mpharris36 wrote:E-Balla wrote:mpharris36 wrote:
yeah but if we don't pick a direction we kinda stay middling. Either break it up and tank or go for a star. The middle ground very rarely wins down the road outside of making us competitive. The only person that really wins is Dolan because he can stay raising ticket prices with the knicks never having any championship asperations.
Statistically speaking that's not true. Look at the Pels, they were middling when they got Zion and were able to flip the switch to contention. The Grizzlies were the same with Ja. The Nets were middling when they went all out for KD and Kyrie. Clippers were middling when they got Kawhi and PG13. The Raptors were middling when they got Kawhi.
I think none of the big deals that have happened recently have been worth it. I'm happy they stayed firm and didn't trade away everything for Mitchell for example. He's great but does he bring us a ring? Doubt it. If we're going all out like that the only way it's worth it is if the player will be an MVP level guy for at least 3 years for us. That's also why I want to pass on KD, no longevity there. You think we can get a team together midseason and contend with one off-season for everyone to gel before KD starts aging more?
ehh...Memphis and NOP were still lottery teams that were 30 win teams that got lucky in the lottery to jump start themselves into contention. We are building a 40ish type win team that will never be in the lottery to get lucky.
We are still basically banking on trading for a superstar...because we have played ourselves out of drafting a difference maker.
Most likely the end result here is that Hart plays solidly for us...he opts out...we resign him to a 16ish MM deal for a 3-4 years moving forward.
Then our roster is capped out with Brunson/Randle/RJ/Hart/Mitch making a lot of money. Then we will probably extend IQ too. Our picks will continue to lose value since they will be outside of the lottery so I am still very concerned this regime has a clear direction.
Like getting hart in isolation isn't a bad move. But still there is a roster glut of good but not great players on this team. I really need to see a follow up deal of some sorts because trading for a decent rotational player without a rotational player going out doesn't make a ton of sense to me.
Obi value will continue to depreciate where we probably end up trading him for a couple 2nds in the offseason or something like that.
Just like they did with Cam...this regime sure knows how to tank players values.
With guys like Cam and Obi they were never that good. We don't tank their value, we're the only teams that valued them highly in the first place.
And the picks only lose value if you don't get good players with it or trade down into more. Either way y'all are rushing it. None of the guys that were available to trade for were good enough to contend. It's worth waiting a year or two for that kind of player to become available. It can go like Toronto (who waited at least 6 or so years for Kawhi), it can go like Houston (who waited 3 years for Harden), it can go like the Clippers (who waited 2/3 years for Kawhi and PG), it can go like the Joe Johnson Hawks and we never get that guy. Either way it's a long term plan and a proven one at least if we do it right.
































