Kurtz wrote:The_Hater wrote:
It's difficult for many fans to see in the present because we're talking about a superstar but whatever contract Price gets is almost guaranteed to end up being one of the worst contracts in baseball in a short period of time.
I guess it depends on your definition of short. If Price pitches like he has over the next 4 years and then regresses over the last 2-3, the surplus value he'd have generated over those 4 years will still significantly exceed the negative value he'll provide over the last 2.
If he remains elite for four years, sure. That is an awfully long way from guaranteed, however; most pitchers do not remain at the top of their game through age 34 anymore.