Post#5 » by AshyLarrysDiaper » Sat Oct 25, 2008 11:51 pm
I knew Granger over KG wouldn't win me any fans, but I'll walk you through my rationale.
Last season, KG's stats dropped in all cats except for FG% and blocks, the biggest flag for me being minutes per game (32), his lowest since his rookie season. He also finished below 20 pts and 10 reb avg's for the first time since the 98-99 season.
He's a year older and his skills are in decline, but that's not the whole issue: as Boston's young pieces mature, they'll assume a bigger role, allowing KG to save himself for the playoffs as any 33 year old vet should. Powe looks strong this season, so he'll get more minutes/fga's. The C's also added Bill Walker, who might be ready to contribute right way. Big picture is that KG only cares about winning at this stage of his career and he doesn't need to be a stats gold-mine for Boston to be successful.
As for Granger? His trajectory is straight up at this point in his career. He's improved in every cat year over year, and makes signicant contribution in just about all of them. He's also likely to play 82 games (knock on wood) in an offense that's conducive to posting big #'s.
There were other guys I coulda taken at 8, but I had qualms about all of 'em. Marion's future in Miami is uncertain and his best days are behind him. D-Williams woulda been cool, but I had my eye on underrated pg's in later rounds so decided to go another way. I coulda just as easily taken Bosh, and thought about it, but I worry about his defensive stats when he's playing with O'Neil. Anyway, it's worht noting that if I'd picked @ 7, I would've taken Wade, so this is is as high as I was willing to take Granger. An unconventional choice I'll admit, but what can I say...I'm a maverick.
Your point about centers is well taken but I think I'm all set, dude. There's absolutely no way I'd move Gay for any of the guys you listed, for pretty much the same reasons I took Granger so high (uptempo offense, young guy on the rise, etc.).