Raps in 4 wrote:Michael Bradley wrote:Raps in 4 wrote:
The Jays won zero playoff games during that span, and the team got worse each year as it bled talent without replacing the lost production.
The team was built by adding a bunch of free agents (to get butts in seats), while completely neglecting the farm system. The end result is the dumpster fire we have now.
The 2022 team that had the 3rd best record in the AL was built around prospects the team either drafted, signed, or traded for (Vlad, Bo, Kirk, Teoscar, Gurriel, Jansen, Espinal, Manoah, Romano). They supplemented that talent with veterans like Gausman, Springer, Chapman, etc, but the core of that team was at least equal parts homegrown, if not more. The issue with subsequent teams (2023 in particular) was regression of that young talent, for one reason or another, as well as not being able to produce a 2nd wave of talent from the minors to add on to the existing one. That's on player development, scouting, coaching, bad luck, etc. There's clearly an issue somewhere there, which is why I believe player development and at the very least Atkins needs to be replaced.
The best Jays team of that era was the 2021 iteration that featured two MVP-level position players (Vladdy and Semien). The team then lost Semien and his 6.0 fWAR the following year without replacing his production. It has been a downhill ride since.
They essentially replaced Semien with Chapman, and if you look at fWAR, Chapman had a 3.9 WAR in 2022 versus 4.4 for Semien, with Chapman being the better offensive player based on wRC+/OPS+ that year. Considering Semien signed for 7/175 with Texas, I'm not sure what counter the Jays could have realistically done to get him to stay considering the tax differences. To get two years of Chapman as a replacement (for practically nothing) was a solid outcome.
The biggest reason the 2023 team disappointed was because Vlad/Bo/Kirk/Manoah/Jansen/Espinal went from a combined 21.5 fWAR in 2022 to a combined 9.1 fWAR in 2023. They still won 89 games in spite of that but it should have been a lot more.
Three of the players in that young core (Valddy, Jansen, Romano), were drafted/signed by the previous FO. This current FO has done a piss poor job of identifying and developing young talent.
Yes and no. I thought the team did a good job with player development early on in their tenure, but it got progressively worse over time, especially since 2023. Keep in mind Romano was a failed starter, and Jansen hit .206 in A ball when Shapiro was hired. Teoscar was raw as hell when he got to Toronto and eventually turned into a legitimate middle of the order bat. They did decent things early on, but have definitely gotten away from that in the last few years.
Rogers fired AA the same season the team went to the ALCS. He also tried to fire Masai right after the championship season. Ed is the furthest thing from a rational owner.
AA's contract was up, he wasn't fired. Not sure about the Rogers/Masai stuff since I wasn't really paying attention to it at the time. I think what Masai has done post title has been pretty subpar, depending on how involved he was in the day to day. If Ed tried to fire him right after the title, then yes, Ed was out of his mind.