Post#77 » by Brew666 » Wed Oct 22, 2014 6:03 pm
You're right, they haven't turned around the franchise and so far it's only another name on the payroll. I do like the fact that these people aren't recycled trash though. By looking at who's been progressive and successful in other leagues and how they're doing it, it at least shows some forward thinking on their behalf.
I have a feeling Nonis and Carlyle are sitting ducks this year with Shannahan having his target on Babcock for head coach and a front office job depending how the season plays out. I'm thinking Babcock wants a bigger piece of the pie, and that's why extension talks in Detroit aren't happening. Shannahan is probably willing to give him the title of head coach/asst. gm/vp of whatever and have him a part of the brain trust moving forward.
Only way I see Carlyle staying is if the team greatly overachieves, like wining their division, or a deep playoff run. Short of that, I think he's on his way out by the end of the season if not during. If he doesn't finish the season then Spott or Horacek take over for the interim. Shanny has setup the scenario where he's given Carlyle a chance but if he doesn't meet expectations, he's out of there. If they got rid of Carlyle last off season, it would be a bit different b/c it's pretty tough to let go of a coach after one year unless if he completely sh*ts the bed.
I think Nonis has a bit more wiggle room than Carlyle and it's b/c there isn't someone on the outside of the organziation that Shanny wants for that role. If the Leafs make the playoffs, Nonis is safe. Other than that, he's gone. W/ Dubas and Hunter you at least have a couple of solid internal candidates.
I don't think playoffs are a must for Shannahan this year and he's going to let things develop naturally. He's put Nonis, Carlyle and the players all in a situation where they have to prove their worth and I'm all for it.
By the start of next year I'm expecting Carlyle and Nonis to be gone w/ a front office of Shanny, Dubas, Hunter, and Babcock being the main guys. Spott and Horacek continue as assistant coaches and you have an alright succession plan moving forward. Dubas and Hunter as potential GM candidates, Babcock for a front office position. And w/ the coaching you'd have Babcock w/ Spott and Horacek as potential suitors.