Post#8 » by tsherkin » Thu Oct 30, 2008 8:46 pm
I'm figuring a 115-104 loss.
The Suns are POOCHED defensively at the positions where New Orleans fields its best scorers, so I expect them to go off. Matt Barnes will do a good job "containing" Peja's dribble penetration but man defenders get lost on screens whether they're good or not and Peja needs an eyelash's width to get his jumper off, so even if he comes over the screen, it's gone before he can contest. And then there's Chandler, who'll be coming out high and then rolling for oops.
The Suns clearly need to force the ball out of Paul's hands wherever possible, which means they're going to have to swarm him. Maybe Dragic will have some success with that, bringing Raja over as help and trying to trap him or something. The problem is, the Hornets can field a lineup where Chandler is the only one who can't consistently hit a 20-foot jumper, which means trapping is a DANGEROUS proposition.