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5th Seed Watch (was 6th Seed Watch)

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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#41 » by cpower » Sat Mar 1, 2025 5:45 am

Lakers are aiming for top 3..not great news. Likely overtaken one of Denver or Memphis, if not both
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#42 » by Onus » Sat Mar 1, 2025 5:51 am

cpower wrote:Lakers are aiming for top 3..not great news. Likely overtaken one of Denver or Memphis, if not both

Really want to get into 4/5. Hopefully Houston drops some more games and Memphis drops to 4 and we get 5. I don’t want to see Denver or the lakers.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#43 » by statsman » Sat Mar 1, 2025 5:55 am

cpower wrote:Lakers are aiming for top 3..not great news. Likely overtaken one of Denver or Memphis, if not both

Maybe, but Rui suffered a knee strain in the Twolves game yesterday and missed tonight's game vs the Clippers. In the Clippers game, Reaves left with what appears to be a calf injury, and he'll have an MRI tomorrow. Given the Lakers' schedule, they can ill afford to be without either or both of these players for very long.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#44 » by cpower » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:02 am

statsman wrote:
cpower wrote:Lakers are aiming for top 3..not great news. Likely overtaken one of Denver or Memphis, if not both

Maybe, but Rui suffered a knee strain in the Twolves game yesterday and missed tonight's game vs the Clippers. In the Clippers game, Reaves left with what appears to be a calf injury, and he'll have an MRI tomorrow. Given the Lakers' schedule, they can ill afford to be without either or both of these players for very long.

they are winning games because of the defense and Jarred Vanderbilt was big part of that.. he was +20 tonight again. They will continue to beat teams as long as they have the defense
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#45 » by vvoland » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:13 am

Onus wrote:
cpower wrote:Lakers are aiming for top 3..not great news. Likely overtaken one of Denver or Memphis, if not both

Really want to get into 4/5. Hopefully Houston drops some more games and Memphis drops to 4 and we get 5. I don’t want to see Denver or the lakers.


I'd much prefer to stay in 6 unless La gets to 3. I don't think they will as their March schedule is really tough and they aren't deep enough for the number of games left, especially if they get even one injury to a rotation player.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#46 » by floppymoose » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:16 am

Clippers and Wolves lose. Suns win
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#47 » by Onus » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:17 am

Dream seedings
Okc
Den/lal
Den/lal
Mem
Gsw
Hou
Dal
Min
Most 4th Quarter Points in Final since 1991
1995 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5
2000 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5 (61.1% TS)
2015 Stephen Curry 10.8 (75.1% TS)
1997 Michael Jordan 10.7 (55.1% TS)
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2011 Dirk Nowitzki 10.3 (68.0% TS)
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#48 » by vvoland » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:27 am

Onus wrote:Dream seedings
Okc
Den/lal
Den/lal
Mem
Gsw
Hou
Dal
Min


If we're dreaming, I'd prefer den/la are in the 4/5 and hou/mem get the 2/3. That way we play mem/hou/the 7 seed in our first two series while jokic/LeBron play each other and then play OKC. It makes our road to the wcf fairly realistic, at which point, I like our chances.

Obviously if we got the 3 seed instead of the 6 that would be even better but that's not dreaming, that's an acid trip.

Hou and mem look like they're struggling but both are 5-5 their last 10. Both have an easier march than either la teams or Denver. I think my scenario isn't all that far fetched and would be kinda perfect
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#49 » by michaelm » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:55 am

Onus wrote:Dream seedings
Okc
Den/lal
Den/lal
Mem
Gsw
Hou
Dal
Min

That would be good but 5th looks fairly unlikely to me. With others I would like 6th and avoid the Lakers as a first priority and avoid Denver after them. AD was the guy who killed GSW previously but the Luka/LeBron combination is looking ominous.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#50 » by HiRez » Sat Mar 1, 2025 7:14 am

Just get to 6, I don't really care who they face because they're probably still another year away from competing (more integration for Jimmy, maybe a few offseason moves). Nuggs, Grizz, Lakers, Rox all bunched up together, separated by 1.5 games, can't predict where they'll end up, so you can't really say 5 is any better than 6. Of those 4, I guess my preference would be HOU, MEM, LAL, DEN.

Lakers and Denver are both beatable, but Dubs don't have an answer for Jokic, and you know the league is going to put their finger on the scale for the Lakers HARD, with LeBron and Doncic they definitely want them in the Finals.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#51 » by bay2hk » Sat Mar 1, 2025 7:19 am

Best case scenario is top 4 with first round home court advantage. Better to take on OKC in the second round while they’re still inexperienced. I have a feeling Lakers will climb to top 3.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#52 » by DB23 » Sat Mar 1, 2025 10:55 am

michaelm wrote:
Onus wrote:Dream seedings
Okc
Den/lal
Den/lal
Mem
Gsw
Hou
Dal
Min

That would be good but 5th looks fairly unlikely to me. With others I would like 6th and avoid the Lakers as a first priority and avoid Denver after them. AD was the guy who killed GSW previously but the Luka/LeBron combination is looking ominous.


I wouldn’t mind the lakers or nuggets, they don’t have anyone to matchup with curry anymore. Schroeder and kcp have been huge for them against us in the past.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#53 » by Onus » Sat Mar 1, 2025 1:21 pm

DB23 wrote:
michaelm wrote:
Onus wrote:Dream seedings
Okc
Den/lal
Den/lal
Mem
Gsw
Hou
Dal
Min

That would be good but 5th looks fairly unlikely to me. With others I would like 6th and avoid the Lakers as a first priority and avoid Denver after them. AD was the guy who killed GSW previously but the Luka/LeBron combination is looking ominous.


I wouldn’t mind the lakers or nuggets, they don’t have anyone to matchup with curry anymore. Schroeder and kcp have been huge for them against us in the past.

We haven’t beaten Denver in like 2 years
Most 4th Quarter Points in Final since 1991
1995 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5
2000 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5 (61.1% TS)
2015 Stephen Curry 10.8 (75.1% TS)
1997 Michael Jordan 10.7 (55.1% TS)
1998 Michael Jordan 10.6 (50.6% TS)
2011 Dirk Nowitzki 10.3 (68.0% TS)
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#54 » by DB23 » Sat Mar 1, 2025 3:05 pm

Onus wrote:
DB23 wrote:
michaelm wrote:That would be good but 5th looks fairly unlikely to me. With others I would like 6th and avoid the Lakers as a first priority and avoid Denver after them. AD was the guy who killed GSW previously but the Luka/LeBron combination is looking ominous.


I wouldn’t mind the lakers or nuggets, they don’t have anyone to matchup with curry anymore. Schroeder and kcp have been huge for them against us in the past.

We haven’t beaten Denver in like 2 years


Yeah but with kcp is very different to now imo. I get he just put 56 on him but I think he defended Steph better than anyone with the nugs. Plus most of the games were close and I’d say we are better and they are worse.

Look nothing will be easy but outside of landing the rockets 2-5 are all relatively similar imo.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#55 » by Onus » Sat Mar 1, 2025 5:26 pm

DB23 wrote:
Onus wrote:
DB23 wrote:
I wouldn’t mind the lakers or nuggets, they don’t have anyone to matchup with curry anymore. Schroeder and kcp have been huge for them against us in the past.

We haven’t beaten Denver in like 2 years


Yeah but with kcp is very different to now imo. I get he just put 56 on him but I think he defended Steph better than anyone with the nugs. Plus most of the games were close and I’d say we are better and they are worse.

Look nothing will be easy but outside of landing the rockets 2-5 are all relatively similar imo.

We’ll play them 2 more times this year so I guess we’ll see. But they’re 7-0 against over the last 2 years and this year. Just rather play mem and okc since we’ve already beaten them twice.

We know the lakers game plan will be anyone but Steph and they’ve been much better at stopping dribble penetration with bodies letting non shooters shoot as much as they want. Which means dray and jimmy both.
Most 4th Quarter Points in Final since 1991
1995 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5
2000 Shaquille O'Neal 11.5 (61.1% TS)
2015 Stephen Curry 10.8 (75.1% TS)
1997 Michael Jordan 10.7 (55.1% TS)
1998 Michael Jordan 10.6 (50.6% TS)
2011 Dirk Nowitzki 10.3 (68.0% TS)
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#56 » by vvoland » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:24 pm

Onus wrote:
DB23 wrote:
Onus wrote:We haven’t beaten Denver in like 2 years


Yeah but with kcp is very different to now imo. I get he just put 56 on him but I think he defended Steph better than anyone with the nugs. Plus most of the games were close and I’d say we are better and they are worse.

Look nothing will be easy but outside of landing the rockets 2-5 are all relatively similar imo.

We’ll play them 2 more times this year so I guess we’ll see. But they’re 7-0 against over the last 2 years and this year. Just rather play mem and okc since we’ve already beaten them twice.

We know the lakers game plan will be anyone but Steph and they’ve been much better at stopping dribble penetration with bodies letting non shooters shoot as much as they want. Which means dray and jimmy both.


There is a real option to only play 1 of the LA, OKC, Den trio. We've had great records against the first two and play den reasonably well despite our most recent record but I would want to avoid those three teams.

We'll see if giving Jimmy space in order to dare him to shoot will be a sound strategy. Also, I'm sticking to my guns, for now, that the Lakers defense post the AD trade is smoke and mirrors. They can prove me wrong in the next 3 weeks considering their schedule gets insane. With the possibility of putting 4 shooters around Jimmy or dray, I'm not sure LA has the bodies to defend our motion offense. We'll find out soon enough, we play them in early April in a game that is sure to be meaningful to both teams. I think we run them out of the gym, to be honest, but would rather play the house/mem/7seed side of the bracket, if there is one.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#57 » by DaHef » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:25 pm

My dream scenario is the Lakers get the 2 seed and the Mavs win the play-in for the 7th and then with a healthy AD just beat the hell out of LA. Then the Dubs win round 1 from the 6th spot and we get a few more Klaynation games by the Bay. (Mavs will be a tough draw for any team with a healthy AD and Kyrie)
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#58 » by whatisacenter » Sat Mar 1, 2025 6:31 pm

I think the only favorable matchups against teams that are currently ahead of the Warriors are the Clippers and the Rockets.
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#59 » by cpower » Sun Mar 2, 2025 4:17 am

if we lose to phil we will lose other bad teams, this is a play-in team afterall
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Re: 6th Seed Watch 

Post#60 » by floppymoose » Mon Mar 3, 2025 3:25 am

Code: Select all

 6 LA Clippers      32  27
 7 Golden State     32  28
 8 Sacramento       31  28
 9 Minnesota        32  29
10 Dallas           32  29
11 Phoenix          28  32


Next 10 games:

Code: Select all

Mon, Mar 3  @   Charlotte       14-42   4:00 PM PST
Tue, Mar 4  @   New York        37-20   4:30 PM PST
Thu, Mar 6  @   Brooklyn        21-36   4:30 PM PST
Sat, Mar 8  vs  Detroit         32-26   5:30 PM PST
Mon, Mar 10 vs  Portland        25-33   7:00 PM PDT
Thu, Mar 13 vs  Sacramento      29-28   7:00 PM PDT
Sat, Mar 15 vs  New York        37-20   5:30 PM PDT
Mon, Mar 17 vs  Denver          38-21   7:00 PM PDT
Tue, Mar 18 vs  Milwaukee       33-25   7:00 PM PDT
Thu, Mar 20 vs  Toronto         19-42   7:00 PM PDT

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