ImageImageImageImageImage

Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets

Moderators: Deeeez Knicks, mpharris36, j4remi, HerSports85, NoLayupRule, GONYK, Jeff Van Gully, dakomish23

User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#361 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:20 pm

MrDollarBills wrote:
stuporman wrote:
thebuzzardman wrote:
Mark Dollar store Price


Comparing Kolek to Mark Price is kinda racist now that I think about it :o

I'm not trying to get canceled before the season begins


True. Everyone knows he's Discount John Stockton.
Image
User avatar
mpharris36
Forum Mod - Knicks
Forum Mod - Knicks
Posts: 111,978
And1: 115,558
Joined: Nov 03, 2010
     

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#362 » by mpharris36 » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:21 pm

E-Balla wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:In his career KAT holds opponents to -2.3% shooting at the rim. The last 3 years it's -1.8%. Randle holds opponents to -2.3% in his career and in the last 3 years it's -1.9%. KAT only contests 0.7 more shots per 100 too.

Blocks per game is meaningless.


to be fair....you are putting career stats

I didn't just put career stats. I put last 3 year stats too, and Randle is ahead of KAT at PF.

and KAT has had to play way more center (it wasn't to way recently when he switched to PF). Playing bigger guys generally results in more shots closer to the rim in terms of shot profile (so contested similar amount of shots per 100 doesn't mean they are contested the same type of shots). More shots closer to the rim are usually more EFF shots.

The stat is how much they hold opponents under their average it already accounts for this.

Just look at KAT's shots at the rim attempts before Gobert got there. They were sometimes 2-3 FGA more than randle for a season.

Yes but if Randle moved to C his FGA defended at the rim would also increase, and at -2% that's not necessarily a good thing.

So the comparison isn't apples to apples. Randle is guarding 4's who are less likely to take shots closer at the rim in his career. KAT has mostly faced centers in his career.

These stats aren't derived from looking at the position they're guarding. It's done by tracking how close a player is between the scorer and the rim, if they're within 3 feet it counts as a basket defended.

As a 4 man you are less likely to have to defend and lob dunks or put backs...ect...shots that have very high EFF FG% shots. The few shots Randle is facing at the rim are probably vs smaller 4's since there aren't that many traditional 4 man in the NBA anymore. So he shouldn't be having to really battle for size and positioning.

So just because Randle has similar FG% at the rim doesn't mean he's a better interior defender...they are going up against completely different size players.

1. I posted last 3 year stats so we can see KAT at PF. It's similar to Randle.
2. The opponent quality and their ability to finish is already taken into account.
3. I'm not saying Randle is better. They're about even. Both of them suck.



I'm saying if Randle went more full time 5 his shot at the rim numbers would get significantly worse then they already are since he now would probably have to defend more 1/5 P&R and guarding guys with significantly more size and weight then him...its not a linear effect where if he defends more shots he would stay at the same DFA at the rim by switching positions.

Also Towns still wasn't a full time 4 last year (he played a majority of his minutes there but he plays a handful of minutes at the 5 every game.

Also Gobert has only been on Minny for 2 years..so in your 3 year sample size you have a full year of KAT at center.
4-Peat! 22-25 BAF Champion Spurs:

ROSTER

Walker Kessler/Daniel Gafford/Adem Bona
Nikola Jokic/Santi Aldama/Isaiah Stewart
Aaron Nesmith/Josh Hart/Jaime Jaquez
Alex Caruso/Keon Ellis/Justin Champagnie
Steph Curry/Chris Paul/Jase Richardson
User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#363 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:21 pm

Buttah304 wrote:Good to see RealAgenda is alive again after the summer

Genuinely loathe the doom & gloom opinions along with the groundhogs day bait style postings

Can’t wait for the season to start

Also screw this guy

Image


Woody Allen wore it better:

Image
Image
Knicksfan1992
RealGM
Posts: 14,071
And1: 14,550
Joined: Jun 14, 2012
         

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#364 » by Knicksfan1992 » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:22 pm

I think a lot of the Towns discourse is getting muddied because a lot of people are acting as if this team is being built around him when it's not...

The team is being built around Brunson as he is the best player and a top 5-10 player in the league.

Knicks felt like they needed a stretch big more than they needed a downhill one in Randle next to Brunson to amplify his game IMO. The absence of Mitch for an extended period of time and loss of Hartenstein with no replacement probably played a factor as well but with all the smoke around KAT for years I think they've been targeting him regardless of any injury....

Positional designations aside it's clear the Knicks main 2 fulcrums of offense are going to be Brunson and Towns.

After that, they are clearly trying to target elite guys in Defensive EPM to surround their 2 water carriers offensively. Jeremy Cohen has alluded to this stat multiple times when talking about who the Knicks tend to target and I think he's on to something.. Take a look at the below players as far as percentile rankings of their defensive EPM in 2023-24

J Hart - 83rd percentile
OG Anunoby - 99th percentile
Mikal Bridges - 80th percentile
Precious - 74th Percentile
Hartenstein - 99th percentile

All Leon Rose acquisitions.

Other Leon Rose rumored/confirmed targets

Caruso - 99th percentile
Marcus Smart - 99th percentile
Kessler - 80th percentile

There's a trend I'm sensing...

Mitch is in the 95th percentile which may explain why he is the lone survivor so far from before Leon took over (I don't think for long but who knows)

Weirdly enough Cam Payne, who I think is a pretty good defender, was extremely low in D-EPM last year but he was a minimum signing... Obviously Shamet does not rank highly on D-EPM either but again minimum dart throw. Beggars can't be choosers at that price point and he provides another specialty skill with his shooting.

Point being it seems like the Knicks plan is to have 2 elite offensive guys surrounded by elite defensive role players who hopefully can give a little bit offensively as well. I don't think they are too concerned about whether KAT can play 4 or the 5 IMO. It's likely irrelevant to them as long as they have a stable of elite defenders around him and Brunson who can cover a multitude of positions.
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#365 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:23 pm

Deeeez Knicks wrote:LA had Anthony Davis who shot 38% from 3 during their run

He made 1.1 3s a game on 2.9 attempts a game in that run and he was PF. Dwight and Javale - non shooters - were at C next to him.

Denver has Jokic, Gordon shot 39% from 3

AG is 32% from deep in his career like Draymond on 3.2 attempts a game. He shot 29% last season on under 2 attempts a game. He's not a spacing threat he didn't even make 1 3 pointer a game in that run. And Jokic isn't a shooter too. Again Denver was LAST in 3 pointers attempted in 2023. Like I know your opinion, I'm talking actual facts here. A hot streak - something any non shooter can do on low attempts - doesn't change anything.

I'll give you Dray, but Warriors are maybe one of the greatest shooting teams ever and def won with elite spacing. So small ball, and 3's were def a key to their recipe.

Both are def important and defense will always be important. The key is really finding the balance. I mean, even in your examples your listing players that can do a bit of both. KAT is closer to that type of mold then Randle as a C. He is not perfect and def not guaranteed to work out.

No he isn't. He can't do both. Not even remotely. He's one of the worst rim protecting bigs in the league.

The key is really when Mitch comes back it'll give the Knicks more versatility to play big or small and match up. Another key to those championship teams is that they do play both big and small, and can play both styles well.

Agree here, but we don't need to rewrite history to say rim protecting bigs matter less than stretch bigs. Objectively speaking that's completely false.
User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#366 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:24 pm

god shammgod wrote:
3toheadmelo wrote:
god shammgod wrote:i'm sure some of you guys on your high horse have criticized a member of the knicks once or twice. you must have wanted them to fail at the time. sad.

We can't even have healthy debates with metrics on here anymore. What happened to this place :lol:


this place is just like everywhere else, this is discourse in this country nowadays. "i don't want to hear anything i don't fully agree with. and i want the people saying it gone if they don't stop saying it" :lol:


I try to keep this energy in everyday life too.

"Nice weather we are having"
"THAT'S WHAT THEY'D LIKE YOU TO THINK!"
Image
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#367 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:25 pm

mpharris36 wrote:I'm saying if Randle went more full time 5 his shot at the rim numbers would get significantly worse then they already are since he now would probably have to defend more 1/5 P&R and guarding guys with significantly more size and weight then him...its not a linear effect where if he defends more shots he would stay at the same DFA at the rim by switching positions.

Also Towns still wasn't a full time 4 last year (he played a majority of his minutes there but he plays a handful of minutes at the 5 every game.

Also Gobert has only been on Minny for 2 years..so in your 3 year sample size you have a full year of KAT at center.

The 3 year sample size helps KAT. He's at -1.3 the last 2 years.

And you're right Randle's numbers will be worse, they'd probably be as bad as KAT's numbers at C if his numbers at PF are as bad as KAT's. :lol:
User avatar
evevale
Head Coach
Posts: 6,061
And1: 18,489
Joined: Dec 06, 2010
Location: the internet
 

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#368 » by evevale » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:27 pm

the only kat "hater" whose posts i take @ face value is e-balla - i learned to trust his judgment during the reddish saga

the rest are masking their very obvious biases under lazy usage of analytics and flawed historical perspective - seen this same act countless times from the same posters about different players

in the end it's just annoying to be ridiculed for rooting for your team and being branded as ignorant/casual for simply trying to have a positive outlook - many of us understand that things won't go as we want them to and to get spammed literally every day reminding us that we'll be "wrong" gets pretty tiring

anyway i usually try to stay out of the imaginary factions wars but i feel like a lot of folks are fed up w/ this ****
Image
User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#369 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:27 pm

NiceLikeChrist wrote:
robillionaire wrote:I like Randle and Towns so I don’t even know what to say to some of these people

Towns is going to be a 20 10 all star all nba player and people are going to look silly for doubting him based on nothing. He is a 4x all star 2x all nba and will be both again this season. So change gears now in the preseason or look silly soon


I don't think anybody is doubting Towns ability as a player. I also expect him to be a 20/10 guy the same way I expect Julius to be a 20/10/5 guy.

What most are worried about is whether Towns' 20/10 makes this team better than Julius'. Time will tell but I liked how we played with Julius and a traditional defensive minded, glass crashing center. Now we have a completely different team so we're waiting to see how it turns out. Nothing wrong with speculation and guessing though.


Actually, we have pretty much the same team when Mitch gets back from injury. Oh, we swapped out Donte for Mikal.

Maybe these are incremental improvements.
Image
User avatar
Fat Kat
RealGM
Posts: 34,787
And1: 35,449
Joined: Apr 19, 2004
     

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#370 » by Fat Kat » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:28 pm

Read on Twitter
All comments made by Fat Kat are given as opinion, which may or may not be derived from facts, and not made to personally attack anyone on Realgm. All rights reserved.®
User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#371 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:29 pm

The KnicksFix wrote:Kolek deuce shamet precious ̶S̶i̶m̶s̶ not looking like a bad bench. First three can score and the bottom two can rebound. We can stagger starter minutes with them


fixed
Image
User avatar
thebuzzardman
RealGM
Posts: 80,967
And1: 94,398
Joined: Jun 24, 2006
Location: Villanovknicks

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#372 » by thebuzzardman » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:31 pm

WaltFrazier wrote:JJ Redick had promised to work with Josh Hart this summer on his three. I'm sure that fell through after JJ got the Laker job. It's disappointing that Josh's shot doesn't look any better so far, because that's one thing that would be a huge boost to his game, and to the team's offense.


Next Ex-VillanovaKnick
Image
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#373 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:33 pm

evevale wrote:the only kat "hater" whose posts i take @ face value is e-balla - i learned to trust his judgment during the reddish saga

the rest are masking their very obvious biases under lazy usage of analytics and flawed historical perspective - seen this same act countless times from the same posters about different players

in the end it's just annoying to be ridiculed for rooting for your team and being branded as ignorant/casual for simply trying to have a positive outlook - many of us understand that things won't go as we want them to and to get spammed literally every day reminding us that we'll be "wrong" gets pretty tiring

anyway i usually try to stay out of the imaginary factions wars but i feel like a lot of folks are fed up w/ this ****

I think the issue is the coping. We can root for the best while not saying KAT wasn't previously a disaster at C/protecting the rim, or lying and saying stretch bigs have dominated the NBA and 3 point shooting is all that matters, or without saying rim protection doesn't matter much in the modern NBA, or lying and saying he's a better rim protector than Jules. We can disagree on predictions, and disagree on how this will go or how the fit will work, but if someone says something objectively false imma call it out and post evidence it's false everytime.
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#374 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:35 pm

Also that's why it's funny to me the vitriol I got for saying objective facts. Got **** tossing death threats because I posted playoff career averages. :lol:
User avatar
mpharris36
Forum Mod - Knicks
Forum Mod - Knicks
Posts: 111,978
And1: 115,558
Joined: Nov 03, 2010
     

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#375 » by mpharris36 » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:35 pm

E-Balla wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:I'm saying if Randle went more full time 5 his shot at the rim numbers would get significantly worse then they already are since he now would probably have to defend more 1/5 P&R and guarding guys with significantly more size and weight then him...its not a linear effect where if he defends more shots he would stay at the same DFA at the rim by switching positions.

Also Towns still wasn't a full time 4 last year (he played a majority of his minutes there but he plays a handful of minutes at the 5 every game.

Also Gobert has only been on Minny for 2 years..so in your 3 year sample size you have a full year of KAT at center.

The 3 year sample size helps KAT. He's at -1.3 the last 2 years.

And you're right Randle's numbers will be worse, they'd probably be as bad as KAT's numbers at C if his numbers at PF are as bad as KAT's. :lol:



so KATs best rim defending season in the last 3 years was when he played full time center....

Image
4-Peat! 22-25 BAF Champion Spurs:

ROSTER

Walker Kessler/Daniel Gafford/Adem Bona
Nikola Jokic/Santi Aldama/Isaiah Stewart
Aaron Nesmith/Josh Hart/Jaime Jaquez
Alex Caruso/Keon Ellis/Justin Champagnie
Steph Curry/Chris Paul/Jase Richardson
User avatar
Deeeez Knicks
Forum Mod - Knicks
Forum Mod - Knicks
Posts: 49,193
And1: 55,067
Joined: Nov 12, 2004

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#376 » by Deeeez Knicks » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:36 pm

E-Balla wrote:
Deeeez Knicks wrote:LA had Anthony Davis who shot 38% from 3 during their run

He made 1.1 3s a game on 2.9 attempts a game in that run and he was PF. Dwight and Javale - non shooters - were at C next to him.

Denver has Jokic, Gordon shot 39% from 3

AG is 32% from deep in his career like Draymond on 3.2 attempts a game. He shot 29% last season on under 2 attempts a game. He's not a spacing threat he didn't even make 1 3 pointer a game in that run. And Jokic isn't a shooter too. Again Denver was LAST in 3 pointers attempted in 2023. Like I know your opinion, I'm talking actual facts here. A hot streak - something any non shooter can do on low attempts - doesn't change anything.

I'll give you Dray, but Warriors are maybe one of the greatest shooting teams ever and def won with elite spacing. So small ball, and 3's were def a key to their recipe.

Both are def important and defense will always be important. The key is really finding the balance. I mean, even in your examples your listing players that can do a bit of both. KAT is closer to that type of mold then Randle as a C. He is not perfect and def not guaranteed to work out.

No he isn't. He can't do both. Not even remotely. He's one of the worst rim protecting bigs in the league.

The key is really when Mitch comes back it'll give the Knicks more versatility to play big or small and match up. Another key to those championship teams is that they do play both big and small, and can play both styles well.

Agree here, but we don't need to rewrite history to say rim protecting bigs matter less than stretch bigs. Objectively speaking that's completely false.


Jokic doesn't protect the rim at all and is one of the greatest offensive Centers in history. He is waaaay more of an offensive C then defensive C. Teams need to cover him everywhere on the floor. Despite his 3 point percentage he is a major threat. Not even sure how that one is debatable.
Mavs
C: Horford | Goga | Paul Reed |
PF: Lauri Markkanen | Randle | Tucker
SF: Trey Murphy | Trent | Anderson | Simone
SG: Vassell | Trent | Livingston
PG: Spida | Mann | Deuce
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#377 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:42 pm

mpharris36 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:I'm saying if Randle went more full time 5 his shot at the rim numbers would get significantly worse then they already are since he now would probably have to defend more 1/5 P&R and guarding guys with significantly more size and weight then him...its not a linear effect where if he defends more shots he would stay at the same DFA at the rim by switching positions.

Also Towns still wasn't a full time 4 last year (he played a majority of his minutes there but he plays a handful of minutes at the 5 every game.

Also Gobert has only been on Minny for 2 years..so in your 3 year sample size you have a full year of KAT at center.

The 3 year sample size helps KAT. He's at -1.3 the last 2 years.

And you're right Randle's numbers will be worse, they'd probably be as bad as KAT's numbers at C if his numbers at PF are as bad as KAT's. :lol:



so KATs best rim defending season in the last 3 years was when he played full time center....

Image

Nah his best was the first year Gobert got there he was holding opponents to -4.8% at the rim. Last year it was +0.4% so the last 2 year average is bad. He was -3.1% his last year at C. Good try tho.
User avatar
mpharris36
Forum Mod - Knicks
Forum Mod - Knicks
Posts: 111,978
And1: 115,558
Joined: Nov 03, 2010
     

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#378 » by mpharris36 » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:44 pm

E-Balla wrote:
mpharris36 wrote:
E-Balla wrote:The 3 year sample size helps KAT. He's at -1.3 the last 2 years.

And you're right Randle's numbers will be worse, they'd probably be as bad as KAT's numbers at C if his numbers at PF are as bad as KAT's. :lol:



so KATs best rim defending season in the last 3 years was when he played full time center....

Image

Nah his best was the first year Gobert got there he was holding opponents to -4.8% at the rim. Last year it was +0.4% so the last 2 year average is bad. He was -3.1% his last year at C. Good try tho.



oh so Randles 3rd year was just egregiously bad....I see...you need to be clearer with your breakdown of your numbers...
4-Peat! 22-25 BAF Champion Spurs:

ROSTER

Walker Kessler/Daniel Gafford/Adem Bona
Nikola Jokic/Santi Aldama/Isaiah Stewart
Aaron Nesmith/Josh Hart/Jaime Jaquez
Alex Caruso/Keon Ellis/Justin Champagnie
Steph Curry/Chris Paul/Jase Richardson
User avatar
Iron Mantis
RealGM
Posts: 27,110
And1: 27,786
Joined: Aug 12, 2006

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#379 » by Iron Mantis » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:45 pm

evevale wrote:the only kat "hater" whose posts i take @ face value is e-balla - i learned to trust his judgment during the reddish saga

the rest are masking their very obvious biases under lazy usage of analytics and flawed historical perspective - seen this same act countless times from the same posters about different players

in the end it's just annoying to be ridiculed for rooting for your team and being branded as ignorant/casual for simply trying to have a positive outlook - many of us understand that things won't go as we want them to and to get spammed literally every day reminding us that we'll be "wrong" gets pretty tiring

anyway i usually try to stay out of the imaginary factions wars but i feel like a lot of folks are fed up w/ this ****


Image
Image
User avatar
E-Balla
RealGM
Posts: 35,822
And1: 25,116
Joined: Dec 19, 2012
Location: The Poster Formerly Known As The Gotham City Pantalones
   

Re: Postgame thread: Knicks @ Hornets 

Post#380 » by E-Balla » Mon Oct 7, 2024 8:49 pm

Deeeez Knicks wrote:Jokic doesn't protect the rim at all and is one of the greatest offensive Centers in history.

Well yes. Denver plays a bunch of big ass players and do a rim protection by committee to cover for Jokic and it works.



He is waaaay more of an offensive C then defensive C. Teams need to cover him everywhere on the floor. Despite his 3 point percentage he is a major threat. Not even sure how that one is debatable.

It's debatable because I watched the playoffs and Olympics. The Wolves won because they started letting him take wide open 3s off the 4/5 PNR with Gordon and he shot 8/34 on open 3 pointers including 4/16 on wide open 3 pointers. It's literally why they lost, I posted a bunch of clips of how KAT and Gobert defended him in the part 2 thread of the KAT trade. Letting Jokic become a shooter, when he's not comfortable shooting, is by far the most proven way to defend him.

Return to New York Knicks