AirP. wrote:vvoland wrote:whatisacenter wrote:
I seriously doubt Podz will ever shoot over 39% from 3 and I doubt he will ever shoot 8-10 per game.
He was 38.5 his rookie year and 37.2 last year. I just don't believe those percentages
There's a difference in 3pt shooters of those who can catch and shoot, those who can shoot off the dribble and then someone like Curry.
Podz seems to be a very good catch and shoot 3pt shooter, shooting ~36% on 2 attempts and almost 40% this year on 3 attempts. The pull up 3s is where the issues seem to be, rookie year 45% on 1 per game, this year 32% on nearly 2 a game. Podz is iffy with the ball in his hands, but being a catch and shoot guy he seems to be solid and those types of players benefit from Butler playing with them as he attacks the lane mostly to draw in defenders and find the open 3pt shooter.
To look a little closer at Podz this last year, he was horrible before the all-star break shooting C&S3s at 33% and pullups under 30%, after the all-star game and mostly with Butler Podz shot 47% in C&S3s on 1.3 attempts and a respectable (but need to do better) 35% in pull up 3s.
Podz and Post should be in the 2nd group as 3pt finishers who plays with mostly Butler when Curry is off the floor.
I'm sure you'd know better than us, having watched Duncan but I would be willing to bet the C&S shots Duncan gets are very different from the ones Podz is fed. Duncan is running around picks like crazy, catching of extreme movement, and going up after a hard stop. Typically with 1 or more hands in his face.
Podz gets the easiest C&S, just like MM or JK or ..., statues that get so much space and time it warps the court in 4 dimensions. If you look at Podz (or all 3, for that matter), the splits show players that are wildly inconsistent. Months of subs 30%, months above 40%, and in the end, Podz gets to 39/37%. Moody to 36/36/36/37%, JK with a crazy range of 34/37/32/30% in his 4 years on the lowest volume.
With the game on the line, in the playoffs especially, I dont want any of those 3 taking a wide open 3, based on what they've shown to date. If it had to be a 3, I'd bet on MM, but the % suggest Podz. If we do get Melton, Hoford, Seth, Podz would be behind those 3 and Steph, Buddy, and Post. In the playoffs, I might trust Jimmy's 3 more than podz.