DuckIII wrote:You're blurring concepts. There's a difference between building a team around Giddey - which, to be clear, the Bulls are certainly doing - and having succeeded in completing a rebuild around Giddey. No, I absolutely do not believe that Giddey, Coby, Matas and a complete question mark in Noa, without more, is going to be good. The acquisition of shooting and more defenders (I project Matas and Noa as plus defenders) is a process. The Bulls just shifted to a Giddey-themed rebuild (for lack of a better term) 4 months ago. If done properly, it will take several years from now and multiple moves.
Coby is a guy that doesn't fit next to Giddey, Matas and Noa are guys I'd like the same next to Giddey or not, and neither one is a guy I feel is a perfect fit next to Giddey. As prospects, I'd want guys both to be good shooters. Matas showed good improvement, but was 29% shooter as a prospect. Both these guys are just high upside prospects.
For me, if I were to order the things you need around Giddey to build a team around him, it would be:
1: A rim protecting center
2: Good three point shooters
3: Good wing defenders
4: Athletic players
I think relative to the league average, we are deficient in points #1, #2, and #3.
EDIT: We do have a 3-D player, Okoro. Its part of the evidence we are building around Giddey. If we weren't, we wouldn't have traded Ball yet. And in doing so, we targeted one of the exact things we need with Giddey.
Okoro is not a shooter, he got played out of the playoffs because of his inability to shoot. Teams just left him alone to double guys.
Do I think having two very long, very athletic, extremely fast, bouncy, full-court 3/4 hybrids filling lanes on the break and covering ground defensively in the half court behind Giddey's back are logical to that formula? Yes. Would I prefer that Noa have a 3 ball in place and ready to go? Yes. But we picked 12th. Given what AK is forcing himself to work with, I think the guys he picked at 11 and 12 the last two drafts are fantastic, unique pieces (in theory) for a team developed around Giddey's strengths and weaknesses.
I love both prospects, and if they develop into their best versions of themselves, they'll fit next to anyone IMO, not guys that you get to be by Giddey, and I agree, I don't think we had like tons of choices or anything, I think we just took the best guys we could, and I like both guys as picks in that mold.
Maybe its just me, but when you say the 6'8 PG who pushes pace like a Ferrari and is one of the most creative, effective passers in the NBA won't "unlock" two raw rim-running, full-court athletes who love to play that way, it doesn't feel like an objective analysis of the personnel. You see it differently, okay.
I think there is a difference between them developing a greater array of skills, and Giddey getting them more easy transition buckets that pump up their stats. I think they will have better statistical profiles as players in an uptempo Giddey offense for sure, but I think that is separate from the players being able to reach their upside potential in terms of skill development / player development.
The rest of it is just me taking into consideration things I know they will consider, and you saying they shouldn't consider it. I don't disagree with you. Its just that I'm not analyzing a hypothetical. In the real world with human beings who do more than run probability algorithms, Josh Giddey has some leverage of his own. Should he? I guess I don't really care either way. He just does.
I'm not analyzing what AK is doing. I'm stating what AK should be doing. I agree completely that he will take these things into account. He should not, and he absolutely does not have to. Giddey obviously has some leverage, we're only arguing degrees. If he had no leverage, we could sign him for the vet minimum, but as a real obvious point, he has the leverage of the QO, he has the leverage of a wide open FA market next year, and he has the leverage that he's a talented basketball player that we should want to keep.
All those things are true, I mean I wish I had the leverage where someone was debating whether to pay me 100 or 150 million over the next five years, that's obviously a lot of leverage. I actually am not worried about leverage at all really. I'm only worried about doing the thing that I think will be the best for the Bulls building a 50+ win team. To me, Giddey at 30M doesn't help with that goal, 25M a year probably does (particularly if you can structure it descending).
I don't actually think that's a massive gap between the two of our views relative the amount of discussion, but it's funny if you think how much fans argue about it, I can't imagine how the Bulls and Giddey are arguing about it
