MartyConlonJr wrote:Not sure how the Warriors experiment will go. I definitely respect what Jimmy does, but what is their ceiling in terms of playoff position?
Can they realistically catch OKC, Memphis, Houston, Denver, or Lakers, when they are 5 games behind with 32 to go? Even if Lakers were a .500 squad rest of the way they are 46-36. GSW would need to go 21-11 (.656). That next tier of Minnesota and Clippers, a .500 record gets you 44-38, so Warriors would need to go 19-13 (.593). And that is all assuming those top 7 seeds play at a .500 level, which is below what they are playing now.
Then you have Dallas, who while they are now sans Luka, have been without him most of the season, 14-14 without him, 12-11 with. So now you add AD to that mix, they should improve. Add in Spurs who are 2 games behind Warriors but now have Fox, without give much up of consequence from the current roster to do it. They could be in the race too.
Really the Warriors have a lot of competition, or need to perform at a high rate in the regular season (not Jimmy's forte), to get beyond 8th seed, and it is still possible they struggle to stay out of play in.
The East is unlikely to have that run to the finish line, and so it is likely that if Warriors are the 8th seed or so, they may still have a better record than maybe 2-3 east playoff teams. That pick could very easily be 17th or better, and possibly if they miss the playoffs, that 11-14 is really in play. Part of me thinks if it conveys in such a strong year and with our ability to draft in that range, that is a big get.
Houston and Memphis are ultra vulnerable at the top. Nobody wants to play Golden St in rd 1. Injuries are likely an X factor in the West.