BigLeagueChew wrote:spykelee wrote:AirCanada_1515 wrote:I want to lose these games but I am happy to see Gose had the winning hit and Hech had the winning run.
Why, with three games remaining and nothing on the line do you want to lose? I was happy to see Gomes and Gose and Hech be the guys who came through for us at the end of the day.
People want to tank for a first round pick that might not sign or go to school instead.
I was curious so I was looking at where we could finish (7th to 11th) for draft picks with 2 games to go. Looking at 03-07 ('cause the last 4 years at least are impossible to rate yet) there's really almost no discernible difference for where you pick in this range.
2007=Y.Alonso, G.Beckham, A.Crow, J.Castro, J.Smoak. So prospectwise your Smoak vs. Alonso thing was very tight for a very long time.
2006=C.Kershaw, D.Stubbs, B.Rowell, T.Lincecum, M.Scherzer. Okay Kershaw is easily best, but Lincecum at 10 instead? Hardly even a consolation prize.
2005=Tulowitzki, W.Townsend, M.Pelfrey, C.Maybin, A.McCutchen. Hard to say if I'd rather have Tulo or McCutchen, but these days it's probably McCutchen.
2004=H.Bailey, W.Townsend (doesn't bode well for Appel that he's here twice), C.Nelson, T.Diamond, N.Walker. Pretty crappy all around with Walker and Bailey as kind of late-bloomers.
2003=N.Markakis, P.Maholm, J.Danks, I.Stewart, M.Aubry.
Pretty good rate of return for hits and misses as far as making MLB goes. But there's pretty much no way to value 7th over 11th by any significant margin, especially as a non-professional scout. I'd be far happier winning the last two, avoiding 90 losses by the skin of their teeth, and drafting a couple spots lower. Last year would've been a bit different as finishing 16th instead of 15th is totally crap under the old compensation system, but I don't think any of that nonsense applies anymore.
So thankfully in baseball there is almost no time where tanking is worth jack squat.