Fundamentals21 wrote:POY: Top 5 list
OPOY, DPOY, ROY, MIP, 6MOY, COY, EOY: Top 3 list
POY:
1. LeBron James
2. Steph Curry
3. Kevin Durant
4. Chris Paul
5. Russell Westbrook
OPOY:
1. Steph Curry
2. Kevin Durant
3. LeBron James
DPOY:
1. Draymond Green
2. Kawhi Leonard
3. Rudy Gobert
MIP
1. CJ McCollum
2. Steven Adams
3. Kemba Walker
ROY
1. Karl Anthony-Towns
2. Nikola Jokic
3. Kristaps Porzingis
6MOY
1. Andre Igoudala
2. Jeremy Lin
3. Enes Kanter
COTY
1. Brad Stevens
2. Terry Stotts
3. Steve Clifford
EOTY:
1. RC Buford
2. Rich Cho
3. Jeff Bower
Note: Will explain my voting in the discussion thread a bit later (Or is this where the discussion takes place now?).
Okay, my thoughts on this:
After the finals,
LeBron simply was the best player. By the way, I thought this way in 2015 as well. I don’t feel Curry will be able to compete with this because he simply doesn’t have those physical tools. The only way I can see Curry actually being better than LeBron in the playoffs is if he peaks at the correct time - ala 01 Lakers or 14 Spurs. So that’s for Kerr, to ensure this kid is out of this world in May and June as opposed to December or January. Until then, I can’t place Curry over LeBron because 2 seasons of playoff runs only reaffirm my belief that LeBron is #1 at the highest level of play. What can this man not do?
So that was my clear #1 and 2. I cannot take
Curry below 2, as a GOAT regular season is a GOAT regular season. Curry played 18 playoff games which is a pretty good sample size, but even if I said the playoffs are more important than the RS, I had him #1 in the RS untouchable.
Curry also had a solid WC run. The last 3 games of clearly outplaying GOATbrook in addition to that Blazers “I am back” game proves this. He is Top 2 uncontested, as LeBron is #1. I am not knocking him below this for missed games, as that is just bad luck and poor pacing by Kerr. My main issue with him is overconfidence. Watching some of the playbacks of the finals, Curry clearly felt it was okay to pull off some of the flashy passes/cute plays on the Cavs, which was somewhat immature. You cannot be at this level and do that. I have issues overall with his decision making in the finals, and that is why I am hesitant to place him #1. It’s not just talent that wins you every title, even if you had a GOAT RS run.
Regardless, I have no issue with placing Curry at #1 if someone wanted to do that. Regardless of how the year ended, it’s easy to forget everything he did across the entire season, and how hopeless everyone thought it was to go up against the Splash brothers, how NBA 2k Cheese he was, etc. etc. There is no one in recent memory that has inspired more hopelessness in a defensive scheme than Steph Curry.
Now. Where this really gets interesting is 3-6. It’s as I have said, I had a clear Top 6 this season, and not a Top 5. However, one of them needed to go.
Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook:Durant gave me something additional this year which I wasn’t super aware of before - defensive anchoring ability. He always had long arms and good instincts to be a plus defender, but this year it was on another level. Combine this with what I feel is the 2nd best offensive player in the league, and giving him the #3 spot felt natural. His efficiency against the Spurs defense this year was highly impressive and at times it felt like I might’ve been watching the best O in the league.
Russell Westbrook. I ended up ignoring his shooting %’s towards the end, simply because his impact was much larger than this, and he meant more to OKC than Durant did this season. I actually had him at #2 until LeBron decided to unleash his GOAT self. The biggest issue I still have is him not being able to reign himself in, at times. However, if the defense doesn’t have the tools to do something against his athleticism, the game will get out of hand really, really, fast, and so this secures his spot as a Top 5 player. It is very easy to slip up even a little bit and Russell will make everyone pay. Ridiculous. Absurd. Terrifying. All these come to mind when I think of him.
I ended up using some advanced metrics as well. For his overall offensive impact Russell Westbrook is ranked #2 on offense by ESPN’s +/-. This actually doesn’t feel inaccurate, as I can make a case that Westbrook is the best player on OKC. However, I have a preference for players that play more in control as this is more reliable and under the right circumstances leads me to more wins, such as Kevin Durant and the guy coming up next, Chris Paul.
Chris Paul:So Chris Paul has always been the perfect PG every since 2008 or so. Scoring, efficiency, passing, control, clutch, everything.
This year he went entirely unnoticed because of Kobe and GSW chasing 73.
From when Blake Griffin went down in the RS, however, in the December - March Span, the Clippers were running an O-Rating matching Golden State’s. I would let that sink in for a moment.
here’s another clip with the season winding down -
That’s a swing of nearly 16 points per 100 possessions, which is the largest on-court versus off-court impact of any player in the NBA over that span. The players with the next-biggest impact? Draymond Green (difference of plus-12.6 points per 100 possessions) and Stephen Curry(difference of plus-11.9 points per 100 possessions). By that measure, Paul has been the most important offensive player in the NBA since Griffin has been out.
Paul/No Paul = the difference between the best and one of the worst in the league. In all senses, he’s an MVP candidate who had a terrific RS.
ESPN’s RPM ranks him at #1 amongst PG’s for defense this year, as well. That’s him ahead of guys with great defensive reps like Ricky Rubio or Kyle Lowry. He’s in fact on par with Tony Allen this year by that rating.
On par with Tony Allen.
Need I really go on? This man IS the premier Point Guard in the NBA, and had he not gone down in the first round, the playoffs would have been mighty interesting to watch. While I don’t see the Clips getting past GSW, we would’ve had a great 2nd round on our hands.
The issue for Paul, unfortunately, is that the Clips aren’t as good as those above them. They’re slightly worse than the true elites, and so the perception is that somehow he would be right outside of the Top 5, whereas he has a strong case to go as high as #3.
Isn’t this also impressive longevity? I haven’t tried an all time list yet, but 08-16 is a long span of time.
The guy I left out:Kawhi Leonard
Man, this was tough. At the end of the day, I feel he’s only very slightly worse than Westbrook. There is nothing wrong with Kawhi, but he still has to finish and complete his game on the offensive end to become a Top 5 lock. It might be added playmaking, etc. With Pop coaching him, I am interested in watching his evolution. I don’t believe he needs to “score at a higher volume” like many have implied. Because, really, why? What purpose would that serve? Added offensive responsibility and not the same defender as he used to be? This always happens to every star that picks up his offense, and I imagine Kawhi will be no different on this end. I would like to see him maintain his defense as he polishes and completes his offensive game.
The rest, that is some talk on my other picks:Rudy Gobert: This is a guy to watch.
Posted sometime in March:
Last season, when the Utah Jazz traded Enes Kanter at the trade deadline and elevated Rudy Gobert to a starting role, Gobert helped transform a Utah defense that ranked 27th in efficiency at the All-Star break to the league's best defense after the break.
Quality bigman, with defensive anchoring capacity that’s potentially #1 in the league. He’s on a middling team like the Utah Jazz, and unfortunately won’t get much attention here. Still, if the right team gets his hands on him, or the Jazz trade for an offensive star, he’ll suddenly be a DPOY candidate - because he plays on that level.
Jeremy Lin:
His career in the spotlight may be done, as he picked the Nets this offseason, and BRK seems to be going nowhere. However, he had a very good year off the bench.
On one end he feels like an average Point Guard, and on the other he’s a great X Factor, the best in the league. He can, on any given night, come out and torch a defense - that too not through scoring, but through running effective 5 man units. This is an important ability come playoff time, and why the Hornets took the Heat to 7. The Hornets lineups with Lamb/Kaminsky were amongst the best off the bench in the league, from my survey on 82games.com. He also picked up his game at just the right time for them to secure a playoff spot. This is a very good sign - as he’s proven himself more than capable for playing at the higher levels.
Would’ve given him the 6th Man nod, but Andre Igouadala is basically an all star or at least a high quality starter coming off the bench, and Lin isn’t quite on that level.
Brad Stevens:My pick for COY. I have said before there is no real way or rating coaches, as we don’t really have coach stats. However, what I saw Brad Stevens do - is create the proper culture to attract stars. This is the most important facet of team building, at the end of the day. He’s developing a guy like Marcus Smart and somehow figuring out ways to stay competitive - rebuilding and still making the playoffs. They have built a scary defensive team in Boston, with Horford, Bradley, Johnson, etc. I am seriously interested in seeing where he takes this. Frankly, I would’ve liked to see KD sign here. It would’ve been both a good challenge for KD and Boston would’ve turned into a behemoth overnight.
Still, good luck to KD in GSW. He should get his chip in ‘17 barring injuries.