Braggins wrote:I just feel like it takes a ton of faith to assume some of these outcomes for the twins.
Ausar shot 50% at the rim in the halfcourt vs high schoolers and was straight up bad in the halfcourt from every other area and shot type. Jimmy Butler is a top 10 impact player in the league and has won countless playoff series as a ball dominant offensive orchestrater. I don't see how anything Ausar has done at this point besides be really athletic would lead me to actually predict that kind of outcome with any level of confidence. Butler wasn't very good at that age either, but it also took one of the most impressive development curves in NBA history for him to reach that level.
6'7" Westbrook would be a multiple MVP winner. Amen averaged 20/8/8 per36 this season on 54.7% true shooting as a 20 year old playing against high-schoolers. He was also bad in the halfcourt from every area and shot type besides being 59% at the rim. Westbrook also wasn't very good at the same age, but it also required a super elite development curve for him to reach his peak level and I don't think you should be basing projections on someone having an absolutely maximally elite development curve. I honestly feel like you should be considering Amen as potential #1 over Wemby if you think he is a 6'7" Westbrook.
These projections honestly make me even more suspicious of the twins because it seems like their fans are just assuming they are going to be able to blow by everyone and dunk it every time or something in the NBA and outside of transition situations they weren't even able to do that playing against OTE competition.
I look for translatable skills and physical attributes.
They're two of the most physically gifted players in the entire draft.
They both have prototypical size for their position.
They both excel in transition.
They both show tremendous defensive potential.
From the minute they step on the court, they won't be outmatched physically or athletically. That alone is the biggest hurdle because you can't make a dude bigger or faster.
From the get-go, pretty much their only negative is going to be shooting. I'm not going to downplay that, because it is a MASSIVE negative for both of them. That's why they aren't in the #1/#2 discussion. If they could shoot, They'd be getting surefire All-Star/All-NBA grades. Watching clips of their games/workouts, it appears both guys have pretty good shot mechanics, so I'm relatively comfortable saying they'll become respectable shooters in time.
What you can't do is bank on Scoot to grow or Miller/Black to become more athletic.












