Post#24 » by Mike Hunt » Sun Mar 6, 2016 8:26 am
Tunsil seems like the way too obvious pick at #1 for Tennessee.
I think that Wentz solidified himself as the top QB in the draft at the combine (Goff didn't look bad at all, but Wentz seemed to have it all going). I don't think any top team is as QB starved as Cleveland and I don't see anybody being able to offer enough to jump them for Wentz at #1, so I think you can quite confidently slot him at 2.
I think #3 and 4 are interesting picks. I'm not buying all of the hype about the Cowboys looking t Goff at 4 here (though, I actually think it's something they should consider), so I'd expect 2 defensive players picked here (likely Jack and Ramsey). But, if the Cowboys talks about Goff seem to persist, then, I would have to think San Francisco would have to look long and hard at moving up to #3. I would say that no team, except for LA, needs a QB more than SF.
I think Bosa or Buckner probably would go at 5 (they could use an edge rusher).
On the QB front, while I don't think he merits it (though it's not as much of a stretch as one might have thought earlier), I would not be surprised at all if Paxton Lynch went #15 to the Rams. I think he was pretty much a second round graded guy but people keep talking themselves into him being like a Joe Flacco and he showed reasonably well at the combine. With LA having just gotten the Rams back, you'd have to think they want to make a splash. The Texans would need to look at him long and hard if he was there at 22 as well
I actually think this is a very deep QB class (in terms of guys that will play in the league). I have a limited sample size (didn't watch tons of college football), but in watching the combine, I saw 6-7 guys with really good arms/mechanics, where, if you told me they were a 1st/2nd round prospect, not knowing anything about their past, I couldn't tell you were lying. Usually, you'll see the one or two guys that stand out as elite and maybe 1 or 2 guys that put themselves in a second tier with everyone else just kinda clumping into one big group of mediocre guys.
As much as I try not to do so, I always end up focusing on QBs, because they help segment the draft for me. With that being said, I'm curious to see if teams will pick the best player available or if D-linemen will actually drop in the draft because they are just so plentiful this year. If teams truly are committed to picking the BPA, then we should expect a couple teams coming out of the first 2 rounds with 2 D-linemen.
