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Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0

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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1561 » by twix2500 » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:00 pm

RexBoyWonder wrote:How would you feel about going all in and trading :

Duncan + Martin + Jovic + 24 SRP
For

Jerami Grant

I think that's fair value, and I think Grant will be the best 2 way PF Bam ever played with.

Rozier
Herro
Jimmy
Grant
Bam


Salaies next year will total at around 185Mil$ which is less then a bunch of contenders.

24 second round picks :lol:
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1562 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:11 pm

Pokuokic wrote:You know the All-Star game selections are a joke when a losing team like the Lakers has 2 players but Sabonis who is like top 10 MVP this season and carrying with Fox the Kings to a good record can't get a peak in. Bam is lucky he's in the East.


Bam would’ve made it over Towns
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1563 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:15 pm

marson wrote:
Pokuokic wrote:You know the All-Star game selections are a joke when a losing team like the Lakers has 2 players but Sabonis who is like top 10 MVP this season and carrying with Fox the Kings to a good record can't get a peak in. Bam is lucky he's in the East.


Player A

PPG 19.9
RPG 13.0
APG 8.0
TS% 65.5

Player B

PPG 20.6
RPG 10.6
APG 4.2
TS% 56.5


Player A, non existent defense who’s empty stat stuffing gets exposed in the playoffs and he gets outplayed by Kevon Looney and is a major reason they lose due to not being able or willing to shoot a mid range jumper

Player B, best defender in the world whose high impact is seen in the playoffs and is a major part of several deep playoffs runs that have almost resulted in championships. He was also averaging like 22-11-4 when all star voting concluded.

Don’t forget to leave that part out!!
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1564 » by IceColdCubano » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:27 pm

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This is what keeps Herro super safe in conversations from a team standpoint, I guess when the FO looks at his production they may not really do like advanced stats, other than Spo and assistant coaches, Pat and the higher ups problebly glance at it but ultimately go with what ends up on the box score.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1565 » by marson » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:32 pm

3ammy3uck3ts wrote:
marson wrote:
Pokuokic wrote:You know the All-Star game selections are a joke when a losing team like the Lakers has 2 players but Sabonis who is like top 10 MVP this season and carrying with Fox the Kings to a good record can't get a peak in. Bam is lucky he's in the East.


Player A

PPG 19.9
RPG 13.0
APG 8.0
TS% 65.5

Player B

PPG 20.6
RPG 10.6
APG 4.2
TS% 56.5


Player A, non existent defense who’s empty stat stuffing gets exposed in the playoffs and he gets outplayed by Kevon Looney and is a major reason they lose due to not being able or willing to shoot a mid range jumper

Player B, best defender in the world whose high impact is seen in the playoffs and is a major part of several deep playoffs runs that have almost resulted in championships. He was also averaging like 22-11-4 when all star voting concluded.

Don’t forget to leave that part out!!


You're easy to get baited nowadays :lol:
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1566 » by twix2500 » Fri Feb 2, 2024 3:36 pm



A little insight about the amateur circuit. A lot of politics and business decisions are made in highschool and now even middle school that push certain kids up and other back. It takes resources and connections to show your talent now. When I played it was runners (free lance agents working for sports agency, shoe companies, and drug dealers) and scouts look at kids at the park to get the inner city kids. The well off kids were get to show case their talents at these camps more so than the inner city kids.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1567 » by batterybro42 » Fri Feb 2, 2024 5:22 pm

IceColdCubano wrote:Every year there's a whisper and dream of Lebron returning, ever since that comment of the keys under the matt by Pat Riley. Dude is 39 Years old, yeah he is still pretty good, but sacrificing 1 year for a chance that may not work and losing assets that could be used in a trade for younger talent......nah



I'd think you would only do a LeBron trade if he agreed to do a 1+1 deal on a max after this season. You would then essentially pair him and Jimmy together for the next two seasons. This then puts you in a situation where you are offloading up to 90 million dollars in expiring contracts for the summer of 2026 which is slated to be the best free agent in class in a long long time. This then puts you in a situation where you will have an extended Bam on a max with JJJ still on his rookie deal. You would have two max slots available to go after some notable free agents like Shai, Tatum, Mitchell, and Fox.

Miami will be dumping Herro's contract before that summer anyways because they will probably go all in on something like Tatum and Mitchell to pair with Bam and Jamie

To me a Lebron type situation fits the timeline here very well, it's really the best fit for all parties the question is can they agree on that
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1568 » by Daffy » Fri Feb 2, 2024 5:29 pm

IceColdCubano wrote:I am going to wait until the end of the season/post season to make a full assessment on Damien Lillard production this year. He still has those sporadic games that are Lillard esq, but they are farther between when they come than the previous season.

I didn't know how to explain the situation, is he unhappy and that's why his play has dipped or is like most predicted he will ultimately face what all small guards deal with in father time, and wear and tear. So I did some digging out of curiosity.

Milwaukee: 25.1pts(22%drop), 4.3rebs(10%drop), 6.8ast(9%drop), @42.2 FG%(9%drop), @34.3 3P%(8%drop), 28.5 usage(17.5%drop), 35.3 MIN(2%drop)
Portland: 32.2pts, 4.8rebs, 7.3ast, @46.3 FG%, 37.1 3P%, 34.2 usage, 36.3 MIN

I used percentage increases and decreases instead of just doing subtracting the difference because I wanted to see correlation between usage rate drop and minute drop to the percent drop in other areas.

What we see here is that he is only had a 2% minute drop from last season, however the biggest thing is usage here where he is at a 17.5% drop in usage which is tied to production. Assist and Rebounding is almost identical in loss of production at 9-10% which correlates to the system where he is towered by a good center in Brook Lopez & Giannis who are also solid passers, so that is expected the minute difference is not big enough to explain the drop however the players around him does. The difference between point per game and Usage rate are high and a difference of 4.5-5% that difference there can be explained from the efficiency loss both on FG% & 3P% having dropped at 8-9%.

Now lets look at how many shots he is putting up, last season in Portland he put up 1202 total shots divided by 58 games played = He was putting up 20.7 shots per game, or he was putting up a shot for every 1.75 minute on the floor.
So far this season in Milwaukee he has shot 790 total shots divided by 45 games played = He is at 17.5 shots per game or putting up a shot every 2 minutes on the floor.
I looked at the pace of the Portland trailblazers last year vs Milwaukee this year and guess what the percentage margin of 2% difference with Portland playing quicker coincides with why Lillard is putting up less shots per minute on the floor adding the usage rate with the ball complete explains his drop in scoring from a total standpoint.

So far his drop in PPG, Rebounding, Assist, are all correlated to Usage rate, Minute played, shots created per minute on the floor, and team pace, aswell as team mates being bigger and far better at passing/rebounding.

The only thing, that is not explained, is the efficiency of those shots dropped, we can hypotheses perhaps he needs the ball more in order to get more rhythm and get better looks than what he has been getting, as a coach I would look to get him more usage, and see if that improves the overall team aspect, However in Milwaukee Giannis touches that ball a lot so that could be hard to change over night.


Good read. I do think here in Miami we would've seen a similar Dame to the one we saw in Portland vs the one we're seeing now in Milwaukee. All in all I'm okay with the Rozier acquisition if he can avg 14-18 ppg and solid efficiency for us.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1569 » by MettaWorldPanda » Fri Feb 2, 2024 5:38 pm

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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1570 » by Daffy » Fri Feb 2, 2024 5:56 pm

MettaWorldPanda wrote:
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Even if he was available I don't think Bron and Jimmy are a good pairing with this current roster build.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1571 » by AirP. » Fri Feb 2, 2024 6:02 pm

Looking at before and after games with Rozier. In the last 5 games assists percentage wise it seems Miami's 4 main guys or Rozer, Herro, Butler and Bam are now getting a much higher assist % then before Rozier showed up where it was more spread out to the rest of the roster.

Before Rozier Miami had 9 players at 27(26.9) passes per game and nobody really passing it a lot like now. (Ball being spread around and of course some injuries)
Since Rozier Miami has 5 players over 23 passes per game. (Ball in the hands of the main players more and no real injuries as of now)

It's a pretty big change but they did have that big night of assists in their small data set which could be skewing the data.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1572 » by Rapaz » Fri Feb 2, 2024 6:43 pm

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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1573 » by AirP. » Fri Feb 2, 2024 6:49 pm

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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1574 » by wadenation305 » Fri Feb 2, 2024 7:16 pm

Rapaz wrote:
Read on Twitter


Image

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I skimmed passed this real quick, and still, I almost threw up in my mouth a bit.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1575 » by MartianTimeSlip » Fri Feb 2, 2024 7:17 pm

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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1576 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Fri Feb 2, 2024 7:39 pm

marson wrote:
3ammy3uck3ts wrote:
marson wrote:
Player A

PPG 19.9
RPG 13.0
APG 8.0
TS% 65.5

Player B

PPG 20.6
RPG 10.6
APG 4.2
TS% 56.5


Player A, non existent defense who’s empty stat stuffing gets exposed in the playoffs and he gets outplayed by Kevon Looney and is a major reason they lose due to not being able or willing to shoot a mid range jumper

Player B, best defender in the world whose high impact is seen in the playoffs and is a major part of several deep playoffs runs that have almost resulted in championships. He was also averaging like 22-11-4 when all star voting concluded.

Don’t forget to leave that part out!!


You're easy to get baited nowadays :lol:


I just have to bring the facts to the nonsense because people legit think the way you just posted and it’s baffling to me
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1577 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Fri Feb 2, 2024 8:12 pm

IceColdCubano wrote:I am going to wait until the end of the season/post season to make a full assessment on Damien Lillard production this year. He still has those sporadic games that are Lillard esq, but they are farther between when they come than the previous season.

I didn't know how to explain the situation, is he unhappy and that's why his play has dipped or is like most predicted he will ultimately face what all small guards deal with in father time, and wear and tear. So I did some digging out of curiosity.

Milwaukee: 25.1pts(22%drop), 4.3rebs(10%drop), 6.8ast(9%drop), @42.2 FG%(9%drop), @34.3 3P%(8%drop), 28.5 usage(17.5%drop), 35.3 MIN(2%drop)
Portland: 32.2pts, 4.8rebs, 7.3ast, @46.3 FG%, 37.1 3P%, 34.2 usage, 36.3 MIN

I used percentage increases and decreases instead of just doing subtracting the difference because I wanted to see correlation between usage rate drop and minute drop to the percent drop in other areas.

What we see here is that he is only had a 2% minute drop from last season, however the biggest thing is usage here where he is at a 17.5% drop in usage which is tied to production. Assist and Rebounding is almost identical in loss of production at 9-10% which correlates to the system where he is towered by a good center in Brook Lopez & Giannis who are also solid passers, so that is expected the minute difference is not big enough to explain the drop however the players around him does. The difference between point per game and Usage rate are high and a difference of 4.5-5% that difference there can be explained from the efficiency loss both on FG% & 3P% having dropped at 8-9%.

Now lets look at how many shots he is putting up, last season in Portland he put up 1202 total shots divided by 58 games played = He was putting up 20.7 shots per game, or he was putting up a shot for every 1.75 minute on the floor.
So far this season in Milwaukee he has shot 790 total shots divided by 45 games played = He is at 17.5 shots per game or putting up a shot every 2 minutes on the floor.
I looked at the pace of the Portland trailblazers last year vs Milwaukee this year and guess what the percentage margin of 2% difference with Portland playing quicker coincides with why Lillard is putting up less shots per minute on the floor adding the usage rate with the ball complete explains his drop in scoring from a total standpoint.

So far his drop in PPG, Rebounding, Assist, are all correlated to Usage rate, Minute played, shots created per minute on the floor, and team pace, aswell as team mates being bigger and far better at passing/rebounding.

The only thing, that is not explained, is the efficiency of those shots dropped, we can hypotheses perhaps he needs the ball more in order to get more rhythm and get better looks than what he has been getting, as a coach I would look to get him more usage, and see if that improves the overall team aspect, However in Milwaukee Giannis touches that ball a lot so that could be hard to change over night.


That’s simply what it is tbh, nothing more. Hes in an entirely new role and not near as involved as he was in Portland. If he was still in Portland he would be putting up massive numbers, hell if he was here he’d be putting up massive numbers and taking 20 shots a night and we’d be at minimum the 2 seed right now.

As for efficiency that’s all tied in to what you’re saying above as well, ball isn’t in his hands as much as he’s used to and he’s not finding the same rhythm he’s had because of it. This is an entirely new role for him playing so much off ball. But yes I’m sure life, divorce, etc. play into it a little as well
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1578 » by Flash4thewin » Fri Feb 2, 2024 8:12 pm

RexBoyWonder wrote:How would you feel about going all in and trading :

Duncan + Martin + Jovic + 24 SRP
For

Jerami Grant

I think that's fair value, and I think Grant will be the best 2 way PF Bam ever played with.

Rozier
Herro
Jimmy
Grant
Bam

Salaies next year will total at around 185Mil$ which is less then a bunch of contenders.


Rex after the whole Dame situation, we are dead to Portland. So unless it's an extreme over pay on our part all we will hear is a dial tone. To get there interest it would have to start with JJJ which won't happen. Portland is not a team to even consider trading with for the foreseeable future.
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1579 » by 3ammy3uck3ts » Fri Feb 2, 2024 8:14 pm

IceColdCubano wrote:
Read on Twitter


This is what keeps Herro super safe in conversations from a team standpoint, I guess when the FO looks at his production they may not really do like advanced stats, other than Spo and assistant coaches, Pat and the higher ups problebly glance at it but ultimately go with what ends up on the box score.


I’d say the front office is looking at it more than anyone as they try to compare it to team building
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Re: Miami Heat 2024 Regular Season - Thread 4.0 

Post#1580 » by Kobewade11 » Fri Feb 2, 2024 8:18 pm

Rapaz wrote:
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Dru is the worst :lol: Riles has a crib out there

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