likely outcome is Zubac, but just like any player in the 7-14 range he has a 20% chance to be a bust. Typically in that range you also have a 15% or so to pick an Allstar, I just don't see that potential with Clingan.
Are these numbers backed by you analyzing all the drafts?