wco81 wrote:Probably true but even if they make the playoffs every year, they may be a treadmill team except for that one run to the ECF.
Like I said, the roster becomes very expensive in a couple more seasons when Trae is up for another extension, if they decide to extend 2 or 3 of their guys currently on rookie deals.
Hawks made a big move for Murray and so far it hasn't raised their ceiling so a lot of things could change by 2026-27.
So ultimately, his numbers have to be evaluated in the context of where the franchise is, with the trajectory of their payroll and where they stand in comparison to other EC teams.
Trae has been a 20+ ppg player since 2020. 25+ ppg, really. 9+ apg during that stretch, too.
During that time...
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2020: +6.2 OBPM, .133 WS/48, +6.0 O-EPM (4th)
2021: +5.3 OBPM, .163 WS/48, +5.2 O-EPM (7th)
2022: +7.1 OBPM, .181 WS/48, +6.5 O-EPM (2nd)
2023: +5.3 OBPM, .126 WS/48, +3.8 O-EPM (22nd)
2024: +6.3 OBPM, .148 WS/48, +5.4 O-EPM (7th) [so far]
Food for thought.
People are definitely cracking on him while he is down after a rough year last season. Worst 3pt shooting season since his rookie campaign (and lowest volume), 2nd lowest FG% inside the arc of his career, just ahead of this year so far.
His defense has historically been an issue but improved over time. His postseason performance issues are known, of course, and are a limitation on how good he can be considered next to his peers who do perform well in the playoffs. But he is actually a pretty good offensive player in the regular season.