Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Moderators: UCF, Knightro, Howard Mass, UCFJayBird, Def Swami, ChosenSavior, SOUL
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Combed through ESPN'S win probabilities. We are not favorites in a single game.
Gm1: 31.9%
Gm2: 34.8%
Gm3: 47.0%
Gm4: 47.2%
Gm5: 35.5%
Gm6: 47.0%
Gm7: 35.5%
Using those to simulate a series I get the following outcome probabilities.
Cavs in 5: 22.4%
Cavs in 7: 18.4%
Cavs in 6: 18.2%
Cavs in 4: 12.6%
Magic in 6: 10.5%
Magic in 7: 9.9%
Magic in 5: 5.6%
Magic in 4: 2.5%
Gm1: 31.9%
Gm2: 34.8%
Gm3: 47.0%
Gm4: 47.2%
Gm5: 35.5%
Gm6: 47.0%
Gm7: 35.5%
Using those to simulate a series I get the following outcome probabilities.
Cavs in 5: 22.4%
Cavs in 7: 18.4%
Cavs in 6: 18.2%
Cavs in 4: 12.6%
Magic in 6: 10.5%
Magic in 7: 9.9%
Magic in 5: 5.6%
Magic in 4: 2.5%
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- RealGM
- Posts: 28,490
- And1: 10,952
- Joined: May 05, 2014
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
That's a good idea, and then after 6 minutes, replace Franz with Carter. Franz could come back in for Isaac around the 10-minute mark.Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
Sent from my SM-G781U using RealGM Forums mobile app
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- ChosenSavior
- Forum Mod - Magic
- Posts: 29,198
- And1: 12,954
- Joined: Sep 09, 2009
- Location: San Antonio, TX
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
eyriq wrote:Combed through ESPN'S win probabilities. We are not favorites in a single game.
Gm1: 31.9%
Gm2: 34.8%
Gm3: 47.0%
Gm4: 47.2%
Gm5: 35.5%
Gm6: 47.0%
Gm7: 35.5%
Using those to simulate a series I get the following outcome probabilities.
Cavs in 5: 22.4%
Cavs in 7: 18.4%
Cavs in 6: 18.2%
Cavs in 4: 12.6%
Magic in 6: 10.5%
Magic in 7: 9.9%
Magic in 5: 5.6%
Magic in 4: 2.5%
Makes this series even more fun for me now. The computers nor the pundits giving us a chance.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
A positive is that there is an 87.5% probability that we win at least one game.
28.5% probability that we win the series seems low though. I think we are being underestimated.
28.5% probability that we win the series seems low though. I think we are being underestimated.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- Sixth Man
- Posts: 1,874
- And1: 1,068
- Joined: Aug 01, 2014
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Optimus_Steel wrote:RookieStar wrote:Wait... its on ESPN and 1pm?
Yup ESPN 1pm
Does anyone know if this will be blacked out for us Orlando residents
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
No blackouts on ESPNOrlMagic05 wrote:Optimus_Steel wrote:RookieStar wrote:Wait... its on ESPN and 1pm?
Yup ESPN 1pm
Does anyone know if this will be blacked out for us Orlando residents
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- rcklsscognition
- RealGM
- Posts: 22,052
- And1: 7,197
- Joined: Mar 23, 2009
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Aren’t we a fairly bad first quarter team? I hope with extended minutes Mosley leaves starters in longer at the beginning and then we aren’t in a hole after Q1 like we have been a lot lately.
Isaac needs to be at 30mpg and I’d like Paolo and Franz pushing 40.
Isaac needs to be at 30mpg and I’d like Paolo and Franz pushing 40.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- Starter
- Posts: 2,357
- And1: 1,542
- Joined: Jul 08, 2019
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
rcklsscognition wrote:Aren’t we a fairly bad first quarter team? I hope with extended minutes Mosley leaves starters in longer at the beginning and then we aren’t in a hole after Q1 like we have been a lot lately.
Isaac needs to be at 30mpg and I’d like Paolo and Franz pushing 40.
Only lately we are.
For good portions of the season, iirc, we were racing put to decent leads against good and bad teams.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
I don't think it's crazy to say Isaac starting flips the script, or at least makes it a 50/50 proposition.Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- Knightro
- Forum Mod - Magic
- Posts: 23,085
- And1: 24,836
- Joined: Dec 18, 2010
- Location: Orlando, FL
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
"It's over", in other words "Magic in 6"Knightro wrote:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- Starter
- Posts: 2,432
- And1: 709
- Joined: Dec 19, 2022
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
eyriq wrote:I don't think it's crazy to say Isaac starting flips the script, or at least makes it a 50/50 proposition.Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
I have to say that the only pathway I see to victory is somehow we are in a 0-2 deficit going into a home game with a couple role player injuries and Mosely has no choice but to adjust a free the krakens Goga / Black who will have a combined 30-12-4-3-5 statline. This will come after Murray comments how he can't wait for the second round after the end of the trouncing in game 2.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- drsd
- RealGM
- Posts: 36,850
- And1: 8,035
- Joined: Mar 16, 2003
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
eyriq wrote:Magic in 4
I stopped reading after this.
Go MAGIC!
..
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- eyriq
- Retired Mod
- Posts: 25,547
- And1: 6,578
- Joined: Mar 25, 2008
- Location: #TheLab
- Contact:
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
LOLdrsd wrote:eyriq wrote:Magic in 4
I stopped reading after this.
Go MAGIC!
..
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- bigdogdylan5
- Assistant Coach
- Posts: 4,194
- And1: 2,110
- Joined: May 13, 2011
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Is it Saturday yet?
Fine print disclaimer for Fultz:
I am high on Markelle Fultz. Yes I understand he is not perfect and needs to shoot more and better and turn the ball over less. I would really like to see him play one more year… and I did and he sucks time to move on.
I am high on Markelle Fultz. Yes I understand he is not perfect and needs to shoot more and better and turn the ball over less. I would really like to see him play one more year… and I did and he sucks time to move on.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- RealGM
- Posts: 28,490
- And1: 10,952
- Joined: May 05, 2014
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
-
- Head Coach
- Posts: 6,433
- And1: 9,725
- Joined: Jan 08, 2010
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
It's usually the starters who get us in a hole in the first quarter and then the Isaac lineups dig us out. Franz and Paolo playing together have a -7.9 net rating in the first quarter.rcklsscognition wrote:Aren’t we a fairly bad first quarter team? I hope with extended minutes Mosley leaves starters in longer at the beginning and then we aren’t in a hole after Q1 like we have been a lot lately.
Isaac needs to be at 30mpg and I’d like Paolo and Franz pushing 40.
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- RookieStar
- RealGM
- Posts: 22,084
- And1: 5,928
- Joined: Jul 01, 2009
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
I dunno SOUL.. after watching that NO-LAL matchup and saying " WOW finally we can see what ZION can do in the POS " Booom.... got me scared for JI
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- SOUL
- Forum Mod - Magic
- Posts: 55,601
- And1: 38,102
- Joined: Dec 11, 2006
- Location: Neo Banchero
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
RookieStar wrote:Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
I dunno SOUL.. after watching that NO-LAL matchup and saying " WOW finally we can see what ZION can do in the POS " Booom.... got me scared for JI
How'd you find my other account?
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
- RookieStar
- RealGM
- Posts: 22,084
- And1: 5,928
- Joined: Jul 01, 2009
Re: Cavaliers vs Magic Series General Discussion Thread
SOUL wrote:RookieStar wrote:Knightro wrote:I would start Isaac at center and play him 30 MPG if his body can handle it.
I dunno SOUL.. after watching that NO-LAL matchup and saying " WOW finally we can see what ZION can do in the POS " Booom.... got me scared for JI
How'd you find my other account?
Dang... my bad. I thought i eas replying to you. Must have read it in the other tab. Lol