Post#68 » by tsherkin » Fri Sep 10, 2010 3:04 pm
ronny...
With Bargs, he's shown some flashes. It's tough to evaluate, because 3/4s of his buckets were assisted last year and it was higher than that in previous seasons, but he's shown some good handles for a dude his size, a good first step, obviously the jumper, and a developing game with his back to the basket (basic hook shots and so forth). It's possible, I mean he's 7' 250, he's got a decent base.
No sane person is predicting Dirk-like numbers from him, but he's got the tools to be a fairly impressive scorer if he can get sorted out and semi-consistent. The big issue with him isn't offense, though, it's defense and rebounding; he's an abysmal rebounder and whatever improvements he's made have been marginal; his career-high TRB% is 10.4%, which is 1.2% better than his career-low/rookie numbers, and that's pathetic for a 4/5. Like, no-excuse, godawful, waste-of-skin, why-are-you-breathing-my-air pathetic for a big man.
I can understand why is ORB% is lower, he spends a lot of time away from the rim behind the arc, or did. That will change if he's being asked to create his own shot a little more, and in fact has changed; his ORB% this past season was 4.6%, which is better than all but 4 seasons from Nowitzki (one of which was his 47-game rookie season, so it doesn't count), so that's actually really promising. His big problem is that he's 4-6% below where he should be in DRB%. He needs to be in the 18-20% range there, which isn't epic, it's just good for a player at that position (Dirk rocks 22.1% on his career, and has been 24%+ 3 times, topping out at 25.0). I'd be comfortable with that, since it'd make Andrea something like a 13-4% TRB player, which is much more acceptable than his absurdly ineffectual play in that respect at the moment.
He's a slack-off bastard on the defensive glass, though, I constantly complain about the fact that he doesn't position well and doesn't move to the ball, particularly under Numpty Triano, who I hope gets fired very quickly.
We'll see. He has potential as a scorer, but he's definitely not a franchise-type player without some radical changes to his game, and it worries me that we continue to treat him as if he's an equal to or replacement for someone like Chris Bosh even, who is himself a second-tier player.