2024 NBA Draft Thread

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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2881 » by The-Power » Fri Nov 1, 2024 11:51 am

The Moose wrote:The Ryan Dunn shooting revelation is one of the strangest things I can remember in terms of NCAA to NBA immediate translation.

Came here to say this. I know the term is overused but in this case it might indeed be aptly used literally: unprecedented. I can't remember anything like it. Especially not from someone who stayed more than one year in college.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2882 » by HadAnEffectHere » Sat Nov 2, 2024 3:02 am

The lack of talent 1-10 in this class is pretty brutal.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2883 » by FarBeyondDriven » Sat Nov 2, 2024 3:07 am

The-Power wrote:
The Moose wrote:The Ryan Dunn shooting revelation is one of the strangest things I can remember in terms of NCAA to NBA immediate translation.

Came here to say this. I know the term is overused but in this case it might indeed be aptly used literally: unprecedented. I can't remember anything like it. Especially not from someone who stayed more than one year in college.


almost exactly what happened with Kawhi so not unprecedented
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2884 » by FarBeyondDriven » Sat Nov 2, 2024 3:07 am

HadAnEffectHere wrote:The lack of talent 1-10 in this class is pretty brutal.


your take is brutal
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2885 » by HadAnEffectHere » Sat Nov 2, 2024 3:27 am

FarBeyondDriven wrote:
HadAnEffectHere wrote:The lack of talent 1-10 in this class is pretty brutal.


your take is brutal


Sarr is having the best rookie season of any of the guys drafted in the top ten.

He's shooting 30% from the field.

Clingan and Sheppard are barely in their respective rotations, Risacher and Castle and Salaun have been not good, Dillingham has yet to play, Cody Williams is easily the worst player in the NBA, and Edey has... existed I guess.

Maybe Holland has been not that bad? But he's not getting many minutes on a horrible team with Ausar out.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2886 » by clyde21 » Sat Nov 2, 2024 6:13 am

im kinda surprised Reed hasn't gotten at least 15 mins, but with FVV getting 38 mpg right now and Green not far behind (and shooting 21 times per game) hard to see where the usage is gonna come from at this point. Alpy needs the ball as well and then you have Amen who himself is seeing his minutes dip due to the usage of the aforementioned guys.

i don't like this way of building teams, too many young guys, too many young guys who need minutes to develop, not sure what the point is of drafting someone top 3 only to give him 8 mins a pop. these teams gotta learn to consolidate.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2887 » by The-Power » Sat Nov 2, 2024 11:48 am

FarBeyondDriven wrote:
The-Power wrote:
The Moose wrote:The Ryan Dunn shooting revelation is one of the strangest things I can remember in terms of NCAA to NBA immediate translation.

Came here to say this. I know the term is overused but in this case it might indeed be aptly used literally: unprecedented. I can't remember anything like it. Especially not from someone who stayed more than one year in college.


almost exactly what happened with Kawhi so not unprecedented

Not even close, no.

College Kawhi FT%: 74.4
College Dunn FT%: 52.5

College Kawhi: 0.195 3PAr | 3.7 3PA/100
Rookie Kawhi: 0.270 3PAr | 4.6 3PA/100

College Dunn: 0.189 3PAr | 2.5 3PA/100
Rookie Dunn: 0.714 3PAr | 13.1 3PA/100

It's not just the increase in percentage (we'll see how that plays out over the a larger sample). Dunn turned from someone who cannot shoot and does not shoot from deep to a volume 3pt shooter out of nowhere. Kawhi became more efficient from deep but already flashed more shooting potential in college and did not turn himself into a completely different archetype.

So no, “almost exactly” the same most definitely did not happen to Kawhi. That claim doesn't hold up to even the most basic scrutiny. Kawhi hitting 3s at a better rate is not even remotely the same as Dunn starting to take and make 3s at incredibly high volume in his Rookie season after being close to a non-shooter in college for two consecutive years.

Kawhi's initial jump (from last college season to first NBA season) is more comparable to what we have seen from Anthony Black most recently if you just look at the numbers.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2888 » by clyde21 » Sat Nov 2, 2024 3:04 pm

the Dunn thing is entirely unprecedented, I wonder who worked with this him this off-season. dude will be getting a lot of calls.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2889 » by HadAnEffectHere » Sat Nov 2, 2024 7:02 pm

clyde21 wrote:the Dunn thing is entirely unprecedented, I wonder who worked with this him this off-season. dude will be getting a lot of calls.


IIRC, Dunn's claim to teams at the combine was that his growth spurt ruined his shot and instead of trying to rebuild it in college, he would just wait until the NBA so he didn't have to change it twice.

Which sounded very weird because why would you risk missing out on guaranteed money instead of rebuilding your shot in college?

But I guess this is what happened...

Dunn was a good shooter in high school as well which made his college ineptitude much stranger.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2890 » by babyjax13 » Sat Nov 2, 2024 8:03 pm

HadAnEffectHere wrote:
clyde21 wrote:the Dunn thing is entirely unprecedented, I wonder who worked with this him this off-season. dude will be getting a lot of calls.


IIRC, Dunn's claim to teams at the combine was that his growth spurt ruined his shot and instead of trying to rebuild it in college, he would just wait until the NBA so he didn't have to change it twice.

Which sounded very weird because why would you risk missing out on guaranteed money instead of rebuilding your shot in college?

But I guess this is what happened...

Dunn was a good shooter in high school as well which made his college ineptitude much stranger.

Interesting. The Lockedondraft people also said they heard he had confidence issues in college, so it could have been lots of things compounding at once? And maybe those were related to the growth spurt? Good for Phoenix, though. If Dunn can shoot he is at worst a top 10 player from this draft, but more likely top 5. They needed another rotation player desperately.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2891 » by Catchall » Sun Nov 3, 2024 12:35 am

Filipowski is capable of putting up double-doubles if he gets real minutes and touches. Not sure if this is news to anyone.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2892 » by FarBeyondDriven » Sun Nov 3, 2024 5:12 am

The-Power wrote:
FarBeyondDriven wrote:
The-Power wrote:Came here to say this. I know the term is overused but in this case it might indeed be aptly used literally: unprecedented. I can't remember anything like it. Especially not from someone who stayed more than one year in college.


almost exactly what happened with Kawhi so not unprecedented

Not even close, no.

College Kawhi FT%: 74.4
College Dunn FT%: 52.5

College Kawhi: 0.195 3PAr | 3.7 3PA/100
Rookie Kawhi: 0.270 3PAr | 4.6 3PA/100

College Dunn: 0.189 3PAr | 2.5 3PA/100
Rookie Dunn: 0.714 3PAr | 13.1 3PA/100

It's not just the increase in percentage (we'll see how that plays out over the a larger sample). Dunn turned from someone who cannot shoot and does not shoot from deep to a volume 3pt shooter out of nowhere. Kawhi became more efficient from deep but already flashed more shooting potential in college and did not turn himself into a completely different archetype.

So no, “almost exactly” the same most definitely did not happen to Kawhi. That claim doesn't hold up to even the most basic scrutiny. Kawhi hitting 3s at a better rate is not even remotely the same as Dunn starting to take and make 3s at incredibly high volume in his Rookie season after being close to a non-shooter in college for two consecutive years.

Kawhi's initial jump (from last college season to first NBA season) is more comparable to what we have seen from Anthony Black most recently if you just look at the numbers.


nOt eVeN cLOsE

please. They both played two years in college. Neither could shoot from three.

Kawhi 21% and 29%
Dunn 31% and 20%

both drafted into the league considered by "scouts" as non-shooters and both shot well from jump

most people when they make outlandish claims and are irrefutably proven wrong just take their L. Seems extremely rare on here. Your upvote buddy doesn't seem to understand what "unprecedented" means either. Too funny
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2893 » by FarBeyondDriven » Sun Nov 3, 2024 5:44 am

HadAnEffectHere wrote:
FarBeyondDriven wrote:
HadAnEffectHere wrote:The lack of talent 1-10 in this class is pretty brutal.


your take is brutal


Sarr is having the best rookie season of any of the guys drafted in the top ten.

He's shooting 30% from the field.

Clingan and Sheppard are barely in their respective rotations, Risacher and Castle and Salaun have been not good, Dillingham has yet to play, Cody Williams is easily the worst player in the NBA, and Edey has... existed I guess.

Maybe Holland has been not that bad? But he's not getting many minutes on a horrible team with Ausar out.


you making declarations about 19 year olds a week into the season is laughable. Holland isn't getting minutes because the Pistons wanted to surround Cade (after giving him $200 million) with vets. I'm really not sure Holland was a smart pick by them considering they just drafted a non-shooter in Ausar the year before anyway. The Blazers need to move Ayton before Clingan gets minutes. This was always the case.

I don't remember people claiming there was a lack of talent in the top 10 of the 2023 class at this time last year. Outside of Wembanyama and Miller it looks comparable through the first several games. But just because there isn't talents like Wembanyam and Miller doesn't mean there's no talent or it's brutal. Hyperbole serves nothing but making people sound stupid tbh

2023 Class October production outside of Wemby and Miller

Scoot - 8/3/4
Black - 3/0/1
Hendricks - 2/1/1
Amen - 7/3/2
Ausar - 9/11/4 (32 FG% 14 3PT%)
Coulibaly - 4/3/1
Walker - 0/4/0
Wallace - 8/3/1

2024 Class October production

Risacher - 9/3/1
Sarr - 8/6/1
Sheppard - 3/1/1
Castle - 6/2/3
Holland - 5/3/0
Salaun - 2/2/2
Clingan - 5/6/0
Dillingham -
Edey - 9/5/0
Williams - 3/3/1
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2894 » by babyjax13 » Sun Nov 3, 2024 6:22 am

FarBeyondDriven wrote:
The-Power wrote:
FarBeyondDriven wrote:
almost exactly what happened with Kawhi so not unprecedented

Not even close, no.

College Kawhi FT%: 74.4
College Dunn FT%: 52.5

College Kawhi: 0.195 3PAr | 3.7 3PA/100
Rookie Kawhi: 0.270 3PAr | 4.6 3PA/100

College Dunn: 0.189 3PAr | 2.5 3PA/100
Rookie Dunn: 0.714 3PAr | 13.1 3PA/100

It's not just the increase in percentage (we'll see how that plays out over the a larger sample). Dunn turned from someone who cannot shoot and does not shoot from deep to a volume 3pt shooter out of nowhere. Kawhi became more efficient from deep but already flashed more shooting potential in college and did not turn himself into a completely different archetype.

So no, “almost exactly” the same most definitely did not happen to Kawhi. That claim doesn't hold up to even the most basic scrutiny. Kawhi hitting 3s at a better rate is not even remotely the same as Dunn starting to take and make 3s at incredibly high volume in his Rookie season after being close to a non-shooter in college for two consecutive years.

Kawhi's initial jump (from last college season to first NBA season) is more comparable to what we have seen from Anthony Black most recently if you just look at the numbers.


nOt eVeN cLOsE

please. They both played two years in college. Neither could shoot from three.

Kawhi 21% and 29%
Dunn 31% and 20%

both drafted into the league considered by "scouts" as non-shooters and both shot well from jump

most people when they make outlandish claims and are irrefutably proven wrong just take their L. Seems extremely rare on here. Your upvote buddy doesn't seem to understand what "unprecedented" means either. Too funny

The FT discrepancy matters as much as 3s. RE: unprecedented, I'd love to actually see a breakdown of the largest increases in percentage for players that actually attempted 3s in college.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2895 » by The Moose » Mon Nov 4, 2024 11:50 am

It's interesting that the number 1 pick in this draft is currently dead last in the entire league in BPM and VORP and pretty much nobody is even mentioning a word about it here

The expectations for Risacher really were extremely low
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2896 » by clyde21 » Mon Nov 4, 2024 6:59 pm

The Moose wrote:It's interesting that the number 1 pick in this draft is currently dead last in the entire league in BPM and VORP and pretty much nobody is even mentioning a word about it here

The expectations for Risacher really were extremely low


the only rook with more than 100 minutes and a positive BPM right now is Jonathan Mogbo, usually rooks do terrible in this stat
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2897 » by CptCrunch » Mon Nov 4, 2024 9:46 pm

Everyone has been ass crack. Mogbo isn't gonna be a rotation player. If these kids don't wake up 30 games in, then I'll be concerned.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2898 » by The Moose » Mon Nov 4, 2024 10:19 pm

clyde21 wrote:
The Moose wrote:It's interesting that the number 1 pick in this draft is currently dead last in the entire league in BPM and VORP and pretty much nobody is even mentioning a word about it here

The expectations for Risacher really were extremely low


the only rook with more than 100 minutes and a positive BPM right now is Jonathan Mogbo, usually rooks do terrible in this stat


That’s true, my point is more about the discourse around him though. If any other recent number 1 pick had been this awful to start his career there would be plenty of pre draft skeptics taking laps, I’m pretty positive on that.

Not even his pre draft skeptics are taking laps because the expectations seemed to be that low and that’s all I’m saying. I can’t remember a less talked about 1st pick since Bennett
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2899 » by clyde21 » Tue Nov 5, 2024 12:06 am

The Moose wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
The Moose wrote:It's interesting that the number 1 pick in this draft is currently dead last in the entire league in BPM and VORP and pretty much nobody is even mentioning a word about it here

The expectations for Risacher really were extremely low


the only rook with more than 100 minutes and a positive BPM right now is Jonathan Mogbo, usually rooks do terrible in this stat


That’s true, my point is more about the discourse around him though. If any other recent number 1 pick had been this awful to start his career there would be plenty of pre draft skeptics taking laps, I’m pretty positive on that.

Not even his pre draft skeptics are taking laps because the expectations seemed to be that low and that’s all I’m saying. I can’t remember a less talked about 1st pick since Bennett


i mean yea, it was a terrible class to have the #1 pick...no one is running laps (other than the usual suspects) because everyone has been bad lol

i myself had Sarr #1 and I don't feel good about it at all.
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Re: 2024 NBA Draft Thread 

Post#2900 » by zimpy27 » Tue Nov 5, 2024 10:17 am

Dunn now 35% from 3 and 55% TS..

Is it possible that people convinced themselves on low sample and a heater to start the career?
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