I think DX does a very good job of breaking down why Lavine is such a weak prospect. Plenty of people have argued he should have played a much larger role at UCLA. Okay. His iso and pick and roll numbers are horrific. Beyond that, he made only 17 shots at the rim in the half court in 37 games and rarely got to the line. Those numbers are unbelievably bad for a guy who is a supposed future NBA PG. Beyond the skills, he has major issues in his build. He's remarkably thin at only 181 pounds at the draft camp. He's 6' 4.5" barefoot, but has a standing reach of only 8' 4". Given his basketball IQ, I don't think he has any chance to be a PG, so you are looking at a remarkably thin SG with below average length. His extreme athleticism helps of course, but his lack of bulk and strength is going to be a major concern. I think his max weight is 210, but that is being very generous. I think 200 or so is where he'll be, which puts him at a rather major disadvantage as a wing against NBA athletes.
I do like that his shot looks quite good at such a young age. I also like that he has a very nice handle and good body control. The problem is that he has no idea how to use those skills even at the collegiate level with an absurd athletic advantage. People who are enthralled by his potential, ask yourself why he was so ineffective as an NCAA player despite his world class athleticism, his shot, and his ball handling. He's way behind the curve when it comes to actually playing basketball, and it is much tougher to learn how to play the sport than most people think.
