ImageImageImage

Draft Thread Part 2

Moderators: bwgood77, lilfishi22, Qwigglez

If we keep the 4th pick, who do you want to take?

Bender
57
51%
Brown
15
14%
Chriss
8
7%
Dunn
6
5%
Ellenson
4
4%
Hield
11
10%
Murray
10
9%
 
Total votes: 111

DRK
RealGM
Posts: 12,178
And1: 3,609
Joined: Feb 28, 2010
Location: Kentucky Suns
Contact:
   

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1641 » by DRK » Sun May 29, 2016 11:01 am

JMac1 wrote:
sunsbum wrote:Is Ford right about anything anymore? :crazy: Hanging on to that last thread of relevancy IMO. Yesterday Brown was dropping like a rock, all of a sudden "Could be a top 3 pick" :roll:. If we have a shot to get Okafor which I believe we do... (more so than the Celtics, why would they trade him to a division rival) it needs to get done no questions asked.



Okafor is not a two-way player as of now and doesn't look to be in the near future in the modern NBA, Bender and Brown could be that. You know Okafor is a super beast (2016 savage) and if he develops any type of defense he is not as risky, but you have to weigh everything about those guys.

How about this who is Brown ceiling type of player versus Okafor ceiling player? Then choose.

Brown= Kawhi?
Okafor= Cousins?



Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.
MrMiyagi wrote:Lob to DA for the win
No-Man
RealGM
Posts: 14,879
And1: 3,480
Joined: Feb 11, 2012

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1642 » by No-Man » Sun May 29, 2016 11:41 am

saintEscaton wrote:This class is gunna end up somewhere between 2011 and 2013. Top heavy but Ingrams/Simmons are not surefire generational talents even if they both pan out(unlikely considering historical data) they wouldn't make up for the lack of starpower and you will unearth some diamonds in the rough/intriguing rotation bigs in the late lotto and onwards


I like the depth, it is a bit like 2011 but with a worse top, I mean, not pre-draft since Irving, Williams, Kanter and Valanciunas were the top guys and I wont rank them higher than Simmons, Ingram, Bender and Dunn, but post-draft, no way we get 4 guys like Kawhi, Klay, Irving and Butler.

I made some Tiers, of course I'd likely be wrong about some guys and some could come as big steals, this class bigs are deep and good all across the board (like before I left out guys that I believe will withdraw like Isaia Cordinier, Georgios Papagiannis, Aleksandar Vezenkov or Nik Slavica, whom would probably be around Tier 3 or 4, if they were in, and Santiago Yusta who probably would be in Tier 4-5, plus others).

Tier 1 NBA All Stars, potentially franchise changers

Ben Simmons/Brandon Ingram
Dragan Bender

Tier 2 possibly All Stars, starters

Kris Dunn
Wade Baldwin IV
Timothé Luwawu
Marquese Chriss
Jaylen Brown
Furkan Korkmaz
Ivica Zubac

Tier 3 NBA solid contributors, could be as starters or as bench players

Denzel Valentine
Patrick McCaw
Henry Ellenson
Juancho Hernangómez
DeAndre Bembry
Domantas Sabonis
Robert Carter Jr.
Stephen Zimmerman
Deyonta Davis
Jakob Poeltl
Chinanu Onuaku
Malik Beasley
Gary Payton II
AJ Hammons
Taurean Prince
Jamal Murray
Ante Zizic
Brice Johnson
Pascal Siakam
Dorian Finney-Smith

Tier 4 possibly top-notch bench players to rotation guys

Ron Baker
Tyler Ulis
Malcolm Brogdon
Buddy Hield
Rade Zagorac
Guerschon Yabusele
Joel Bolomboy
Caris LeVert
Petr Cornelie
Demetrius Jackson
Fred VanVleet
Kay Felder
Troy Williams
Damian Jones
Ben Bentil
Zhou Qi
Derrick Jones Jr.
Jake Layman
Malachi Richardson
Dejounte Murray
Skal Labissiere
Thon Maker
Cheick Diallo
Paul Zipser
Michael Gbinije
Josh Adams
Marko Guduric
James Webb III
Marko Arapovic
Prince Ibeh
Mathias Lessort
Julian Jacobs
Daniel Hamilton
Diamond Stone
Anthony Barber
Isaiah Whitehead
Sheldon McClellan
Rasheed Sulaimon
Jarrod Uthoff
Isaiah Cousins

Tier 5 mix of players with marginal NBA skills/low chance of hitting their ceiling

Danuel House
Jalen Jones
Brannen Greene
Wayne Selden
John Brown
Thomas Walkup
Terry Tarpey
Georges Niang
Dyshawn Pierre
Moussa Diagné
Devin Williams
Yogi Ferrell
Isaiah Taylor
Tim Quarterman
Danilo Fuzaro
David Walker
Jordan Fouse
Shaquille Harrison
Jameel Warney
Shawn Long
Nikola Ivanovic
Marcus Paige
Nic Moore
Markus Kennedy
Rosco Allen
Alex Caruso
Tyrone Wallace
Alex Poythress
Jonathan Holton
Winston Shepard
Armani Moore
Isaiah Miles
Shaq Goodwin
Daniel Ochefu
Egidijus Mockevicius
Elgin Cook
Andrey Desyatnikov
Kyle Collinsworth
Roosevelt Jones
Maodo Lo
Anthony Gill
Kaleb Tarczewski
Bryn Forbes
Marvelle Harris
Stefan Moody
Andrew Andrews
Damion Lee
A.J. English
Perry Ellis
Kyle Wiltjer
Marshall Plumlee
Tony Parker
Zach Auguste
Mike Tobey
Ryan Anderson
No-Man
RealGM
Posts: 14,879
And1: 3,480
Joined: Feb 11, 2012

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1643 » by No-Man » Sun May 29, 2016 11:46 am

DRK wrote:
JMac1 wrote:
sunsbum wrote:Is Ford right about anything anymore? :crazy: Hanging on to that last thread of relevancy IMO. Yesterday Brown was dropping like a rock, all of a sudden "Could be a top 3 pick" :roll:. If we have a shot to get Okafor which I believe we do... (more so than the Celtics, why would they trade him to a division rival) it needs to get done no questions asked.



Okafor is not a two-way player as of now and doesn't look to be in the near future in the modern NBA, Bender and Brown could be that. You know Okafor is a super beast (2016 savage) and if he develops any type of defense he is not as risky, but you have to weigh everything about those guys.

How about this who is Brown ceiling type of player versus Okafor ceiling player? Then choose.

Brown= Kawhi?
Okafor= Cousins?



Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.

the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.
JMac1
Suns Forum Training Specialist
Posts: 10,032
And1: 4,004
Joined: May 23, 2009

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1644 » by JMac1 » Sun May 29, 2016 3:05 pm

DRK wrote:
JMac1 wrote:
sunsbum wrote:Is Ford right about anything anymore? :crazy: Hanging on to that last thread of relevancy IMO. Yesterday Brown was dropping like a rock, all of a sudden "Could be a top 3 pick" :roll:. If we have a shot to get Okafor which I believe we do... (more so than the Celtics, why would they trade him to a division rival) it needs to get done no questions asked.



Okafor is not a two-way player as of now and doesn't look to be in the near future in the modern NBA, Bender and Brown could be that. You know Okafor is a super beast (2016 savage) and if he develops any type of defense he is not as risky, but you have to weigh everything about those guys.

How about this who is Brown ceiling type of player versus Okafor ceiling player? Then choose.

Brown= Kawhi?
Okafor= Cousins?




Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.



If Okafor's defense is under-rated because of fixable issue, even though he may always struggle in the PNR department, but can make himself serviceable, you trade for him. He just cannot be a guy who causes the team to play 4 on 5 on defense. Booker and Dunn or Brown or Murray or even Bender would all be similar outside-in offensive guys, taking turns attacking, but Okafor provides a different dimension that OKC would have loved last night.

Okafor plus Boooker plus a PG who defends an distributes, a 3D SF and an athletic PF (Len possibly) rebounding defensive maniac is the way to build.

Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.
JMac1
Suns Forum Training Specialist
Posts: 10,032
And1: 4,004
Joined: May 23, 2009

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1645 » by JMac1 » Sun May 29, 2016 3:06 pm

Fischella wrote:
DRK wrote:
JMac1 wrote:

Okafor is not a two-way player as of now and doesn't look to be in the near future in the modern NBA, Bender and Brown could be that. You know Okafor is a super beast (2016 savage) and if he develops any type of defense he is not as risky, but you have to weigh everything about those guys.

How about this who is Brown ceiling type of player versus Okafor ceiling player? Then choose.

Brown= Kawhi?
Okafor= Cousins?



Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.

the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1646 » by NavLDO » Sun May 29, 2016 3:20 pm

JMac1 wrote:For the record. I am okay with Dunn, Bender, Brown, and Okafor, even Hield or Murray, I guess that is why I am a little more objective than most. I am trying to find reason to draft a guy, not the other way around, the latter is the reason why teams burn themselves. C


I wish I could be as objective, but I just simply am not. I'd like to trust that if McD drafts Dunn, he has a plan to trade Bledsoe or Knight; if we draft Hield, that McD sees a away to get him AND Booker 30 minutes each moving forward; or if drafts Murray, he's not just collecting Kentucky Guards like Jay Leno collects cars...but sadly, the Bledsoe/Dragic/IT experiment worries me, so that is part of the reason why I'm so adamant against Hield, Dunn, and Murray, in that order. The other being that I don't think Hield or Dunn are 'special' enough to be drafted 4th overall.

But I make no bones about it; I am extremely subjective in my comments on our pick, and more so than other years, since we have two lottery picks. This year's picks may define our team for the next 3-5 years.
DRK
RealGM
Posts: 12,178
And1: 3,609
Joined: Feb 28, 2010
Location: Kentucky Suns
Contact:
   

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1647 » by DRK » Sun May 29, 2016 3:43 pm

JMac1 wrote:
Fischella wrote:
DRK wrote:

Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.

the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?



It seems that their FO feel that Embiid is the clear future at Center for the 76'ers, and it seems they are confident in him making a full recovery. If they want to sell high now, and gamble on Embiid's health, Okafor will be moved.
MrMiyagi wrote:Lob to DA for the win
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1648 » by NavLDO » Sun May 29, 2016 3:43 pm

sunsbum wrote:I see where you are going with the potential ceiling of both players but when you have a guy that comes in and scores 17ppg his ROOKIE year compared to brown who I'm almost willing to bet will never avg 17ppg as well as not played a single minute in the NBA, It's just not even close for me. As much as I like Bender and anyone else at 4, its hard to find a guy that puts up 17/8/1.5 his rookie year let alone EVER.


We have our own 14/2.5/2.5 rookie, so hey, we're not too far off!! Add the 17/7/1.2 (sorry had to correct) rookie big, and we have 2 of our "Big 3"
Fo-Real
General Manager
Posts: 9,783
And1: 5,497
Joined: Mar 21, 2009
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1649 » by Fo-Real » Sun May 29, 2016 4:12 pm

JMac1 wrote:
Fischella wrote:
DRK wrote:

Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.

the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?



[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SI0ouqStCYY[/youtube]
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1650 » by NavLDO » Sun May 29, 2016 4:40 pm

Kerrsed wrote:
Cactus Jack wrote:I honestly only see two likely outcomes.
1. They take Bender (He is their guy) assuming he's still available.
2. Boston takes Bender & Dunn is the pick. With the strong chance of a trade (Philly's rumored interest in Dunn).

They pass on Murray, Hield & all of the other guards due to Booker being entrenched.

Celtics: Bender
Suns: *Dunn (Trade)
OR
Celtics: Dunn (trade), Guard
Suns: *Bender


I agree with this. I see this as the 2 most likely scenarios.

As for all this Okafor talk, He is a beast on offense. An absolute BEAST. If we can help him pick-up the fundamentals of defense, then the kid would be unstoppable. Too bad we dont have a former defensive player of the year that also played C on the payroll.....OH WAIT, WE DO!

A couple of years of tutelage from Chandler and i think Jah could be Cousins 2.0 but without the on court attitude. If we could pair him with a defensive PF in the mold of Ibaka, it would be perfect and help cover some of his deficiencies until he starts applying what he is learning from Chandler. The question is (Besides Ibaka who would be a perfect fit), what defensive PF would help us most push that needle and who may be available via FA or trade.

Also, If we did trade #4 for Okafor (I still believe we could do it straight up without adding more pieces), i wonder if the Kings would be open to trading Cousins for a package surrounding Okafor. Say Okafor/Knight/Warren/Future 1st. Even if we had to take back Gay, i would still do it. Bledsoe/Booker/Gay/?????/Cousins could make an amazing push!


I don't like trading Warren, but man, a Bledsoe/Booker/Gay/(Ellenson/Sabonis)/Cousins (I filled in your PF for you...our draft choice for pick 13; I know any don't like Sabonis, but to me, he's being severely underrated by fans, like Valentine is).

More on Sabonis; saintEscaton, I believe, made a note of Okafor's 4th best TS% at 64%, well Sabonis has only posted 67/66--TS/eFG% as a Freshman, and 65/61--TS/eFG% as a Sophomore, so...
Waylay13
Rookie
Posts: 1,164
And1: 933
Joined: Apr 10, 2016
 

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1651 » by Waylay13 » Sun May 29, 2016 5:12 pm

When you look at trading for Jah besides the character issues you have to also look at is he an improvement over what we already have in Len. Rebounding Jah isnt as good as Len and passing and blocks it seems to be a wash. about the only area that it might be an issue is shooting and I a lot of this may have to do with moving Len out of his favored spots trying to play power forward. The year before he shot 50%. I think if we move Len back to center full time we can expect to see him move back closer to 50 FG% and I think we will get better value out of him. Also if we bring in a good power forward option to match up with him it should help out a lot. So if the question is trading jah for the 4th I think I would skip but if they want to trade jah for knight straight up I would do it and see if I can turn jah to another team for some additional value.
Just say no to idiots!!
JMac1
Suns Forum Training Specialist
Posts: 10,032
And1: 4,004
Joined: May 23, 2009

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1652 » by JMac1 » Sun May 29, 2016 5:24 pm

NavLDO wrote:
JMac1 wrote:For the record. I am okay with Dunn, Bender, Brown, and Okafor, even Hield or Murray, I guess that is why I am a little more objective than most. I am trying to find reason to draft a guy, not the other way around, the latter is the reason why teams burn themselves. C


I wish I could be as objective, but I just simply am not. I'd like to trust that if McD drafts Dunn, he has a plan to trade Bledsoe or Knight; if we draft Hield, that McD sees a away to get him AND Booker 30 minutes each moving forward; or if drafts Murray, he's not just collecting Kentucky Guards like Jay Leno collects cars...but sadly, the Bledsoe/Dragic/IT experiment worries me, so that is part of the reason why I'm so adamant against Hield, Dunn, and Murray, in that order. The other being that I don't think Hield or Dunn are 'special' enough to be drafted 4th overall.

But I make no bones about it; I am extremely subjective in my comments on our pick, and more so than other years, since we have two lottery picks. This year's picks may define our team for the next 3-5 years.



I respect that. I am in the camp of McD knows best and plus I have no choice in the matter. I think I am more or less thinking/hoping/wishing/praying that whom ever we draft will reach their ceiling and if that is the case, any of those guys will make me happy. I think most feel that the player we draft won't peak. What if Hield is doing in the NBA what he did in college? Would you have a problem with Hield? Probably not. How many people actually believed Curry game would translate ever better in the pros? Think about that for a minute.
JMac1
Suns Forum Training Specialist
Posts: 10,032
And1: 4,004
Joined: May 23, 2009

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1653 » by JMac1 » Sun May 29, 2016 5:29 pm

Fo-Real wrote:
JMac1 wrote:
Fischella wrote:the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?



[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SI0ouqStCYY[/youtube]



:o Never seen that!
NTB
Suns Forum News Guru
Posts: 5,796
And1: 6,029
Joined: Dec 24, 2013
Contact:
   

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1654 » by NTB » Sun May 29, 2016 5:31 pm

JMac1 wrote:
Fo-Real wrote:
JMac1 wrote:
If that is the case, why trade him?



[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SI0ouqStCYY[/youtube]



:o Never seen that!


It is explained that Okafor didn't throw it. It is about camera angles.
carey wrote:It is 2-time, every time.
User avatar
kennydorglas
Suns Forum Statistical Savant
Posts: 8,898
And1: 6,127
Joined: Jul 31, 2012
Location: Bauru SP
Contact:
       

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1655 » by kennydorglas » Sun May 29, 2016 5:44 pm

JMac1 wrote:
Fischella wrote:
DRK wrote:

Okafor actually developed into a decent defensive player in ther latter half of last season, and in the second half of last season, he put up identical advanced metrics on defence to the ROY Karl Anthony Towns.

Hes a decent man defender, but hes a poor defender in the pick and roll. However to say that Okafor "hasnt developed any type of defence" is inherently incorrect.

the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?


Because they played worse with him in the lineup.
Colangelo is trying to get some value for him early, just like Cleveland Browns did with Trent Richardson.

Of course Okafor isnt a bust like Trent, but u'll have a really hard time trying to fit him in a good NBA team.
"I got nothing to prove in this league. I’m a max player, and I’ll continue to be a max player."
Five foot Eighton

“No matter what you do or how you do it, as long as you have true passion you will succeed.”
Luis “WEEZY” Egurrola
JMac1
Suns Forum Training Specialist
Posts: 10,032
And1: 4,004
Joined: May 23, 2009

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1656 » by JMac1 » Sun May 29, 2016 6:00 pm

kennydorglas wrote:
JMac1 wrote:
Fischella wrote:the thing with Jah is that he has the tools to be a above average PNR defender, he has the mobility, the feet and the length, he just needs to work harder and upgrade his motor, same issue withthe boards, I dont think heis out of shape after seen pics of him, but maybe he has low stamina naturally, dunno.


If that is the case, why trade him?


Because they played worse with him in the lineup.
Colangelo is trying to get some value for him early, just like Cleveland Browns did with Trent Richardson.

Of course Okafor isnt a bust like Trent, but u'll have a really hard time trying to fit him in a good NBA team.



True.
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1657 » by NavLDO » Sun May 29, 2016 7:01 pm

dremill24 wrote:
NavLDO wrote:
saintEscaton wrote:Brown has an underrated handle, he can split defenders off the dribble has a nice jab step, but when he puts his head he gets tunnel vision, will often cough it up barreling into defenders or get called for a charge. Cuonzo deserves some blame. But I think he would be a less of a massive reach than Chriss who is the superior offensive players as of now but inferior one on defender and not the genetic freak Brown is, he is built like a toothpick. Chriss second worst defensive rebounder in the last 30 years. He overcommits and racks up flashy weakside blocks and can stay in front of his man, but bites on everything and blow by easily because his stance is completely upright with little leverage. Also he is shooting 35% from deep on like less than 2 attempts per game which is promising but nothing to write home about


You've said this a couple of times, yet with no context. He had 2.9 Defensive Rebounds per game (24 minutes). I hardly believe that is the lowest number on 30 years. His per 40 number is 4.6 per 40. Bender's is 4.3 per 40. Vezenkov is 4.1 per 40.

And then you have others that are close: Ellis is 5.4/40.

And why diminish his Offensive Rebounding, which was very good at 4.0/40--higher than Skal at 2.5/40; Diallo at 3.4/40; Ellenson at 2.6/40, etc. So you choose, again, to use 1/2 of a stat--Rebounding--to define a player, like he doesn't know how to rebound, which is clearly not the case. He's just better on the offensive glass than defensive...so what does that prove, exactly???


This is where his numbers are coming from, just as an FYI

http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Marquese-Chriss-83240/

Where that tends to show up the most vividly right now is as on the defensive glass. At 4.1 rebounds per-40, Chriss ranks among the least prolific power forwards in NBA Draft history according to our database. Among first round picks, only Thaddeus Young (who played mostly SF in college) had a worse defensive rebounding rate in the draft's last 30 years. Chriss almost never puts a body on opposing big men in an attempt to box out and prepare for loose balls coming off the glass, and his relatively small standing reach (measured at 8'9, comparable with most small forwards) didn't help matters much. In addition to his instincts, his motor here leaves a lot to be desired as well, as if at times appears he's operating at half speed, and far more focused on his work on the offensive end.


Thanks for providing the context, but why are they using '4.1' when his per 40, per their own site, is '4.6', so I question this statement. But yes, each o the top prospects have their issues--Hield? One-year wonder?? ; Murray? relieved of PG duties by Ulis--why?? ; Bender? Lack of any equitable historic stats/metrics. ; Brown? Shooting, finishing @ the rim, and -6.48 PPR ; Dunn? 'Uninspiring' shooting all around--FT, 3PT, and 2PT and his conceitedness is feeling he gets o choose where he goes, more so than others. ; Valentine? Athleticism (apparently, but maybe better characterized as 'lack of burst'). ; Skal? Why so little usage?? Feel or game/inexperience/toughness. ; Davis? Range, awareness, focus.

So yes, Chriss' Defensive Rebounding prowess is lacking, he's foul-prone, and has poor Asst %/PPR but:

Chriss is one of the most physically gifted prospects you'll find, possessing an exhilarating combination of quickness, explosiveness and body control...extremely light on his feet, has a very quick second bounce, and can finish around the rim from impressive distances, often looking like he's barely breaking a sweat...makings of an ideal skill-set for a modern day NBA power forward...his ability to stretch the floor from beyond the 3-point line, where Chriss made a solid 21/60 (35%) of his attempts. He has a compact stroke, and natural touch on his shot, being capable both with his feet set and even off the dribble in small doses...shows the ability to attack his man off the dribble with a strong first step, while driving in either direction. He shows impressive footwork and body control with his spin moves, and excellent timing attacking closeouts...shows some semblance of a post game, mainly with his ability to shoot turnaround jumpers and right-handed hook shots with very soft touch from unique angles...very difficult to handle facing up in that range for most power forwards with his ability to make jumpers and blow by opponents with his terrific first step...shows strong potential as a roll-man and cutter, with his very soft hands and ability to get up the floor in the blink of an eye to make plays above the rim... has the quickness needed to stay in front of nearly everyone he encounters, and the explosiveness to block a decent amount of shots...may actually find more success on the wing, using his terrific quickness and mobility...one of the youngest players in the draft, not turning 19 until July, Chriss has quite a bit of innate talent that is easy to get excited about...his tremendous frame, combined with his ability to shoot 3-pointers and make freakishly athletic plays will steal many hearts in the NBA pre-draft workout process.


There's an awful lot to like there, which makes me believe that once he gets some NBA coaching, his defensive issues may be able to be fixed. Maybe not, but point is, everyone one of these early guys, aside from Simmons/Ingram, also have significant issues that will need 'fixing' onc in the NBA, and don't see, again, a poor 'half of a stat' as reason enough to say-'nope, can't take him'. especially when there are guys with 2-3 years of age/experience on him that still have issues just as concerning, like, again, Dunn and his career sub-70% FT shooting, career sub-34% 3PT shooting, and a 1.75 A/TO Ratio. By comparison, here's a list of PG prospects and their A/TO ratio. I did not include either Murray, since they were worse (though Jamal has 'SG stats' to offense is PG deficiencies). But anyway, why is Dunn a top 5 candidate anymore than Chriss, if they both lack elite expected 'positional prowess'? At least Chriss is more than 3 years younger. Dunn at 13? Sure. At 4? I don't see it, and hope McD sees the same--a PG with very 'average', and often, 'below-average' evidence at critical aspects for their position.

Wade Baldwin--2.14
Demetrius Jackson--1.9
Tyler Ulis--3.56
Caris LeVert--2.22
Gary Payton--1.94

Also, BTW, I really like LeVert as a prospect for us at 34--good size and shooting...and...

Where LeVert shows the potential to do more than just that is with passing ability. His 6.6 assists per 40 minutes pace adjusted ranked eighth among prospects in our top-100 rankings. He takes care of the ball, turning it over only 2.1 times per 40 minutes pace adjusted.


and...

he has developed into an excellent outside shooter over the past three years. He knocked down 40% of his three point attempts in his college career, and has a fluid stroke that shows he should be able to translate his performance to the NBA line.
User avatar
saintEscaton
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,996
And1: 2,865
Joined: Jan 31, 2015
Location: The Sonoran
         

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1658 » by saintEscaton » Sun May 29, 2016 7:04 pm

Every rookie who not future hall of famer right off the bat is a net negative . Surprise. Booker's RPM: -4.63 per 100 Possessions (91/98 among SGs)
Jonestown Suicide Squad

[. Sign the Petition To Force Sarver Into Selling Our Team

https://www.change.org/p/robert-sarver-sell-the-phoenix-suns-basketball-team-2

Image
NavLDO
Suns Forum Defensive Player of the Year
Posts: 2,749
And1: 1,436
Joined: Aug 25, 2014
     

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1659 » by NavLDO » Sun May 29, 2016 7:40 pm

My list of prospects that will be, IMO, 'under-drafted' (if drafted lower than in parenthesis):

1. Denzel Valentine (of course) (8)
2. Domantas Sabonis (10)
3. Taurean Prince (14)
4. Caris LeVert (20)
5. Ben Bentil (30)

HM: Juan Hernangomez (25), Deandre Bembry (25)

my 'over-drafted' (if drafted higher than in parenthesis):

1. Kris Dunn (8)
2. Dragan Bender (5)
3. Timothe Luwawu (17)
4. Buddy Hield (7)
5. Jaylen Brown (5)
User avatar
saintEscaton
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,996
And1: 2,865
Joined: Jan 31, 2015
Location: The Sonoran
         

Re: 2016 Draft 

Post#1660 » by saintEscaton » Sun May 29, 2016 7:42 pm

NavLDO wrote:
dremill24 wrote:
NavLDO wrote:
You've said this a couple of times, yet with no context. He had 2.9 Defensive Rebounds per game (24 minutes). I hardly believe that is the lowest number on 30 years. His per 40 number is 4.6 per 40. Bender's is 4.3 per 40. Vezenkov is 4.1 per 40.

And then you have others that are close: Ellis is 5.4/40.

And why diminish his Offensive Rebounding, which was very good at 4.0/40--higher than Skal at 2.5/40; Diallo at 3.4/40; Ellenson at 2.6/40, etc. So you choose, again, to use 1/2 of a stat--Rebounding--to define a player, like he doesn't know how to rebound, which is clearly not the case. He's just better on the offensive glass than defensive...so what does that prove, exactly???


This is where his numbers are coming from, just as an FYI

http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/Marquese-Chriss-83240/

Where that tends to show up the most vividly right now is as on the defensive glass. At 4.1 rebounds per-40, Chriss ranks among the least prolific power forwards in NBA Draft history according to our database. Among first round picks, only Thaddeus Young (who played mostly SF in college) had a worse defensive rebounding rate in the draft's last 30 years. Chriss almost never puts a body on opposing big men in an attempt to box out and prepare for loose balls coming off the glass, and his relatively small standing reach (measured at 8'9, comparable with most small forwards) didn't help matters much. In addition to his instincts, his motor here leaves a lot to be desired as well, as if at times appears he's operating at half speed, and far more focused on his work on the offensive end.


Thanks for providing the context, but why are they using '4.1' when his per 40, per their own site, is '4.6', so I question this statement. But yes, each o the top prospects have their issues--Hield? One-year wonder?? ; Murray? relieved of PG duties by Ulis--why?? ; Bender? Lack of any equitable historic stats/metrics. ; Brown? Shooting, finishing @ the rim, and -6.48 PPR ; Dunn? 'Uninspiring' shooting all around--FT, 3PT, and 2PT and his conceitedness is feeling he gets o choose where he goes, more so than others. ; Valentine? Athleticism (apparently, but maybe better characterized as 'lack of burst'). ; Skal? Why so little usage?? Feel or game/inexperience/toughness. ; Davis? Range, awareness, focus.

So yes, Chriss' Defensive Rebounding prowess is lacking, he's foul-prone, and has poor Asst %/PPR but:

Chriss is one of the most physically gifted prospects you'll find, possessing an exhilarating combination of quickness, explosiveness and body control...extremely light on his feet, has a very quick second bounce, and can finish around the rim from impressive distances, often looking like he's barely breaking a sweat...makings of an ideal skill-set for a modern day NBA power forward...his ability to stretch the floor from beyond the 3-point line, where Chriss made a solid 21/60 (35%) of his attempts. He has a compact stroke, and natural touch on his shot, being capable both with his feet set and even off the dribble in small doses...shows the ability to attack his man off the dribble with a strong first step, while driving in either direction. He shows impressive footwork and body control with his spin moves, and excellent timing attacking closeouts...shows some semblance of a post game, mainly with his ability to shoot turnaround jumpers and right-handed hook shots with very soft touch from unique angles...very difficult to handle facing up in that range for most power forwards with his ability to make jumpers and blow by opponents with his terrific first step...shows strong potential as a roll-man and cutter, with his very soft hands and ability to get up the floor in the blink of an eye to make plays above the rim... has the quickness needed to stay in front of nearly everyone he encounters, and the explosiveness to block a decent amount of shots...may actually find more success on the wing, using his terrific quickness and mobility...one of the youngest players in the draft, not turning 19 until July, Chriss has quite a bit of innate talent that is easy to get excited about...his tremendous frame, combined with his ability to shoot 3-pointers and make freakishly athletic plays will steal many hearts in the NBA pre-draft workout process.


There's an awful lot to like there, which makes me believe that once he gets some NBA coaching, his defensive issues may be able to be fixed. Maybe not, but point is, everyone one of these early guys, aside from Simmons/Ingram, also have significant issues that will need 'fixing' onc in the NBA, and don't see, again, a poor 'half of a stat' as reason enough to say-'nope, can't take him'. especially when there are guys with 2-3 years of age/experience on him that still have issues just as concerning, like, again, Dunn and his career sub-70% FT shooting, career sub-34% 3PT shooting, and a 1.75 A/TO Ratio. By comparison, here's a list of PG prospects and their A/TO ratio. I did not include either Murray, since they were worse (though Jamal has 'SG stats' to offense is PG deficiencies). But anyway, why is Dunn a top 5 candidate anymore than Chriss, if they both lack elite expected 'positional prowess'? At least Chriss is more than 3 years younger. Dunn at 13? Sure. At 4? I don't see it, and hope McD sees the same--a PG with very 'average', and often, 'below-average' evidence at critical aspects for their position.

Wade Baldwin--2.14
Demetrius Jackson--1.9
Tyler Ulis--3.56
Caris LeVert--2.22
Gary Payton--1.94

Also, BTW, I really like LeVert as a prospect for us at 34--good size and shooting...and...

Where LeVert shows the potential to do more than just that is with passing ability. His 6.6 assists per 40 minutes pace adjusted ranked eighth among prospects in our top-100 rankings. He takes care of the ball, turning it over only 2.1 times per 40 minutes pace adjusted.


and...

he has developed into an excellent outside shooter over the past three years. He knocked down 40% of his three point attempts in his college career, and has a fluid stroke that shows he should be able to translate his performance to the NBA line.



Reposting: His somewhat less terrible extrapolated per 40 rebound stats could be a byproduct of him merely having more avaialble misses to snare, rebound RATE measures how well a player makes the most of them. Offensive rebounding has been devalued to an all time low with the modenr era's bsession with the 3 ball, this season league average OREB% was 23% for the shooting team. He concedes more second chance opportunities on the other end than he creates and if he's a stretch 4 will be playing 20+ feet away from basket and there is a tradeoff between positioning yourself for a offensive board and giving up an easy opponent fast break. Most elite teams acknowledge this and have a markedly lower chase % percentage emphasizing the importance of transition D instead. I'm not writing off Chriss but he has some glaring concerns. His assist percentage and pure point rating both rank fourth worst among the 22 top collegiate power forwards so fora guy who is gunna demand touches and put the ball on the deck he needs to tighten his handle to be less of a turnover machine/black hole. His 8'9 standing reach/ 7'0 wingspan is fine for an SF but below average for a PF
Jonestown Suicide Squad

[. Sign the Petition To Force Sarver Into Selling Our Team

https://www.change.org/p/robert-sarver-sell-the-phoenix-suns-basketball-team-2

Image

Return to Phoenix Suns