2012 NBA Draft Lottery

Nivek · Post #41 » by **Nivek** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 7:04 pm

I understand that. But it's still a stupid system.

Post #42 » by **Rafael122** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 7:27 pm

So since 1990, only 3 teams with the worse record have won the lottery. It' d be hilarious if Charlotte fell to 4th (if its possible).

Knighthonor · Post #43 » by **Knighthonor** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 8:06 pm

when do we find out what pick the wizards have?

Post #44 » by **nate33** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 8:07 pm

Nivek wrote:My 10-shot run:

2: MKG
3: Beal
3: Beal
2: MKG
5: Drummond
1: Davis
2: MKG
5: Drummond
1: Davis
3: Beal

This draft lottery is a mess. The most likely outcome for the worst team is to move DOWN in the draft order.

How can the worst team go anywhere else but down?

closg00 · Post #45 » by **closg00** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 8:08 pm

Beal will be a Wizard according the Analyzer. Here is what I got.
2 - MKG
3 - Beal
4 - Beal
4 - Beal
4 - Beal
3 - Beal
1 - Davis
5 - Drummond
4 - Beal
4 - Robinson

KevinFCheng · Post #46 » by **KevinFCheng** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 8:13 pm

Here are the results I got:
4 - Beal
1 - Davis
2 - MKG
3 - Beal
5 - Drummond
4 - Robinson
3 - Beal
2 - MKG
1 - Davis
4 - Robinson

closg00 · Post #47 » by **closg00** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 8:19 pm

We're getting the 4th or 5th pick, book-it.

Post #48 » by **miller31time** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 9:00 pm

My 10 results....

1. Robinson (4th -- New Orleans won)
2. Davis (1st)
3. Drummond (5th -- New Orleans won)
4. Davis (1st)
5. Robinson (5th -- Cleveland won)
6. Beal (3rd -- Charlotte won)
7. Kidd-Gilchrist (2nd -- Cleveland won)
8. Beal (4th -- Charlotte won)
9. Beal (4th -- Charlotte won)
10. Davis (1st)

rockymac52 · Post #49 » by **rockymac52** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 9:30 pm

My turn

1. MKG (2nd)
2. Davis (1st)
3. Robinson (4th)
4. MKG (2nd)
5. Davis (1st)
6. Robinson (4th)
7. MKG (2nd)
8. Davis (1st)
9. MKG (2nd)
10. Robinson (4th)

Interesting how I NEVER got Beal and everyone else seems to be getting him pretty frequently.

Halcyon · Post #50 » by **Halcyon** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 9:33 pm

2 - MKG
4- Robinson
1 - Davis
2 - MKG
3 - Beal
4 - Beal
1 - Davis
4 - Beal
3- MKG
3 - MKG

Looks like MKG for me.

DallasShalDune · Post #51 » by **DallasShalDune** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 9:34 pm

1. 4th Beal (Warriors Won)
2. 3rd Beal (Bobcats Won)
3. 2nd MKG (Kings Won)
4. 1st Davis
5. 2nd MKG (Nets Won)
6. 4th Beal (Bobcats Won)
7. 4th Robinson (Hornets Won)
8. 1st Davis
9. 4th Beal (Bobcats Won)
10. 3rd Beal (Kings Won)

Dat2U · Post #52 » by **Dat2U** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:19 pm

1. 2. MKG (Bobcats won)
2. 1. Davis
3. 2. MKG (Hornets won)
4. 1. Davis
5. 3. Beal (Kings won)
6. 1. Davis
7. 1. Davis

I just stopped there. We won 4 times out of 7. No need to try any further!

Maybe the Wizards should pay my way to the lottery, lol.

Post #53 » by **Rafael122** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:19 pm

1. 4th - Beal (Bobcats won)
2. 4th - Beal (Cleveland won)
3. 5th - Drummond (Raptors won)
4. 4th - Beal (Bobcats won)
5. 2nd - MKG (Hornets won)
6. 2nd - MKG (Kings won)
7. 4th - Beal (Hornets won)
8. 4th - Robinson (Cavs won)
9. 4th - Robinson (Nets won)
10. 4th - Robinson (Hornets won)

fishercob · Post #54 » by **fishercob** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:24 pm

closg00 wrote:We're getting the 4th or 5th pick, book-it.

This may not be as grim as you think, depending on who is picking in front of us. There are a lot of scenarios where Beal slips to 4, even though Ford isn't projecting that at the moment.

Us dropping to 5th is a little better than a 1 in 10 chance. I don't think it will happen.

Upper Decker · Post #55 » by **Upper Decker** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:40 pm

fishercob wrote:
closg00 wrote:We're getting the 4th or 5th pick, book-it.

This may not be as grim as you think, depending on who is picking in front of us. There are a lot of scenarios where Beal slips to 4, even though Ford isn't projecting that at the moment.

Us dropping to 5th is a little better than a 1 in 10 chance. I don't think it will happen.

There are 5 quality options in this draft and the Wiz are guaranteed to obtain one of them. Clearly getting Davis is ideal, but I'd be content with MKG, Beal, Robinson, or Drummond. This isn't like last year, or 2009, where it's either top 3 or dreck (although 2009 has been better than advertised).

fishercob · Post #56 » by **fishercob** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:48 pm

OK, so this playing the lotto 10 times is a really good exercise in why I think we're going to end up with Beal.

Here are my Chad Ford results:

1. 3 -- Beal
2. 3 -- Beal
3. 5 -- Drummond
4. 5 -- Drummond
5. 2 -- MKG
6. 4 -- Beal
7. 2 -- MKG
8. 4 -- Robinson
9. 4 -- Beal
10. 4 -- Beal

But when I look at the individual scenarios, I actually have us ending up with Beal NINE out of the ten times.

Scenario 4 went:
1. Davis (TOR)
2. Robinson (NO)
3. MKG (Cleveland)
4. Beal (CHA)
5. Us.

You're telling me that Charlotte would take Beal there with Walker and Henderson on their rookie deals? No way. They take Barnes or Sullinger or Drummond or Zeller or make a deal to flip spots with us.

Scenario 8 had CHA taking Beal at 3 with RObinson still on the board. Won't happen.

Here is hoping that Ford is right about CLeveland preferring MKG to Beal and New Orleans preferring RObinson to both. I think he's wrong about the Wizards preferring MKG to Beal. At least I hope I am.

Post #57 » by **Rafael122** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 10:53 pm

Charlotte needs talent at every position, so they're not in a situation where they can pick someone else just because they have Kemba and Henderson manning those spots. If he's the best player available, pick him, and then figure out where to play him.

theboomking · Post #58 » by **theboomking** » Mon Apr 30, 2012 11:59 pm

So does anyone know the date of
(1)The draft lotto
(2)The combine
(3)The draft

??

Post #59 » by **Rafael122** » Tue May 1, 2012 12:07 am

theboomking wrote:So does anyone know the date of
(1)The draft lotto
(2)The combine
(3)The draft

??

May 30
??
June 28

I would assume the combine is held in mid-May.

theboomking · Post #60 » by **theboomking** » Tue May 1, 2012 12:47 am

Rafael122 wrote:
theboomking wrote:So does anyone know the date of
(1)The draft lotto
(2)The combine
(3)The draft

??

May 30
??
June 28

I would assume the combine is held in mid-May.

Thx. I agree with everyone else. Sucks to wait so long.

Back to the conspiracy theory. It crossed my mind that with Rose going down, and having an uncertain future, that the commissioner might need to put some marketing behind another exciting East coast guard in order to sell the league. If the Wizards got the 1st overall pick, Davis and Wall sure would make a marketable commodity for the league.