Predict the Wizards Record '14-'15 season

[dckingsfan]

47

Eastern Conference Standing?

[Dark Faze]

47

Eastern Conference Standing?

3

[dckingsfan]

Note: If you share a win record, tie is determined by ECS

Wins

57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
55 - leswizards, TheBabyMaker, TheBlackCzar
54 - Wizardspride, stevemcqueen1
53 - dangermouse, Hidden Eye, Zonkerbl
52 - CntOutSmrtCrazy, AFM, hands11, MOrgil, barelyawake, JWizmentality, MarcoPolo, DANNYLANDOVER
51 - FreeBalling, sfam, diaboliQ_Mo, Higga, bgroban, Bleacher Report
50 - nuposse04, 2Mas, TheKingOfVa360, CobraCommander, DCZards, WallToWall, jivelikenice, Higga, Wall34
49 - thricethefun, gesa2, BarnabyJones, Jimmy Recard, blazinskillz
48 - miller31time, KevinFCheng, jmrosenth, keynote, long suffrin' boulez fan, McFilthy, Illmatic12, Kanyewest, dandridge 10, nate33, GhostsOfGil, pineappleheadindc
47 - DCKingsFan, The Fax, Jay81, Nigel Tufnel, Severn Hoos, The Fax, ESPN, Chaos Revenant, Dark Faze, fishercob
46 - penbeast0, montestewart, DaRealHibachi, mohammed10, Induveca, noworriesinmd
45 - Ruzious, Nivek, J-Ves, Earth2Ted
44 - MJG, verbal8
43 - Dat2U, queridiculo, TGW
42 - FAH1223, Chocolate City Jordanaire
40 - BigA

ECS

1st -
2nd - leswizards, deneem4, stevemcqueen1, bgroban, MarcoPolo
3rd - miller31time, CntOutSmrtCrazy, 2Mas, FreeBalling, hands11, McFilthy, sfam, BarnabyJones, Illmatic12, JWizmentality, Bleacher Report, Severn Hoos, cammac, DANNYLANDOVER, keynote, Dark Faze
4th - gesa2, DCZards, J-Ves, montestewart, The Fax, mohammed10, dandridge 10, nuposse04, nate33, ESPN, GhostsOfGil, Zonkerbl, pineappleheadindc
5th - DCKingsFan, verbal8, long suffrin' boulez fan, Earth2Ted, noworriesinmd
6th - Nivek
7th - Chocolate City Jordanaire
8th - BigA

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

I predicted 7th seed, along with 42 wins. There is one vote for 7th.

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[dckingsfan]

I predicted 7th seed, along with 42 wins. There is one vote for 7th.

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Done - but now we need a 1st

[fishercob]

Note: If you share a win record, tie is determined by ECS

Wins

57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
55 - leswizards
54 - Wizardspride, stevemcqueen1
53 - dangermouse, Hidden Eye
52 - CntOutSmrtCrazy, AFM, hands11, MOrgil, barelyawake
51 - FreeBalling, sfam, diaboliQ_Mo, Higga
50 - nuposse04, 2Mas, TheKingOfVa360, CobraCommander, DCZards, WallToWall, jivelikenice
49 - thricethefun, gesa2
48 - miller31time, KevinFCheng, jmrosenth, keynote, long suffrin' boulez fan, McFilthy, Illmatic12, Kanyewest
47 - DCKingsFan, The Fax, Jay81, Nigel Tufnel, Severn Hoos, The Fax
46 - nate33, penbeast0, montestewart, DaRealHibachi, TGW
45 - Ruzious, Nivek, J-Ves
44 - MJG, verbal8
43 - Dat2U, queridiculo
42 - FAH1223, Chocolate City Jordanaire
40 - BigA

ECS

2nd - leswizards, deneem4, stevemcqueen1, long suffrin' boulez fan
3rd - miller31time, CntOutSmrtCrazy, 2Mas, FreeBalling, hands11, McFilthy
4th - gesa2, DCZards, Illmatic12, J-Ves, montestewart, The Fax
5th - DCKingsFan, verbal8
6th - Nivek

2 things -- You forgot about me -- i made my prediction on page 3. Also, you don't need to put up a new post every time someone makes a prediction (if you don't want). You can just edit your original post on page 1. Up to you -- may save some time.

Still getting no love from the OP. Am I on ignore? Can someone help a brother out?

[dckingsfan]

Still getting no love from the OP. Am I on ignore? Can someone help a brother out?

Done, Eastern Conference Standing prediction?

[dckingsfan]

Mean - 48.8
Median - 48
Mode - 48
Range - 17

The board believes we will be somewhere between 4 & 5 games above our 44 wins of last year. The board chose 44 games last year - pretty good pick

[gambitx777]

I'll say again! We need another quality PG, if we go that I see us as a 50-60 win team. if we don't, then I think we are more in the 40-50 range.

[Dat2U]

I'll say again! We need another quality PG, if we go that I see us as a 50-60 win team. if we don't, then I think we are more in the 40-50 range.

I'm not seeing how a quality PG gets us 10 more wins, especially when it's a backup, even moreso when we've already got a solid backup in Andre Miller. Even if you upgraded Miller to Isaiah Thomas (who I love) and gave him all of the backup G minutes, 10 more wins would still be very unlikely due to how well Miller is already playing and the limited number minutes available behind Wall & Beal.

[hands11]

I'll say again! We need another quality PG, if we go that I see us as a 50-60 win team. if we don't, then I think we are more in the 40-50 range.

I'm not seeing how a quality PG gets us 10 more wins, especially when it's a backup, even moreso when we've already got a solid backup in Andre Miller. Even if you upgraded Miller to Isaiah Thomas (who I love) and gave him all of the backup G minutes, 10 more wins would still be very unlikely due to how well Miller is already playing and the limited number minutes available behind Wall & Beal.

This Wizards team is lacking in athletic depth.

Hated that they let Birch walk and now Miami has him.

If they could get J Jack and Taj Gibson, they would be looking a lot better. But that would be eating into cap space in the out years.

Nice to have Blair and Hump on the team and at least Miller is a legit PG, but they still need to keep upgrading.

It would have been nice to have a Miller replacement behind him on the team this year so the transition was easier next year.

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

I just knew Deonte Burton was the PG replacement.

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[JWizmentality]

I just knew Deonte Burton was the PG replacement.

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??

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

!#

(I was wrong).

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[Dat2U]

Looking back I need to advise my prediction for a couple of reasons...

Sam Cassell is gone ... so may be the emphasis on the mid-range jumper that Cassell preached to anyone on the team that would listen. Nothing against Cassell, but considering the Wizards led the league in what Nivek affectionally calls the "sh*t shot", his absense may be a good thing.

Cassell's absense in turn leads me to be more optimistic about improved efficiency for both Wall & Beal. While I don't expect the mid-range game of either to totally subside... I'd expect both to be wiser about taking these shots, especially without Cassell always in their ears about it. Both have admitted on relying on the mid-range too much and needing to be smarter about their shot selection this past year.

Trevor Booker is gone ... and in turn, I'd expect our defense not to fall off a cliff like it did when Nene went to the bench as it has in the past. Let's face it, it was overlooked while he was here, but Booker was a miserable defender. Being a 6-7 PF with poor spacial awareness simply doesn't cut it and the fact he started 45 games and we still finished with a 45-37 record is a testament to the rest of the roster.

Having Andre Miller for a whole season at backup PG helps. So does passable backups like Blair & Humphries upfront instead of the aforementioned Booker & Seraphin taking valuable minutes.

With all that being said, it's a tougher conference this year so it will take a better team to even equal the win total from last year. I think our roster is much better than we started last year with and even stronger than we ended last season. I also think replacing Ariza with Pierce makes us a much smarter team if a little less athletic on both sides of the ball, I think we'll at least hold serve there and that's not counting any possible contributions from Porter/Rice. I'm comfortable with predicting 47 wins and 5th seed.

[LyricalRico]

Looking back I need to advise my prediction for a couple of reasons...

Sam Cassell is gone ... so may be the emphasis on the mid-range jumper that Cassell preached to anyone on the team that would listen. Nothing against Cassell, but considering the Wizards led the league in what Nivek affectionally calls the "sh*t shot", his absense may be a good thing.

Cassell's absense in turn leads me to be more optimistic about improved efficiency for both Wall & Beal. While I don't expect the mid-range game of either to totally subside... I'd expect both to be wiser about taking these shots, especially without Cassell always in their ears about it. Both have admitted on relying on the mid-range too much and needing to be smarter about their shot selection this past year.

Trevor Booker is gone ... and in turn, I'd expect our defense not to fall off a cliff like it did when Nene went to the bench as it has in the past. Let's face it, it was overlooked while he was here, but Booker was a miserable defender. Being a 6-7 PF with poor spacial awareness simply doesn't cut it and the fact he started 45 games and we still finished with a 45-37 record is a testament to the rest of the roster.

Having Andre Miller for a whole season at backup PG helps. So does passable backups like Blair & Humphries upfront instead of the aforementioned Booker & Seraphin taking valuable minutes.

With all that being said, it's a tougher conference this year so it will take a better team to even equal the win total from last year. I think our roster is much better than we started last year with and even stronger than we ended last season. I also think replacing Ariza with Pierce makes us a much smarter team if a little less athletic on both sides of the ball, I think we'll at least hold serve there and that's not counting any possible contributions from Porter/Rice. I'm comfortable with predicting 47 wins and 5th seed.

Nice read, agree with most of it. Really hope you're right about the "No Cassell Effect".

I do think 47 wins can get us higher than 5th, though.

[Rafael122]

I got a number and seed in mind, but I have to see how this team comes out of training camp and preseason before I make a prediction. Something always comes up, i.e. Beal last year.

[Dat2U]

Nice read, agree with most of it. Really hope you're right about the "No Cassell Effect".

I do think 47 wins can get us higher than 5th, though.

Either we win the division or finish 5th, no real in-between. That's because IMO the Chicago/Cleveland loser is going to be the 4th seed. I don't think we're quite on they're level yet.

I really think Atlanta is a lot like Chicago in that they're incredibly well coached and are the type of team to maximize their regular season potential. The postseason might be a different story but with a healthy Horford/Millsap frontline, they could push 50 wins. I really love their role players, Korver & Carroll who both excel at taking efficient shots & playing team D. Those are two of the better role playing wings in the game.

Right now I give Atlanta the ever-so-slight advantage in the regular season over us, mainly because of their coaching.

[LyricalRico]

Nice read, agree with most of it. Really hope you're right about the "No Cassell Effect".

I do think 47 wins can get us higher than 5th, though.

Either we win the division or finish 5th, no real in-between. That's because IMO the Chicago/Cleveland loser is going to be the 4th seed. I don't think we're quite on they're level yet.

I really think Atlanta is a lot like Chicago in that they're incredibly well coached and are the type of team to maximize their regular season potential. The postseason might be a different story but with a healthy Horford/Millsap frontline, they could push 50 wins. I really love their role players, Korver & Carroll who both excel at taking efficient shots & playing team D. Those are two of the better role playing wings in the game.

Right now I give Atlanta the ever-so-slight advantage in the regular season over us, mainly because of their coaching.

I'm not as bullish on Atlanta, so I guess that's the difference. I think they'll be contenders for the division all year, but I see the Wiz as the better team. I could see both Atlanta and Miami falling anywhere in the 42-46 range, but ultimately still being behind Washington in the end.

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

Looking back I need to advise my prediction for a couple of reasons...

Sam Cassell is gone ... so may be the emphasis on the mid-range jumper that Cassell preached to anyone on the team that would listen. Nothing against Cassell, but considering the Wizards led the league in what Nivek affectionally calls the "sh*t shot", his absense may be a good thing.

Cassell's absense in turn leads me to be more optimistic about improved efficiency for both Wall & Beal. While I don't expect the mid-range game of either to totally subside... I'd expect both to be wiser about taking these shots, especially without Cassell always in their ears about it. Both have admitted on relying on the mid-range too much and needing to be smarter about their shot selection this past year.

Trevor Booker is gone ... and in turn, I'd expect our defense not to fall off a cliff like it did when Nene went to the bench as it has in the past. Let's face it, it was overlooked while he was here, but Booker was a miserable defender. Being a 6-7 PF with poor spacial awareness simply doesn't cut it and the fact he started 45 games and we still finished with a 45-37 record is a testament to the rest of the roster.

Having Andre Miller for a whole season at backup PG helps. So does passable backups like Blair & Humphries upfront instead of the aforementioned Booker & Seraphin taking valuable minutes.

With all that being said, it's a tougher conference this year so it will take a better team to even equal the win total from last year. I think our roster is much better than we started last year with and even stronger than we ended last season. I also think replacing Ariza with Pierce makes us a much smarter team if a little less athletic on both sides of the ball, I think we'll at least hold serve there and that's not counting any possible contributions from Porter/Rice. I'm comfortable with predicting 47 wins and 5th seed.

Advise or revise? You covered both.

I am only saying 42 wins and 7th seed to project soberly in the worst case. Pierce is old enough to get injured and too slow to shut down defend. But as you say Dat, he is smart. Also, Pierce has his go-to offensive moves, still. We could be WAY BETTER than my prediction even in a much tougher east.

I am viewing Cassell's departure as a plus. I am positive Blair is significantly better than a decently good Booker.

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