Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma

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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#41 » by nate33 » Fri Jun 7, 2024 6:20 pm

penbeast0 wrote:I don't know. I agree the Wiz are a very talent light organization but if Coach K is a good defensive motivator, the difference between mediocre and bad in the NBA is a very thin line.

They would find a way to become unmotivated over the second half of the 2025-26 season if that pick was at stake.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#42 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 7, 2024 6:48 pm

I didn't expect to read there were no benefits if Jordan Poole's contract disappeared from the Wizard's books completely today.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#43 » by nate33 » Fri Jun 7, 2024 7:02 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:I didn't expect to read there were no benefits if Jordan Poole's contract disappeared from the Wizard's books completely today.

With the cap rising $15M a year, cap room is just not that marketable of a commodity.

If Jordan Poole vanished from the face of the Earth and the Wizards had $36M in cap room (plus Bird Rights on Tyus) this summer instead of $6M in cap room (plus Bird Rights on Tyus), how exactly would the Wizards put themselves in a better position going forward?

Are they going to be more attractive to prospective free agents than Philadelphia, Orlando or San Antonio?

Who would give them a quality pick to buy a bad contract? Most of the teams in cap hell also lack tradeable picks.

I think the likely scenario is that they end up overpaying a second tier free agent just to get up to the salary minimum - a Bruce Brown type of signing. Is that any better than betting on Jordan Poole to play like the Golden State version of Jordan Poole again?
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#44 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 7, 2024 7:07 pm

I mean it cannot be a serious question to ask me if there are any better options at all than Jordan Poole at $30M/$32m/$34M right?

Let's pretend you can't sell any of the space--I think that's really premature, but I'll play along.
Then let's pretend you can't sign a single free agent player that makes sense for the team. Again feels premature, but I'm easy here.

So I will pick any random free agent in the league and pay them what I have to for one year to get to the floor. Done. I'm better off. I don't have 2/$68M still sitting on my books and whatever player gets my boon will not be as destructive on the court as Poole.


Now I know of course there are better options than just overpaying a random player, but since once again a poster just has zero faith in their organization I'll play by their assumptions I strongly disagree with.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#45 » by penbeast0 » Fri Jun 7, 2024 7:48 pm

Nate's a little over the top on this one, lol. It would be nice to get rid of Poole's contract and allow us to take more BYOD deals or deals to save teams money even if they don't bring in 1st round picks. But the less extreme view is that he has a point in that the team wouldn't be willing to trade significant talent or draft capital to do so because the deals that are out there to leverage that cap space would not bring us what anyone is asking to take Poole off our hands.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#46 » by Texas Chuck » Fri Jun 7, 2024 8:19 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Nate's a little over the top on this one, lol. It would be nice to get rid of Poole's contract and allow us to take more BYOD deals or deals to save teams money even if they don't bring in 1st round picks. But the less extreme view is that he has a point in that the team wouldn't be willing to trade significant talent or draft capital to do so because the deals that are out there to leverage that cap space would not bring us what anyone is asking to take Poole off our hands.


I don't think anyone is suggesting the Wizards should attach assets to dump him. Of course they shouldn't. He helps the tank. If they start to show progress in 2 years then maybe you attach stuff to turn his last year into a good player. But they are going to be terrible next year. Seems difficult to imagine their draft pick this year is going to make them good in 2 years either. So just ride it out.

But we also shouldn't pretend its the exact same having his contract or magically it going away either. :D If Washington had the cap space and he was an UFA, Nate would never suggest signing him to the remainder of his deal. But essentially he's saying that would as good as any other choice they could make....
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#47 » by theBigLip » Fri Jun 7, 2024 9:20 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:Nate's a little over the top on this one, lol. It would be nice to get rid of Poole's contract and allow us to take more BYOD deals or deals to save teams money even if they don't bring in 1st round picks. But the less extreme view is that he has a point in that the team wouldn't be willing to trade significant talent or draft capital to do so because the deals that are out there to leverage that cap space would not bring us what anyone is asking to take Poole off our hands.


I don't think anyone is suggesting the Wizards should attach assets to dump him. Of course they shouldn't. He helps the tank. If they start to show progress in 2 years then maybe you attach stuff to turn his last year into a good player. But they are going to be terrible next year. Seems difficult to imagine their draft pick this year is going to make them good in 2 years either. So just ride it out.

But we also shouldn't pretend its the exact same having his contract or magically it going away either. :D If Washington had the cap space and he was an UFA, Nate would never suggest signing him to the remainder of his deal. But essentially he's saying that would as good as any other choice they could make....


Welcome to the club. I’ve been going back and forth w some posters on the Pistons board on how valuable cap space is with free agency what it is these days. If nothing else, you can pick up assets facilitating other teams trades. But I actually think the sweet spot is for those players that are worth more than the MLE. There are not too many teams w raw cap space to offer MLE + $2M, which should entice some of these free agents to go to a lesser team such as the Pistons.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#48 » by nate33 » Fri Jun 7, 2024 9:40 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:So I will pick any random free agent in the league and pay them what I have to for one year to get to the floor. Done. I'm better off. I don't have 2/$68M still sitting on my books and whatever player gets my boon will not be as destructive on the court as Poole.

The Wizards already have about $20M in cap room next summer after factoring their picks this year and next year. Again, is it better to have Poole and $20M or no Poole and $50M? Sure, it's marginally better to have the cap room, but I don't think that cap room is going to have a significant impact on the outcome of the team. It's not really a big factor in terms of assessing the long term outlook of the Wizards relative to the Pistons, which is why we got off on this tangent.

When the Wizards really need cap room will be either in Summer 2026 or Summer 2027 when they're looking to add a good vet to the core of Bilal, Deni, 2024 lotto pick, 2025 lotto pick and 2026 lotto pick. In 2026, they could use Poole's expiring contract to trade for such a vet. Or they could wait until 2027 when hopefully they'll be winning some, at which point they'll be in a position similar to Orlando now: an up-and-coming team with max cap room.

The point is, the Wizards will have the salary flexibility when the time comes for them to actually try and attract difference-making free agents. Prior to that, the cap room is only buying them second round picks here and there; and they already have some cap room and some TPE's to make those kinds of transactions anyhow.

People need to get out of the mindset that existed under the previous CBA when there was no salary minimum threshold. There is no hoarding cap space anymore. If your team sucks so that you can't attract good free agents, you are stuck overpaying guys anyhow. So the opportunity cost of already having an overpaid guy is marginal.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#49 » by babyjax13 » Fri Jun 7, 2024 11:47 pm

BDM22 wrote:
babyjax13 wrote:
mcfly1204 wrote:Stewart has a bad contract?...

Absolutely? $15 million a year for a center with a -2.3BPM (-1.73 LEBRON, -0.88 Darko BPM, +0.1EPM) who doesn't block shots and misses a ton of games. There is stuff there to like with the shooting and I think it is a reasonable bet that as a 23 year old there is more to come - so I don't mind attributing value to him and even giving an asset - but that value is 100 percent speculative because he is one of the worst defensive centers in the NBA. You can argue, 'well, context is a mitigating factors,' and fair enough - but you could do the same for Kuzma, too, who has only been in very bad situations.

Any positive value attributed to him is entirely speculative because, at this point, he should be playing 15-20 minutes a game (max) on a decent team as a backup center - and backup centers don't make that much. His positional versatility is pretty overrated, as well. Unless you have a switchy/stretchy 5 a la Chet, he really should be position-locked as a center. I do think he is a nice fit, specifically with Ivey, because he helps open up the lane for Ivey to get to the rim so I don't mind a bad team like Washington (or Detroit, for that matter) giving him more minutes than he would get in a different environment - but ... yah, he's a bad contract absent some pretty large leaps in his game (that I'm not forecasting but you might), and I don't think it matters if teams were rumored to be interested in him in the past.

Pistons are night and day better with Stewart on the floor, largely because he's one of the only players that is positive defensively (yes) and an above average shooter for his position. -4 when he was on the floor and a horrendous -11.5 when he was off. This does not apply to the other 2 guys that consistently start next to him like Duren and Cade.

Not to say he has no flaws (he's ideally a 3rd big on a great team), but he's always up near the top of the league at protecting the rim (check his DFG% at the rim), even on this team that has atrocious perimeter defenders and a horrible defense overall. He's also one of the better guys in the league that can play the 5 at defending switches. Even being played at the 4 all of this season and a lot of the previous season, when he is better as a stretch 5.

Stewart is the one guy on the Pistons that could be plugged into every contender and be a positive impact player on day one. There's a reason the teams that wanted him before the trade deadline were some of the best front offices in the league in Boston, OKC, and Dallas. Hell, Boston calls about him basically every offseason and trade deadline. They aren't looking to spend assets on "speculative" guys in trades, they want impact rotation players today.

Certainly you could argue the injuries from the last 2 years, though it's hard to know how much of shutting him down the last 2 years was actually injury related or draft lottery position related because the Pistons win more games when he plays. I would imagine he'd be on the floor for a lot of those games if the Pistons were fighting for a play-in spot. That's speculation though.

That $15M is going to be a whopping 8% of the salary cap in a couple of years BTW. Really solid value for a 1st big off the bench that can hit threes, defend, rebound from the 5 and 4 spots for 25mpg, which would be his best role. Bigs that can defend and shoot are the most valuable role players that exist IMO.

Pistons need to be ADDING players that can shoot threes and defend, not getting rid of them. Kuzma does neither (I wouldn't want him for free, personally) and Kispert shoots well but doesn't play D. Easy pass.

Good post, thanks for adding context on Stewart.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#50 » by Mr Peanut » Sat Jun 8, 2024 5:47 am

JustBuzzin wrote:
Mr Peanut wrote:
JustBuzzin wrote:What did Kuzma do to deserve this?

From LA to Washington to Detroit.


Life comes at you fast! One moment you win a championship living in LA. Next moment you rotting away in Detroit.


Rotting away in his home state? Or rotting away on a franchise that's won three championships in the professional era? Can think of worse teams to rot on and don't have to look far beyond that logo under your username.
You took that personal huh?

Detroit has been the worst team in basketball for years now.


There's an old saying: those supporting historically poverty franchises shouldn't cast the first stone.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#51 » by JustBuzzin » Sat Jun 8, 2024 2:48 pm

Mr Peanut wrote:
JustBuzzin wrote:
Mr Peanut wrote:
Rotting away in his home state? Or rotting away on a franchise that's won three championships in the professional era? Can think of worse teams to rot on and don't have to look far beyond that logo under your username.
You took that personal huh?

Detroit has been the worst team in basketball for years now.


There's an old saying: those supporting historically poverty franchises shouldn't cast the first stone.

This a message board bro.

Detroit has been one of the worst teams in basketball for the past few years. It's okay to tell the truth you know.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#52 » by Kalamazoo317 » Sat Jun 8, 2024 2:52 pm

What's your point? Hornets have been one of the worst franchises in the NBA over their existence. They actually have the second worst win percentage of all time as a franchise (0.01 points above the Grizzlies). I'm not sure they've ever been a contender in any form or fashion over their entire history.

I guess your point is you're well acquainted with bad basketball. Yeah, Detroit's been bad for a while. We know.
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Re: Ivey + Stewart for Kispert + Kuzma 

Post#53 » by Texas Chuck » Sat Jun 8, 2024 2:54 pm

JustBuzzin wrote:
Mr Peanut wrote:
JustBuzzin wrote:You took that personal huh?

Detroit has been the worst team in basketball for years now.


There's an old saying: those supporting historically poverty franchises shouldn't cast the first stone.

This a message board bro.

Detroit has been one of the worst teams in basketball for the past few years. It's okay to tell the truth you know.



Okay everyone has had their juvenile fun taking little pot shots at other franchises. Please move on to discussing anything at all of actual merit.
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