Prez wrote:I don’t think it was a historically egregious robbery or something, but I do think Jokic should’ve won.
I think it’s pretty obvious that Jokic winning the previous 2 MVPs and Embiid having none was a big contributing factor. So for Jokic, voter fatigue and also the reluctance many people had in giving a guy with no championships 3 straight MVPs. And for Embiid, there was a pretty big narrative push, almost a “he deserves one” sentiment that was pretty widespread, and also Embiid himself openly campaigning for it. So I think the narrative push in both directions was probably the biggest factor. Then you couple that with Denver being a little shaky to close the year, Embiid making a late push, and Embiid getting the better of them in their 1 H2H matchup.
That’s obviously not to say Embiid didn’t have an MVP-level season overall or that it was a complete joke of an MVP award or anything. I just personally think if you look exclusively at their RS performance/impact and take everything else out of the equation, and you don’t weigh the end of the season heavier than the rest of the season (which I don’t think you should, especially in the case of Denver who had the 1 seed locked up), Jokic probably should’ve won.
Word for word this is exactly how I view it. In the history of things, if we were to just look at Embiid's numbers and season resume compared to past MVP winners, his wouldnt stick out in a negative way. People would look at Embiid's season and think to themselves, "ya checks out".
But ya I think if you takeaway Jokic's past MVPs, I think he wins this one pretty easily. His team was the #1 seed, he played in more wins and had a better winning percentage than Embiid. Jokic flirted with a 25ppg triple double as a Center. He also did that while leading the league in TS% and in basically every catch-all advanced metric.
So ya I dont think you can call it a robbery when the guy who did win it had a legit MVP worthy season. But ya this was one of the more narrative based and heavy MVPs that I can remember. Because again, if Jokic hadnt have won a MVP yet, I think he wins this one pretty easily.