Knicks_Fan2 wrote:Quick Kick wrote:Knicks_Fan2 wrote:I think we can win which is why I have asked how many teams down 3-1 have had home court advantage. I venture to guess that overwhelmingly terrible stat comes down significantly if you use the scenario we are in.
I know the Heat in 97 had HC for the last three games.
but the ONLY reason they won was because of the PJ Brown thing that made me hate that godforsaken franchise forever. If half the team didnt get suspended for Game 6, Miami would have been toast.
Per wiki 6 of the 8 teams that came back to win down 3-1 HAD home court advantage. The other state we should want to know is, of the teams that lost down 1-3, how many of those teams had home court advantage. It just seems obvious that the vast majority of those that failed to come back did not have home court advantage.
The fact that the majority of the teams that came back after being down 3-1 had HCA does not mean that our odds are good. It just means that the odds of coming back when you don't have HCA are even worse -- since it has only happened twice in NBA history.
The majority of teams that fall behind 3-1 in a series, lose the series. I'm sure that of all the teams that have ever fallen behind 3-1, a greater portion did not have HCA. But that doesn't mean that there aren't tons of examples of teams falling down 3-1 and losing the series, even though they had HCA. I can think of one right off the top of my head -- the '95 Knicks had HCA, went down 3-1, tied it up at 3-3, and then lost at home in game 7.
EDIT: Just looking back at the past two years, there have been 5 occasions where a team with HCA fell down 3-1 and lost the series: LAC over MEM, PHI over CHI, and BOS over ATL in 2012; ATL over ORL and MEM over SAS in 2011.