zimpy27 wrote:I think Mazzula has pushed 3 volume up high expecting the shots to win% to be linear but it appears to be parabolic. Celtics are shooting too many 3s at this point, if they do lose this series then I expect he will correct the plan next season.
That's the hope. I imagine it would be better if he adjusted a little more game to game, though.
Celtics are in unchartered territory, Mazzula explored. It doesn't make him a bad coach
Agreed. And to be fair, they've had the best offense in the league for two years running, are the defending champions, and they still defend very well.
This year, he's pushed it VERY far. Their offense regressed. Tatum regressed, and we are seeing the results of shooting variance when more than half of their shots are low-FG% 3s which are tough to reclaim as offensive rebounds.
This is my endless frustration with Tatum, and again, realizing that there's a heavy dose of coach influence here: he has the tools to do more than just bomb 3s. And he really needs to. He's a pretty good slasher, a pretty good post player, and he has a middie, he just doesn't use it anymore. He needs to be brutalizing people at the elbow and the nail when Ds tighten up on him. And a little more elbow post, not just mid-post. He could be so much more consistent and so much more dangerous on nights when his 3 isn't falling. He isn't all that from 3, he never has been, from the moment he stopped smashing it from the corners. His ATB 3pt shot is decent but non-elite, and that's not something you want to smash in volume.
So we'll have to see what comes next. Boston's due for at least one shooting variance swing in their favor, and I don't know that it would be a good thing, because it might bring some confirmation bias that this is the right strategy.