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GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15]

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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#301 » by tontoz » Thu Feb 26, 2015 9:09 pm

payitforward wrote:[But, at least you responded in part: "a good coach would get 5+ more wins out of this team." Still have answered my question, tho: how much better than 19-6 would e.g. Budenholzer have made them?

.



Your fascination with the 19-6 start is wierd. Anyone with even a rudimentary knowlege of statistics knows stats are more reliable with a larger sample size.

The question at hand is how much better would they be than 33-25. It is pretty clear they would be better with Bud. Their shot selection would be better, floor spacing would be better and end of quarter execution would be better. Pretty sure they wouldn't be turning it over as much either.

With Bud as a coach i think the GS game would have been a win.
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#302 » by gtn130 » Thu Feb 26, 2015 9:12 pm

payitforward wrote:A lot claims being made here. Not too many have any bearing on the question at hand.

GS -- many young players getting better year by year. they won 47 in '12-13 and 51 in '13-14 and will win more this year. For that matter, Kerr might be one of those outlying coaches, who knows? Let me ask you this. Which would affect them more -- subtracting Curry or subtracting Kerr?

Phil Jackson -- he coached when he coached. In that era, guys tended to put up more efficient numbers playing for him than they did playing for other coaches. Btw, that's how you measure whether the coach has an influence.

Orlando -- They have a lot of very young players. How good do you think they'd be if Steve Kerr were their coach? You think they'd be an elite team? Average team? Who knows, though, you may be right and Vaughn was an awful coach. Lets see how they do under the next one.

Phoenix -- 48-34 last year. This year they're 2 games over .500. Did they change coaches? Nope.

SA -- are you serious? A brilliant front office, the best player in the game, and the best coach in the league. They are definitely heading downhill, though, aren't they? Must be because Popovich is getting older? Or, maybe it's because so many of their players are on the downhill end of career slide -- still very good, just not what they were.

But, at least you responded in part: "a good coach would get 5+ more wins out of this team." Still have answered my question, tho: how much better than 19-6 would e.g. Budenholzer have made them?

How come they are doing so much worse with the same coach these days? Can it be because Butler isn't draining 3's at the same rate? Pierce is showing his age as the season progresses? Etc. Players.

Meanwhile, time to drop it. Fire Wittman. Fire Grunfeld. Been a long time coming. Even better, go 18-6 to close out the season, and prove Ernie's critics wrong. Not going to happen I fear.


Sorry, but you're incorrect when it comes to GSW. They run a completely different offense with completely different substitution patterns. If Mark Jackson was still the coach, they'd continue starting David Lee and nobody would know who Draymond Green is. These are tangible things that have happened only because Kerr is coach.

San Antonio has been great with Duncan on the tail end of his career for years now. They have a great front office, but Pop is a part of that, and that's not the extent to why Pop is great. He's been making optimal late game/quarter decisions for years now, and discovered the value of corner 3/corner 3 D well before anyone else. He basically adopted the Phoenix Suns offense while the rest of the league was still questioning it. SA would have won zero championships without Pop.

The Phoenix regression is largely circumstantial -- they had to hedge by signing IT because they were afraid of losing Bledsoe. What resulted is a ridiculous roster that had to be fixed at the deadline. But before you say that citing roster composition harms my argument -- it doesn't. I believe that you need a good roster AND a good coach in most cases to be a good team. But there are exceptions.

I don't understand your point about being 19-6. It's called variance and has nothing to do with coaching. They'd probably win about the same number of games in that stretch with most coaches? I don't know.

The larger picture is that the Wizards run on offense that ranks 16th in efficiency, right above the LA Lakers. Outside of Beal, the Wizards starters all have a history of being positive impact players on offense, yet the offense isn't even league average with Beal shooting 47% from 3. It's a joke, and it can easily be fixed with a different offensive philosophy. There is no reason the Wizards shouldn't have a top-10 offense in efficiency with their current roster.
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#303 » by wizfactor94 » Fri Feb 27, 2015 12:05 pm

gtn130 wrote:
payitforward wrote:A lot claims being made here. Not too many have any bearing on the question at hand.

GS -- many young players getting better year by year. they won 47 in '12-13 and 51 in '13-14 and will win more this year. For that matter, Kerr might be one of those outlying coaches, who knows? Let me ask you this. Which would affect them more -- subtracting Curry or subtracting Kerr?

Phil Jackson -- he coached when he coached. In that era, guys tended to put up more efficient numbers playing for him than they did playing for other coaches. Btw, that's how you measure whether the coach has an influence.

Orlando -- They have a lot of very young players. How good do you think they'd be if Steve Kerr were their coach? You think they'd be an elite team? Average team? Who knows, though, you may be right and Vaughn was an awful coach. Lets see how they do under the next one.

Phoenix -- 48-34 last year. This year they're 2 games over .500. Did they change coaches? Nope.

SA -- are you serious? A brilliant front office, the best player in the game, and the best coach in the league. They are definitely heading downhill, though, aren't they? Must be because Popovich is getting older? Or, maybe it's because so many of their players are on the downhill end of career slide -- still very good, just not what they were.

But, at least you responded in part: "a good coach would get 5+ more wins out of this team." Still have answered my question, tho: how much better than 19-6 would e.g. Budenholzer have made them?

How come they are doing so much worse with the same coach these days? Can it be because Butler isn't draining 3's at the same rate? Pierce is showing his age as the season progresses? Etc. Players.

Meanwhile, time to drop it. Fire Wittman. Fire Grunfeld. Been a long time coming. Even better, go 18-6 to close out the season, and prove Ernie's critics wrong. Not going to happen I fear.


Sorry, but you're incorrect when it comes to GSW. They run a completely different offense with completely different substitution patterns. If Mark Jackson was still the coach, they'd continue starting David Lee and nobody would know who Draymond Green is. These are tangible things that have happened only because Kerr is coach.

San Antonio has been great with Duncan on the tail end of his career for years now. They have a great front office, but Pop is a part of that, and that's not the extent to why Pop is great. He's been making optimal late game/quarter decisions for years now, and discovered the value of corner 3/corner 3 D well before anyone else. He basically adopted the Phoenix Suns offense while the rest of the league was still questioning it. SA would have won zero championships without Pop.

The Phoenix regression is largely circumstantial -- they had to hedge by signing IT because they were afraid of losing Bledsoe. What resulted is a ridiculous roster that had to be fixed at the deadline. But before you say that citing roster composition harms my argument -- it doesn't. I believe that you need a good roster AND a good coach in most cases to be a good team. But there are exceptions.

I don't understand your point about being 19-6. It's called variance and has nothing to do with coaching. They'd probably win about the same number of games in that stretch with most coaches? I don't know.

The larger picture is that the Wizards run on offense that ranks 16th in efficiency, right above the LA Lakers. Outside of Beal, the Wizards starters all have a history of being positive impact players on offense, yet the offense isn't even league average with Beal shooting 47% from 3. It's a joke, and it can easily be fixed with a different offensive philosophy. There is no reason the Wizards shouldn't have a top-10 offense in efficiency with their current roster.


Yea OK, Washington is about as efficient as your going to get with the bums they have..........

OKC is 14th in efficiency, a whopping .1%, obviously injuries have taken a little role in that, San Antonio same thing, .1%

The problem lies in the turnovers which drags them down, but who's fault is that? How many times does Wall have to turn it over 8 times in a game which kills offensive opportunities.


Listen maybe there is a coach that can somehow slightly get something better out of a few of these players. But it is not much.

They have to many holes. Way more than teams above them, they are right where they are because of the talent level.

Porter , Temple, Sessions/Andre Miller are just not going to get it done, you need a proven shooter........this would do wonders.

Pierce is an older player, who is not going to have it every night............Beal is injured all the time....

Nene is a monstrosity of bad decision making, and Gortat is an emotional player.



This team is flawed, I would go at Ernie before I would go at Whitman, at the same time Whitman might have lost the team a bit , but the team is terrible......I see no big improvements with any other coach.

There comes a time when you have to account for the bad play. Butler and Webster are not even NBA caliber players at this point..


If this team had 2 proven shooters from the beginning, a Ray Allen , and a stretch 4, they would likely not be in this predicament....add a healthy beal to the mix and they woulld probably have 40+ wins.

The team shoots at a high level, even though they have terrible shooting players.......that to me shows to me whitman knows these guys cant shoot, but he puts in a system where they still can shoot at a high field goal %

Washington is 3rd in Field Goal %
Washington is 5th in 3 Point Field Goal %



That is mind boggling considering very few create your own shot shooters.


Like I said before if this team starts taking more than 20 three's a game, they are screwed, but if they keep it low they will continue to be top 5 in %


What they need is a couple of knock down shooters!
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#304 » by Dat2U » Fri Feb 27, 2015 1:50 pm

Of course now we've got the smartest person in the room blaming Wall's TOs, saying Nene is a low IQ idiot and pointing to the Wizards raw FG% & 3PT% as evidence of the fine job Wittman is doing. :lol:
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#305 » by wizfactor94 » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:00 pm

Dat2U wrote:Of course now we've got the smartest person in the room blaming Wall's TOs, saying Nene is a low IQ idiot and pointing to the Wizards raw FG% & 3PT% as evidence of the fine job Wittman is doing. :lol:


continue to blame whitman , you know everything.

Im not saying he is doing a fine job, im saying his personel sucks , so even if he was doing a great job, ultimately the players suck anyway.

You just continue to whine and blame factors. The easiest thing to do is just blame the coach. Everyone does it, check out every teams forums, all people do is blame the coach. Same old garbage.
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#306 » by gtn130 » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:18 pm

gtn130 wrote:
payitforward wrote:We're not a 19-6 team. But, we're not a 2-13 team (or whatever it now is) either. We're a run of the mill team put together by a guy who had so much to work with it's unreal to think back over it. This is what he gave us.


Nah, you're pretty clearly underrating the roster. A team with prime Wall shouldn't be 16th in the league in offensive efficiency. Do you think the players around CP3 are really that much better than Wall's cast? They're the best offense in the NBA without Blake Griffin for the last 7 games and while giving an offensive zero (DAJ) big minutes.


I'm quoting my own post because nobody in the IT'S NOT WITTMAN'S FAULT camp has addressed this.

Rk Player PER TS%
2 Marcin Gortat 16.8 .569
3 Paul Pierce 15.7 .584
4 Bradley Beal 13.9 .524
5 Nene 15.3 .546
6 Kris Humphries 15.7 .514

Rk Player PER TS%
2 DeAndre Jordan 21.1 .659
3 Blake Griffin 23.1 .550
4 Matt Barnes 11.2 .583
5 J.J. Redick 14.8 .614
6 Jamal Crawford 17.6 .541

Clippers are #1 in the NBA in efficiency, while the Wizards are 16th. Blake has missed nearly 10 games now. Do people really believe a team with DeAndre Jordan as one of their main "weapons" on offense should be that much better than the Wizards' cast?
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#307 » by wizfactor94 » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:20 pm

gtn130 wrote:
gtn130 wrote:
payitforward wrote:We're not a 19-6 team. But, we're not a 2-13 team (or whatever it now is) either. We're a run of the mill team put together by a guy who had so much to work with it's unreal to think back over it. This is what he gave us.


Nah, you're pretty clearly underrating the roster. A team with prime Wall shouldn't be 16th in the league in offensive efficiency. Do you think the players around CP3 are really that much better than Wall's cast? They're the best offense in the NBA without Blake Griffin for the last 7 games and while giving an offensive zero (DAJ) big minutes.


I'm quoting my own post because nobody in the IT'S NOT WITTMAN'S FAULT camp has addressed this.

Rk Player PER TS%
2 Marcin Gortat 16.8 .569
3 Paul Pierce 15.7 .584
4 Bradley Beal 13.9 .524
5 Nene 15.3 .546
6 Kris Humphries 15.7 .514



How are the clippers defensively?
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Re: Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#308 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:23 pm

AFM wrote:I don't know about you guys, but I'm still waiting for CCJ to write a book


I need to, AFM.
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#309 » by gtn130 » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:27 pm

wizfactor94 wrote:How are the clippers defensively?


I'm assuming you're implying that their elite offensive output is somehow detrimental to their defense, but the Clippers are 37-21 vs the 4th most difficult schedule in the league (Wizards have 3rd easiest).

http://espn.go.com/nba/stats/rpi/_/sort/SOS

I'll take the Clippers "bad" defense all day if we get the most efficient offense in the league rofl
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Re: GT #58: Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:00 PM (CSN/99.1 FM,1500 AM) [2/22/15] 

Post#310 » by Higga » Fri Feb 27, 2015 3:45 pm

Witless may be a good defensive coach but the offense he's designed is terribly outdated. You look at the best teams in the league and they attack you by going after the basket and setting up open 3s. We settle for too many contested long jump shots. I know we may not have the best roster in the league but there is no reason a team with John Wall should be this mediocre offensively.

That loss was just ridiculous. We jumped on them early and it looked like we were going to blow them out but after building that 10+ point lead we basically got outscored by 30. 30! Against the freaking TWolves!!
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