reelsgm wrote:hood30 wrote:reelsgm wrote:
Calling BS on your Nylon Calculus example on two specific fronts :
1) Of Lin's playing time breakdown they have him at SG 63.4% and PG at 36.6%. Reality is Lin deferred the point to Walker, Batum and even Brian Roberts whenever they were on the floor. Of Lin's 27 mpg approximately 5 mins were Lin as the primary sole PG or 19% instead of 37% as per nyloncalculus. So the number you should focus on for Lin is 2.6 TOs because nylon methodology of splitting position played is FLAWED.
2) To further drive home this point, how do you explain Nic Batum. Batum shared point with Walker but when Walker was out, Batum dominated point. Yet Nylon calculus only has Batum 10% at SG with TO of 3.4 and 90% at SF with TO of 3.0. With those TO rates that makes Batum the HIGHEST turnover machine of almost ANY SF or SG in the NBA.
I'm surprised that you refuses to acknowledge that the reason Lin's turnovers were down was because he spent the majority of his minutes as a shooting-guard thus not having as much chance to turn it over as much.
This is the same stats which put Lin's "per36" as a PG at 18.6ppg if he had played 36mpg as a point-guard for Charlotte...So you accept the 18ppg but reject the 3.6 TO?
You ignore the methodological flaw in the Position Played and simultaneously attribute words to me which I don't accept.
1)
Do you acknowledge that Batum has amongst one of the worst TO at the positions he plays? SF (only 4 SFs exceed) & SG (only 4 SGs exceed). 2) In fact, I do not accept the 18.6ppg for Lin at PG, the methodological flaw renders that too EXTREME, meaning it's somewhere between the 16.1 and 18.6.
Lin's TOs have come down every season since Knicks and a portion of this continued natural progression is subsumed in the 2.6 which you explicitly deny because you believe nylon's huge jump to 3.6 TOs.
Again nylon too EXTREME; reality is playing off-ball SG probably around 2.4 and PG around 2.9 arriving at the 2.6.
You seemed to AGAIN disregard Lin played the majority of his minutes OFF THE BALL..Unlike his previous 3 years.....How can you even reject that fact??
The "2.6TO" that you keep repeating is for his overall minutes at all position by Per36..We can't go by that stats because Lin was not a point-guard for the Hornets...He spent most of his time in the corner.
Therefore, the "2.6TO" is not a true reflection on how Lin would have done if he had played the majority of his minutes at PG.
Last year with Charlotte was an abnormal year for Lin because he was used much more as a SG..While he's played off the ball with Harden, Kobe and Clarkson, he still played most of his minutes at PG during these years..It was not so in Charlotte.
Lin will be the main PG for Brooklyn and it is reasonable to expect his turn-over to spike beyond "2.6 by per36", simply because he will have more time on the ball, thus more chances to turn it over...Unlike in Charlotte where he spent a lot of his minutes on the corner.
Even with the Lakers and Houston, Lin played most of his minutes at PG..Check it out..With Charlotte, he was basically a SG and spent a lot of time in the corner...and this played a part in his lowered turn-over for Charlotte.
More time in the corner without the ball = less time to turn the ball over...Can we even agree to this???During one of Charlotte playoff game with Miami, NBA analyst Brent Barry brought this fact about Lin by stating that while Lin's turn-overs were down from previous year, that could be because he did less of the ball-handling because of Kemba Walker.
I don't care how big of a Lin fan you are, you simply have to take your bias sunglasses off and accept that Lin played the less amount of minutes at PG during the past 3 years and that contributed to a lower TO.
As a Lin fan myself, I refuse to be so bias to the fact that I would disregard logic.
Below is the % of Lin's minutes played as a PG in his previous 3 teams.
Hornets: 37% at Point Guard... ..Overall minutes at all position: 26.3mpg......1.9 TO per game
Lakers: 95% at Point Guard.....Overall minutes at all position: 25.8mpg.......2.2 TO per game
2.Houston: 89% at Point Guard.....Overall minutes at all position; 28.9mpg.......2.5 TO per game
So Lin did less ball-handling for the Hornets and that truly played a huge role in decreasing his TO...Only a massively bias Lin fan can totally reject this.